Oxford United at Watford

Updated

Oxford United

14.8%20.5%64.8%
WinDrawWatford Win
0.84Projected Goals 2.02
0Final Score 1

Watford

Last 5 Games

Oxford United
Money Line
W 0-1 vs Hull City+200
L 2-1 vs Swansea City+200
L 0-2 at Sunderland+525
T 1-1 vs Derby County+170
T 1-1 vs West Bromwich Albion+280
Watford
Money Line
L 0-1 at Swansea City+300
W 6-2 at Sheffield Wednesday+285
W 0-1 vs Blackburn+140
L 1-2 at Leeds United+825
L 0-3 at Luton Town+260

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
3.1%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
4.2%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Oxford United+285+382+390+330+373+330+390+364.2
Watford-104-131-145-130-137-130-130-109.9
Draw+269+277+280+255+269+255+280+283.2
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Oxford United+320---+260+370+370+364.2
Watford-120----135-140-135-109.9
Draw+275---+265+290+290+283.2

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Oxford United: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Watford: 30.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Oxford United: 0.0%
Watford: 40.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Oxford United: 20.0%
Watford: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Oxford United ML moved from +373 to +365
Watford ML moved from -145 to -155

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Oxford United: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Watford: 40.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Oxford United: 0.0%
Watford: 40.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Oxford United: 10.0%
Watford: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Oxford United ML
Watford ML moved from -120 to -140

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
3.5%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo2½-133o2½-111o2½-110o2½-115o2½-111o2½-115o2½-110o2½-104
Underu2½+113u2½-105u2½-110u2½-105u2½-109u2½-105u2½-105u2½+104
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Over-----o2½-104
Under-----u2½+104

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 10.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 10.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
The Under moved from u2¾-115 to u2½-105

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes49.3%
 
No50.7%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 05.74%
Exactly 223.43%
Exactly 415.96%
Exactly 64.35%
Exactly 80.63%
 
Exactly 116.40%
Exactly 322.33%
Exactly 59.12%
Exactly 71.77%
Exactly 90.20%
Exact Goals Scored - Oxford United
Exactly 043.12%
Exactly 136.27%
Exactly 215.26%
Exactly 34.28%
Exactly 40.90%
Exactly 50.15%
Exact Goals Scored - Watford
Exactly 013.30%
Exactly 126.83%
Exactly 227.07%
Exactly 318.20%
Exactly 49.18%
Exactly 53.70%
Exactly 61.24%
Exactly 70.36%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 026.62%
Exactly 223.31%
Exactly 43.40%
Exactly 60.20%
 
Exactly 135.23%
Exactly 310.29%
Exactly 50.90%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Oxford United
Exactly 067.74%
Exactly 126.39%
Exactly 25.14%
Exactly 30.67%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Watford
Exactly 039.30%
Exactly 136.70%
Exactly 217.14%
Exactly 35.34%
Exactly 41.25%
Exactly 50.23%

Alternate Props

Spread

Oxford United
Wins by 2+ goals4.48%
Wins by 3+ goals1.03%
Wins by 4+ goals0.18%
Watford
Wins by 2+ goals40.07%
Wins by 3+ goals20.23%
Wins by 4+ goals8.43%
Wins by 5+ goals2.92%
Wins by 6+ goals0.82%
Wins by 7+ goals0.15%

Exact Winning Margin

Oxford United
Watford
4
3
2
1
D
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
Oxford United
Wins by 1 goal10.26%
Wins by 2 goals3.45%
Wins by 3 goals0.85%
Wins by 4 goals0.16%
Watford
Wins by 1 goal24.59%
Wins by 2 goals19.84%
Wins by 3 goals11.80%
Wins by 4 goals5.51%
Wins by 5 goals2.10%
Wins by 6 goals0.67%
Wins by 7 goals0.15%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.594.26%5.74%
1.577.87%22.13%
2.554.44%45.56%
3.532.11%67.89%
4.516.15%83.85%
5.57.03%92.97%
6.52.69%97.31%

Total Goals Oxford United Over/Under

OverUnder
0.556.88%43.12%
1.520.61%79.39%
2.55.35%94.65%
3.51.08%98.92%

Total Goals Watford Over/Under

OverUnder
0.586.70%13.30%
1.559.86%40.14%
2.532.80%67.20%
3.514.60%85.40%
4.55.42%94.58%
5.51.72%98.28%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.573.38%26.62%
1.538.15%61.85%
2.514.83%85.17%
3.54.55%95.45%
4.51.14%98.86%

Score Props

Correct Score

Oxford United
Watford
Score012345
0
5.74%
11.57%
11.67%
7.85%
3.96%
1.60%
1
4.83%
9.73%
9.82%
6.60%
3.33%
1.34%
2
2.03%
4.09%
4.13%
2.78%
1.40%
0.56%
3
0.57%
1.15%
1.16%
0.78%
0.39%
0.16%
4
0.12%
0.24%
0.24%
0.16%
0.08%
0.03%
Oxford United
1-04.83%
2-02.03%
2-14.09%
3-00.57%
3-11.15%
3-21.16%
4-00.12%
4-10.24%
4-20.24%
4-30.16%
Draw
0-05.74%
1-19.73%
2-24.13%
3-30.78%
Watford
0-111.57%
0-211.67%
1-29.82%
0-37.85%
1-36.60%
2-32.78%
0-43.96%
1-43.33%
2-41.40%
3-40.39%
0-51.60%
1-51.34%
2-50.56%
3-50.16%

Correct Score - First Half

Oxford United
Watford
Score012345
0
26.62%
24.86%
11.61%
3.61%
0.84%
0.16%
1
10.37%
9.68%
4.52%
1.41%
0.33%
0.06%
2
2.02%
1.89%
0.88%
0.27%
0.06%
0.01%
3
0.26%
0.24%
0.11%
0.04%
0.01%
0.00%
Oxford United
1-010.37%
2-02.02%
2-11.89%
3-00.26%
3-10.24%
3-20.11%
Draw
0-026.62%
1-19.68%
2-20.88%
Watford
0-124.86%
0-211.61%
1-24.52%
0-33.61%
1-31.41%
2-30.27%
0-40.84%
1-40.33%
0-50.16%