Luton Town at Swansea City

Updated

Luton Town

23.0%25.0%51.9%
Luton Town WinDrawSwansea City Win
0.98Projected Goals 1.60

Swansea City

Last 5 Games

Luton Town
Money Line
L 0-1 at Bristol City+250
W 1-2 vs Derby County+120
L 0-2 at Blackburn+240
W 1-2 vs Stoke City+105
T 1-1 vs Swansea City+125
Swansea City
Money Line
W 0-3 vs Queens Park Rangers-110
L 1-2 at Hull City+175
L 3-2 vs Sunderland+180
W 2-1 at Plymouth Argyle-140
T 1-1 at Luton Town+225

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:3.8%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:5.0%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Luton Town+190+229+220+200-+200+229+223.9
Swansea City+135+122+115+119-+119+122+136.5
Draw+230+251+235+245-+245+251+272.5
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Luton Town+190---+190+225+225+223.9
Swansea City+110---+110+120+120+136.5
Draw+225---+225+245+245+272.5

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Luton Town: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Swansea City: 30.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Luton Town: 0.0%
Swansea City: 30.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Luton Town: 0.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Luton Town: 10.0%
Swansea City: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Luton Town ML
Swansea City ML moved from +125 to +115

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Luton Town: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Swansea City: 10.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Luton Town: 0.0%
Swansea City: 30.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Luton Town: 10.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Luton Town: 10.0%
Swansea City: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Luton Town ML
No Steam Moves On Swansea City ML

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:3.1%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo2¼-118o2½-101o2½+102o2½+101-o2½+101o2½+102o2½+110
Underu2¼-102u2½-116u2½-122u2½-121-u2½-121u2½-116u2½-110
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Over-----o2½+110
Under-----u2½-110

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 20.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 10.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Over: 10.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes49.7%
 
No50.3%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 07.61%
Exactly 225.25%
Exactly 413.95%
Exactly 63.08%
Exactly 80.37%
 
Exactly 119.61%
Exactly 321.67%
Exactly 57.19%
Exactly 71.13%
Exactly 90.10%
Exact Goals Scored - Luton Town
Exactly 037.69%
Exactly 136.78%
Exactly 217.94%
Exactly 35.83%
Exactly 41.42%
Exactly 50.28%
Exact Goals Scored - Swansea City
Exactly 020.20%
Exactly 132.31%
Exactly 225.84%
Exactly 313.78%
Exactly 45.51%
Exactly 51.76%
Exactly 60.47%
Exactly 70.11%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 030.35%
Exactly 221.58%
Exactly 42.56%
Exactly 60.12%
 
Exactly 136.19%
Exactly 38.58%
Exactly 50.61%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Luton Town
Exactly 063.65%
Exactly 128.75%
Exactly 26.49%
Exactly 30.98%
Exactly 40.11%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Swansea City
Exactly 047.68%
Exactly 135.31%
Exactly 213.08%
Exactly 33.23%
Exactly 40.60%

Alternate Props

Spread

Luton Town
Wins by 2+ goals8.06%
Wins by 3+ goals2.14%
Wins by 4+ goals0.43%
Swansea City
Wins by 2+ goals27.40%
Wins by 3+ goals11.50%
Wins by 4+ goals3.93%
Wins by 5+ goals1.11%
Wins by 6+ goals0.26%

Exact Winning Margin

Luton Town
Swansea City
4
3
2
1
D
1
2
3
4
5
6
Luton Town
Wins by 1 goal14.94%
Wins by 2 goals5.91%
Wins by 3 goals1.71%
Wins by 4 goals0.38%
Swansea City
Wins by 1 goal24.50%
Wins by 2 goals15.91%
Wins by 3 goals7.57%
Wins by 4 goals2.82%
Wins by 5 goals0.86%
Wins by 6 goals0.22%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.592.39%7.61%
1.572.78%27.22%
2.547.54%52.46%
3.525.86%74.14%
4.511.91%88.09%
5.54.72%95.28%
6.51.64%98.36%

Total Goals Luton Town Over/Under

OverUnder
0.562.31%37.69%
1.525.53%74.47%
2.57.59%92.41%
3.51.75%98.25%

Total Goals Swansea City Over/Under

OverUnder
0.579.80%20.20%
1.547.50%52.50%
2.521.66%78.34%
3.57.88%92.12%
4.52.37%97.63%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.569.65%30.35%
1.533.46%66.54%
2.511.89%88.11%
3.53.31%96.69%

Score Props

Correct Score

Luton Town
Swansea City
Score012345
0
7.61%
12.18%
9.74%
5.19%
2.08%
0.66%
1
7.43%
11.88%
9.50%
5.07%
2.03%
0.65%
2
3.62%
5.80%
4.64%
2.47%
0.99%
0.32%
3
1.18%
1.89%
1.51%
0.80%
0.32%
0.10%
4
0.29%
0.46%
0.37%
0.20%
0.08%
0.03%
Luton Town
1-07.43%
2-03.62%
2-15.80%
3-01.18%
3-11.89%
3-21.51%
4-00.29%
4-10.46%
4-20.37%
4-30.20%
Draw
0-07.61%
1-111.88%
2-24.64%
3-30.80%
Swansea City
0-112.18%
0-29.74%
1-29.50%
0-35.19%
1-35.07%
2-32.47%
0-42.08%
1-42.03%
2-40.99%
3-40.32%
0-50.66%
1-50.65%
2-50.32%
3-50.10%

Correct Score - First Half

Luton Town
Swansea City
Score01234
0
30.35%
22.48%
8.32%
2.06%
0.38%
1
13.71%
10.15%
3.76%
0.93%
0.17%
2
3.10%
2.29%
0.85%
0.21%
0.04%
3
0.47%
0.35%
0.13%
0.03%
0.01%
Luton Town
1-013.71%
2-03.10%
2-12.29%
3-00.47%
3-10.35%
3-20.13%
Draw
0-030.35%
1-110.15%
2-20.85%
Swansea City
0-122.48%
0-28.32%
1-23.76%
0-32.06%
1-30.93%
2-30.21%
0-40.38%
1-40.17%
Sunderland at Stoke City
Cardiff City at Watford