England Championship Predictions

Updated

Upcoming Games for November 26, 2024

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML		GoalsTotal
Goals		Best
O/U

Bet Value

We use three different graphics to describe Bet Value within a matchup.

More on Bet Value
More Details
Coventry City
Burnley 		22.8%
51.2%		26.0%
+247
+118
+260
+110
0.91
1.51		2.42
o2¼-111
u2½-132

Volatility Bet Value Active
Sheffield Wednesday
Hull City 		29.1%
43.9%		27.0%
+206
+139
+205
+135
1.07
1.37		2.44
o2½-103
u2½-109

Plymouth Argyle
Norwich City 		12.9%
68.1%		19.0%
+475
-180
+480
-190
0.81
2.14		2.95
o3-110
u3-107

Oxford United
Sheffield United 		8.5%
75.7%		15.7%
+625
-210
+625
-230
0.67
2.40		3.07
o2½-122
u2¾-119

Preston North End
Stoke City 		18.6%
57.9%		23.6%
+238
+122
+230
+120
0.87
1.73		2.60
o2¼-108
u2½-134

Volatility Bet Value Active
Bristol City
Watford 		25.9%
47.8%		26.3%
+202
+138
+205
+130
1.00
1.47		2.47
o2½-107
u2½-105

West Bromwich Albion
Sunderland 		29.0%
43.6%		27.4%
+218
+132
+225
+130
1.04
1.34		2.38
o2¼-101
u2½-142

Volatility Bet Value Active
Games for Nov 25, 2024
Games for Nov 27, 2024

Completed Games

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML		Final
Goals		Sportsbook
Log Loss		DRatings
Log Loss
Millwall
Huddersfield		31.5%
39.5%		29.0%
+212
+157
+215
+150
0
1		-0.97559-0.96582-0.92841
West Bromwich Albion
Stoke City		33.1%
38.0%		28.8%
+173
+179
+165
+185
2
2		-1.20188-1.18097-1.24327
Leeds United
Coventry City		47.4%
26.8%		25.8%
+101
+257
-105
+250
1
2		-1.30542-1.30258-1.31669
Preston North End
Watford		17.6%
59.2%		23.3%
+284
+110
+275
+105
0
0		-1.26033-1.27122-1.45839
Swansea City
Middlesbrough		18.8%
58.4%		22.8%
+328
-127
+325
-135
0
2		-0.61315-0.60378-0.53791
Southampton
Blackburn		48.1%
26.6%		25.3%
+100
+261
-105
+270
0
0		-1.38806-1.38942-1.37452
Ipswich Town
Norwich City		30.4%
41.1%		28.5%
+151
+182
+150
+170
0
1		-1.07087-1.04401-0.88933
Plymouth Argyle
Rotherham United		23.4%
51.8%		24.8%
+101
+289
-115
+310
1
0		-0.73224-0.67712-1.45329
Hull City
Leeds United		8.1%
77.7%		14.2%
+671
-248
+675
-265
1
3		-0.37285-0.37004-0.25234
Blackburn
Sunderland		32.8%
38.9%		28.2%
+235
+125
+240
+120
5
1		-1.24122-1.27418-1.11325
Watford
West Bromwich Albion		19.6%
56.3%		24.1%
+316
+100
+340
-110
2
2		-1.26606-1.25734-1.42250
Sheffield Wednesday
Middlesbrough		12.1%
69.2%		18.6%
+348
-120
+360
-125
0
2		-0.63881-0.63726-0.36753
Millwall
Rotherham United		32.4%
38.1%		29.5%
-139
+479
-140
+440
1
2		-1.78773-1.73534-0.96582
Preston North End
Birmingham City		25.6%
47.7%		26.7%
+246
+120
+230
+120
0
1		-0.82462-0.83884-0.74049
Cardiff City
Coventry City		19.1%
57.4%		23.5%
+590
-205
+585
-215
2
1		-1.96676-1.97371-1.65428
Huddersfield
Stoke City		18.3%
58.4%		23.3%
+278
+106
+280
+105
1
1		-1.28786-1.25727-1.45607
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Season Prediction Results

 GamesRecord (Pct)No Pick

Log Loss

Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model.

More on Log Loss
+/-
Sportsbooks11-0-0 (1.000)0-0.65913 
Sportsbooks11-0-0 (1.000)0-0.65427 
DRatings11-0-0 (1.000)0-0.66345
-0.00432
-0.00918

Season Simulation

*Through all games played on or before 11/10/24
#TeamWLTPtsWin LeaguePromotionPromotion PlayoffRelegation
1Sheffield United (10-2-3, 33 pts)24.210.411.484.032.6%66.6%30.2%0.0%
2Sunderland (9-2-4, 31 pts)20.112.813.173.43.7%11.5%55.6%0.0%
3Leeds United (8-2-5, 29 pts)24.48.712.986.052.3%78.9%19.2%0.0%
4Burnley (7-2-6, 27 pts)19.611.714.773.44.2%14.9%53.1%0.0%
5West Bromwich Albion (6-2-7, 25 pts)17.911.916.169.91.6%5.7%42.6%0.1%
6Watford (8-6-1, 25 pts)19.117.010.067.20.5%2.1%27.5%0.6%
7Middlesbrough (7-5-3, 24 pts)21.213.211.575.34.9%17.2%59.5%0.0%
8Millwall (6-4-5, 23 pts)16.515.614.063.40.0%0.2%17.1%1.2%
9Blackburn (6-5-4, 22 pts)16.516.513.062.40.0%0.3%12.8%2.1%
10Bristol City (5-3-7, 22 pts)16.113.916.064.20.2%0.9%18.3%1.2%
11Swansea City (5-6-4, 19 pts)16.217.012.861.30.0%0.4%10.3%2.5%
12Derby County (5-6-4, 19 pts)15.018.212.857.90.0%0.1%3.6%7.2%
13Stoke City (5-6-4, 19 pts)15.917.312.860.50.0%0.2%7.3%3.9%
14Norwich City (4-5-6, 18 pts)16.115.014.963.30.0%0.3%17.9%1.3%
15Sheffield Wednesday (5-7-3, 18 pts)15.918.112.159.60.0%0.0%7.0%6.0%
16Oxford United (4-6-5, 17 pts)12.220.313.550.10.0%0.0%0.5%37.7%
17Coventry City (4-7-4, 16 pts)16.117.112.861.00.0%0.7%9.4%4.1%
18Plymouth Argyle (4-7-4, 16 pts)12.321.112.649.60.0%0.0%0.6%45.3%
19Hull City (3-6-6, 15 pts)13.217.914.954.40.0%0.0%1.9%16.7%
20Preston North End (3-6-6, 15 pts)12.219.014.851.40.0%0.0%0.5%31.6%
21Luton Town (4-8-3, 15 pts)15.118.912.157.20.0%0.0%3.2%10.3%
22Cardiff City (4-8-3, 15 pts)14.020.012.054.10.0%0.0%1.3%20.3%
23Portsmouth (2-7-6, 12 pts)10.820.514.747.20.0%0.0%0.1%58.9%
24Queens Park Rangers (1-7-7, 10 pts)10.819.216.048.40.0%0.0%0.5%49.0%

Predictions Methodology

The Championship is England's second division soccer league. The league consists of 24 teams that each play a total of 46 games in their league's season. The top two teams get promoted to the Premier League. The 3rd through 6th places teams play a tournament to see who gets the third promotion spot in the Premier League. The three teams who finish at the bottom of the table are relegated to League One.