England Championship Predictions

Updated

Upcoming Games for November 26, 2024

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML		GoalsTotal
Goals		Best
O/U

Bet Value

We use three different graphics to describe Bet Value within a matchup.

More on Bet Value
More Details
Coventry City
Burnley 		22.8%
51.2%		26.0%
+247
+118
+260
+110
0.91
1.51		2.42
o2¼-111
u2½-132

Volatility Bet Value Active
Sheffield Wednesday
Hull City 		29.1%
43.9%		27.0%
+206
+139
+205
+135
1.07
1.37		2.44
o2½-103
u2½-109

Plymouth Argyle
Norwich City 		12.9%
68.1%		19.0%
+467
-180
+480
-190
0.81
2.14		2.95
o3-110
u3-107

Oxford United
Sheffield United 		8.5%
75.7%		15.7%
+616
-210
+625
-230
0.67
2.40		3.07
o2½-122
u2¾-119

Preston North End
Stoke City 		18.6%
57.9%		23.6%
+238
+122
+230
+120
0.87
1.73		2.60
o2¼-115
u2½-134

Volatility Bet Value Active
Bristol City
Watford 		25.9%
47.8%		26.3%
+202
+138
+205
+130
1.00
1.47		2.47
o2½-107
u2½-105

West Bromwich Albion
Sunderland 		29.0%
43.6%		27.4%
+218
+132
+225
+130
1.04
1.34		2.38
o2¼-101
u2½-142

Volatility Bet Value Active
Games for Nov 25, 2024
Games for Nov 27, 2024

Completed Games

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML		Final
Goals		Sportsbook
Log Loss		DRatings
Log Loss
Queens Park Rangers
Swansea City		17.8%
60.5%		21.7%
+187
+158
+190
+155
1
0		-1.08913-1.11301-1.72406
Bristol City
Plymouth Argyle		32.8%
40.3%		26.9%
+155
+194
+155
+180
1
0		-0.96816-0.98709-1.11450
Norwich City
Leicester City		13.4%
67.5%		19.1%
+405
-156
+390
-160
1
3		-0.53295-0.53623-0.39326
Leeds United
Watford		46.1%
27.7%		26.2%
-195
+528
-200
+520
2
2		-1.58002-1.54426-1.33907
Ipswich Town
Blackburn		33.3%
38.2%		28.5%
+100
+272
-110
+275
1
0		-0.72264-0.69563-1.09898
Plymouth Argyle
Norwich City		17.6%
60.3%		22.1%
+535
-197
+510
-200
1
2		-0.44799-0.45694-0.50609
Coventry City
Huddersfield		33.8%
37.1%		29.1%
+128
+218
+125
+215
3
1		-0.85757-0.86140-1.08586
Swansea City
Sheffield Wednesday		36.2%
35.4%		28.5%
+183
+156
+180
+150
1
1		-1.26954-1.27379-1.25695
Sunderland
Cardiff City		22.6%
52.5%		24.9%
+203
+162
+200
+160
2
0		-1.14432-1.14863-1.48510
Middlesbrough
Southampton		21.3%
55.4%		23.3%
+443
-179
+420
-180
1
1		-1.59875-1.58587-1.45878
Birmingham City
Queens Park Rangers		27.0%
47.0%		26.0%
+279
+105
+290
+100
1
2		-0.75453-0.74244-0.75443
Stoke City
Hull City		35.0%
36.3%		28.7%
+285
-102
+295
-110
2
0		-1.38174-1.42341-1.05091
Rotherham United
Preston North End		25.9%
47.0%		27.1%
+635
-198
+600
-200
0
3		-0.44777-0.45471-0.75594
West Bromwich Albion
Millwall		36.2%
34.3%		29.5%
+147
+225
+150
+220
1
1		-1.15925-1.13202-1.21966
Leicester City
Bristol City		49.3%
26.1%		24.6%
-148
+430
-160
+440
0
1		-1.70435-1.73568-1.34473
Millwall
Leeds United		10.8%
71.9%		17.4%
+947
-318
+1050
-350
0
2		-0.31113-0.28923-0.33045
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Season Prediction Results

 GamesRecord (Pct)No Pick

Log Loss

Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model.

More on Log Loss
+/-
Sportsbooks11-0-0 (1.000)0-0.65913 
Sportsbooks11-0-0 (1.000)0-0.65427 
DRatings11-0-0 (1.000)0-0.66345
-0.00432
-0.00918

Season Simulation

*Through all games played on or before 11/10/24
#TeamWLTPtsWin LeaguePromotionPromotion PlayoffRelegation
1Sheffield United (10-2-3, 33 pts)24.210.411.484.032.6%66.6%30.2%0.0%
2Sunderland (9-2-4, 31 pts)20.112.813.173.43.7%11.5%55.6%0.0%
3Leeds United (8-2-5, 29 pts)24.48.712.986.052.3%78.9%19.2%0.0%
4Burnley (7-2-6, 27 pts)19.611.714.773.44.2%14.9%53.1%0.0%
5West Bromwich Albion (6-2-7, 25 pts)17.911.916.169.91.6%5.7%42.6%0.1%
6Watford (8-6-1, 25 pts)19.117.010.067.20.5%2.1%27.5%0.6%
7Middlesbrough (7-5-3, 24 pts)21.213.211.575.34.9%17.2%59.5%0.0%
8Millwall (6-4-5, 23 pts)16.515.614.063.40.0%0.2%17.1%1.2%
9Blackburn (6-5-4, 22 pts)16.516.513.062.40.0%0.3%12.8%2.1%
10Bristol City (5-3-7, 22 pts)16.113.916.064.20.2%0.9%18.3%1.2%
11Swansea City (5-6-4, 19 pts)16.217.012.861.30.0%0.4%10.3%2.5%
12Derby County (5-6-4, 19 pts)15.018.212.857.90.0%0.1%3.6%7.2%
13Stoke City (5-6-4, 19 pts)15.917.312.860.50.0%0.2%7.3%3.9%
14Norwich City (4-5-6, 18 pts)16.115.014.963.30.0%0.3%17.9%1.3%
15Sheffield Wednesday (5-7-3, 18 pts)15.918.112.159.60.0%0.0%7.0%6.0%
16Oxford United (4-6-5, 17 pts)12.220.313.550.10.0%0.0%0.5%37.7%
17Coventry City (4-7-4, 16 pts)16.117.112.861.00.0%0.7%9.4%4.1%
18Plymouth Argyle (4-7-4, 16 pts)12.321.112.649.60.0%0.0%0.6%45.3%
19Hull City (3-6-6, 15 pts)13.217.914.954.40.0%0.0%1.9%16.7%
20Preston North End (3-6-6, 15 pts)12.219.014.851.40.0%0.0%0.5%31.6%
21Luton Town (4-8-3, 15 pts)15.118.912.157.20.0%0.0%3.2%10.3%
22Cardiff City (4-8-3, 15 pts)14.020.012.054.10.0%0.0%1.3%20.3%
23Portsmouth (2-7-6, 12 pts)10.820.514.747.20.0%0.0%0.1%58.9%
24Queens Park Rangers (1-7-7, 10 pts)10.819.216.048.40.0%0.0%0.5%49.0%

Predictions Methodology

The Championship is England's second division soccer league. The league consists of 24 teams that each play a total of 46 games in their league's season. The top two teams get promoted to the Premier League. The 3rd through 6th places teams play a tournament to see who gets the third promotion spot in the Premier League. The three teams who finish at the bottom of the table are relegated to League One.