Bristol City at Watford

Updated

Bristol City

25.9%26.3%47.8%
Bristol City WinDrawWatford Win
1.00Projected Goals 1.47
0Final Score 1

Watford

Last 5 Games

Bristol City
Money Line
L 1-0 vs Burnley+180
W 2-0 at Norwich City+230
L 2-1 vs Sheffield United+250
W 3-1 at Preston North End+200
T 0-0 vs Leeds United+300
Watford
Money Line
T 2-2 at Plymouth Argyle+125
W 0-1 vs Oxford United-135
L 0-1 at Swansea City+300
W 6-2 at Sheffield Wednesday+285
W 0-1 vs Blackburn+140

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
3.7%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
4.0%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Bristol City+181+211+200+187+206+187+211+210.4
Watford+129+134+130+135+129+135+135+154.2
Draw+250+243+225+225+237+225+243+251.5
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Bristol City+205---+165+230+230+210.4
Watford+130---+125+120+125+154.2
Draw+245---+230+240+240+251.5

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Bristol City: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Watford: 20.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Bristol City: 0.0%
Watford: 30.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Bristol City: 10.0%
Watford: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Bristol City ML moved from +210 to +200
Watford ML moved from +119 to +110

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Bristol City: 20.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Watford: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Bristol City: 0.0%
Watford: 30.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Bristol City: 50.0%
Watford: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Bristol City ML moved from +205 to +195
Watford ML moved from +140 to +120

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.4%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo2½-107o2½-111o2½-108o2½-105o2½-105o2½-105o2½-105o2½+104
Underu2½-113u2½-105u2½-112u2½-115u2½-115u2½-115u2½-105u2½-104
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Over-----o2½+104
Under-----u2½-104

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes48.8%
 
No51.2%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 08.45%
Exactly 225.80%
Exactly 413.13%
Exactly 62.67%
Exactly 80.29%
 
Exactly 120.88%
Exactly 321.25%
Exactly 56.49%
Exactly 70.94%
Exact Goals Scored - Bristol City
Exactly 036.58%
Exactly 136.79%
Exactly 218.50%
Exactly 36.20%
Exactly 41.56%
Exactly 50.31%
Exact Goals Scored - Watford
Exactly 023.10%
Exactly 133.85%
Exactly 224.80%
Exactly 312.11%
Exactly 44.44%
Exactly 51.30%
Exactly 60.32%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 031.85%
Exactly 220.85%
Exactly 42.27%
 
Exactly 136.44%
Exactly 37.95%
Exactly 50.52%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Bristol City
Exactly 062.78%
Exactly 129.23%
Exactly 26.80%
Exactly 31.06%
Exactly 40.12%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Watford
Exactly 050.74%
Exactly 134.43%
Exactly 211.68%
Exactly 32.64%
Exactly 40.45%

Alternate Props

Spread

Bristol City
Wins by 2+ goals9.37%
Wins by 3+ goals2.58%
Wins by 4+ goals0.54%
Watford
Wins by 2+ goals23.63%
Wins by 3+ goals9.19%
Wins by 4+ goals2.87%
Wins by 5+ goals0.71%
Wins by 6+ goals0.12%

Exact Winning Margin

Bristol City
Watford
4
3
2
1
D
1
2
3
4
5
6
Bristol City
Wins by 1 goal16.50%
Wins by 2 goals6.80%
Wins by 3 goals2.04%
Wins by 4 goals0.47%
Watford
Wins by 1 goal24.04%
Wins by 2 goals14.44%
Wins by 3 goals6.32%
Wins by 4 goals2.16%
Wins by 5 goals0.59%
Wins by 6 goals0.12%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.591.55%8.45%
1.570.67%29.33%
2.544.87%55.13%
3.523.63%76.37%
4.510.50%89.50%
5.54.01%95.99%
6.51.34%98.66%

Total Goals Bristol City Over/Under

OverUnder
0.563.42%36.58%
1.526.63%73.37%
2.58.13%91.87%
3.51.93%98.07%

Total Goals Watford Over/Under

OverUnder
0.576.90%23.10%
1.543.05%56.95%
2.518.25%81.75%
3.56.14%93.86%
4.51.70%98.30%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.568.15%31.85%
1.531.71%68.29%
2.510.86%89.14%
3.52.91%97.09%

Score Props

Correct Score

Bristol City
Watford
Score012345
0
8.45%
12.38%
9.07%
4.43%
1.62%
0.48%
1
8.50%
12.45%
9.12%
4.46%
1.63%
0.48%
2
4.27%
6.26%
4.59%
2.24%
0.82%
0.24%
3
1.43%
2.10%
1.54%
0.75%
0.28%
0.08%
4
0.36%
0.53%
0.39%
0.19%
0.07%
0.02%
Bristol City
1-08.50%
2-04.27%
2-16.26%
3-01.43%
3-12.10%
3-21.54%
4-00.36%
4-10.53%
4-20.39%
4-30.19%
Draw
0-08.45%
1-112.45%
2-24.59%
3-30.75%
Watford
0-112.38%
0-29.07%
1-29.12%
0-34.43%
1-34.46%
2-32.24%
0-41.62%
1-41.63%
2-40.82%
3-40.28%
0-50.48%
1-50.48%
2-50.24%

Correct Score - First Half

Bristol City
Watford
Score01234
0
31.85%
21.61%
7.33%
1.66%
0.28%
1
14.83%
10.06%
3.41%
0.77%
0.13%
2
3.45%
2.34%
0.79%
0.18%
0.03%
3
0.54%
0.36%
0.12%
0.03%
0.00%
Bristol City
1-014.83%
2-03.45%
2-12.34%
3-00.54%
3-10.36%
3-20.12%
Draw
0-031.85%
1-110.06%
2-20.79%
Watford
0-121.61%
0-27.33%
1-23.41%
0-31.66%
1-30.77%
2-30.18%
0-40.28%
1-40.13%