Derby County at Luton Town

Updated

Derby County

23.1%26.0%50.9%
Derby County WinDrawLuton Town Win
0.93Projected Goals 1.51
1Final Score 2

Luton Town

Last 5 Games

Derby County
Money Line
W 0-4 vs Portsmouth+110
T 0-0 at Burnley+450
L 0-2 at Leeds United+785
L 2-1 vs Sheffield Wednesday+165
L 2-1 vs Swansea City+170
Luton Town
Money Line
L 0-2 at Blackburn+240
W 1-2 vs Stoke City+105
T 1-1 vs Swansea City+125
L 2-4 at Norwich City+260
L 0-3 at Leeds United+650

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:3.8%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:5.0%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Derby County+260+278+270+250+265+250+278+278.8
Luton Town+110+116+110+111+112+111+116+128.4
Draw+215+221+200+210+217+210+221+235.5
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Derby County+245---+240+250+250+278.8
Luton Town+115----105+120+120+128.4
Draw+240---+205+220+220+235.5

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Derby County: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Luton Town: 30.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Derby County: 0.0%
Luton Town: 30.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Derby County: 0.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Derby County: 0.0%
Luton Town: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Derby County ML moved from +271 to +265
No Steam Moves On Luton Town ML

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Derby County: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Luton Town: 30.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Derby County: 0.0%
Luton Town: 30.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Derby County: 0.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Derby County: 0.0%
Luton Town: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Derby County ML moved from +260 to +250
No Steam Moves On Luton Town ML

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:3.5%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo2½+102o2-141o2¼+108o2¼+107o2¼+103o2¼+107o2¼+108o2¼+116
Underu2½-122u2+120u2¼-128u2¼-127u2¼-125u2¼-127u2+120u2¼-116
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Over-----o2¼+116
Under-----u2¼-116

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 10.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Over: 0.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes47.1%
 
No52.9%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 08.73%
Exactly 225.96%
Exactly 412.86%
Exactly 62.55%
Exactly 80.27%
 
Exactly 121.29%
Exactly 321.09%
Exactly 56.27%
Exactly 70.89%
Exact Goals Scored - Derby County
Exactly 039.58%
Exactly 136.68%
Exactly 217.00%
Exactly 35.25%
Exactly 41.22%
Exactly 50.23%
Exact Goals Scored - Luton Town
Exactly 022.07%
Exactly 133.35%
Exactly 225.19%
Exactly 312.69%
Exactly 44.79%
Exactly 51.45%
Exactly 60.36%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 032.34%
Exactly 220.60%
Exactly 42.19%
 
Exactly 136.51%
Exactly 37.75%
Exactly 50.49%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Derby County
Exactly 065.11%
Exactly 127.94%
Exactly 26.00%
Exactly 30.86%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Luton Town
Exactly 049.68%
Exactly 134.75%
Exactly 212.16%
Exactly 32.84%
Exactly 40.50%

Alternate Props

Spread

Derby County
Wins by 2+ goals7.85%
Wins by 3+ goals2.02%
Wins by 4+ goals0.39%
Luton Town
Wins by 2+ goals25.91%
Wins by 3+ goals10.39%
Wins by 4+ goals3.34%
Wins by 5+ goals0.85%
Wins by 6+ goals0.14%

Exact Winning Margin

Derby County
Luton Town
4
3
2
1
D
1
2
3
4
5
6
Derby County
Wins by 1 goal15.25%
Wins by 2 goals5.84%
Wins by 3 goals1.62%
Wins by 4 goals0.34%
Luton Town
Wins by 1 goal24.87%
Wins by 2 goals15.52%
Wins by 3 goals7.05%
Wins by 4 goals2.49%
Wins by 5 goals0.71%
Wins by 6 goals0.14%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.591.27%8.73%
1.569.97%30.03%
2.544.02%55.98%
3.522.92%77.08%
4.510.07%89.93%
5.53.80%96.20%
6.51.25%98.75%

Total Goals Derby County Over/Under

OverUnder
0.560.42%39.58%
1.523.74%76.26%
2.56.74%93.26%
3.51.48%98.52%

Total Goals Luton Town Over/Under

OverUnder
0.577.93%22.07%
1.544.59%55.41%
2.519.39%80.61%
3.56.70%93.30%
4.51.91%98.09%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.567.66%32.34%
1.531.15%68.85%
2.510.54%89.46%
3.52.79%97.21%

Score Props

Correct Score

Derby County
Luton Town
Score012345
0
8.73%
13.20%
9.97%
5.02%
1.90%
0.57%
1
8.10%
12.23%
9.24%
4.65%
1.76%
0.53%
2
3.75%
5.67%
4.28%
2.16%
0.81%
0.25%
3
1.16%
1.75%
1.32%
0.67%
0.25%
0.08%
4
0.27%
0.41%
0.31%
0.15%
0.06%
0.02%
Derby County
1-08.10%
2-03.75%
2-15.67%
3-01.16%
3-11.75%
3-21.32%
4-00.27%
4-10.41%
4-20.31%
4-30.15%
Draw
0-08.73%
1-112.23%
2-24.28%
3-30.67%
Luton Town
0-113.20%
0-29.97%
1-29.24%
0-35.02%
1-34.65%
2-32.16%
0-41.90%
1-41.76%
2-40.81%
3-40.25%
0-50.57%
1-50.53%
2-50.25%

Correct Score - First Half

Derby County
Luton Town
Score01234
0
32.34%
22.63%
7.92%
1.85%
0.32%
1
13.88%
9.71%
3.40%
0.79%
0.14%
2
2.98%
2.08%
0.73%
0.17%
0.03%
3
0.43%
0.30%
0.10%
0.02%
0.00%
Derby County
1-013.88%
2-02.98%
2-12.08%
3-00.43%
3-10.30%
3-20.10%
Draw
0-032.34%
1-19.71%
2-20.73%
Luton Town
0-122.63%
0-27.92%
1-23.40%
0-31.85%
1-30.79%
2-30.17%
0-40.32%
1-40.14%
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