England Championship Predictions

Updated

Upcoming Games for November 26, 2024

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML		GoalsTotal
Goals		Best
O/U

Bet Value

We use three different graphics to describe Bet Value within a matchup.

More on Bet Value
More Details
Coventry City
Burnley 		22.8%
51.2%		26.0%
+247
+118
+260
+110
0.91
1.51		2.42
o2¼-111
u2½-132

Volatility Bet Value Active
Sheffield Wednesday
Hull City 		29.1%
43.9%		27.0%
+206
+139
+205
+135
1.07
1.37		2.44
o2½+100
u2½-113

Plymouth Argyle
Norwich City 		12.9%
68.1%		19.0%
+467
-180
+480
-190
0.81
2.14		2.95
o3-110
u3-107

Oxford United
Sheffield United 		8.5%
75.7%		15.7%
+616
-210
+625
-230
0.67
2.40		3.07
o2½-122
u2¾-119

Preston North End
Stoke City 		18.6%
57.9%		23.6%
+238
+122
+230
+120
0.87
1.73		2.60
o2¼-115
u2½-134

Volatility Bet Value Active
Bristol City
Watford 		25.9%
47.8%		26.3%
+202
+138
+205
+130
1.00
1.47		2.47
o2½-107
u2½-105

West Bromwich Albion
Sunderland 		29.0%
43.6%		27.4%
+218
+132
+225
+130
1.04
1.34		2.38
o2¼-101
u2½-142

Volatility Bet Value Active
Games for Nov 25, 2024
Games for Nov 27, 2024

Completed Games

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML		Final
Goals		Sportsbook
Log Loss		DRatings
Log Loss
Blackburn
Middlesbrough		15.0%
64.4%		20.6%
+339
-118
+315
-120
0
0		-1.37646-1.37346-1.58051
Bristol City
West Bromwich Albion		14.6%
65.0%		20.4%
+392
-118
+395
-125
0
2		-0.65009-0.63819-0.43097
Watford
Birmingham City		35.2%
35.3%		29.5%
+218
+149
+165
+165
1
0		-1.16787-1.02641-1.04447
Sheffield Wednesday
Ipswich Town		16.0%
62.2%		21.7%
+453
-167
+450
-170
0
6		-0.50685-0.51371-0.47446
Norwich City
Stoke City		23.1%
51.0%		26.0%
+177
+167
+175
+155
3
0		-1.04725-1.06031-1.46716
Queens Park Rangers
Sunderland		28.6%
44.9%		26.5%
+160
+196
+165
+180
0
0		-1.20621-1.19806-1.32980
Preston North End
Plymouth Argyle		29.3%
43.9%		26.8%
+211
+138
+205
+140
1
0		-1.16899-1.16603-1.22861
Cardiff City
Swansea City		18.9%
58.3%		22.7%
+292
+105
+300
+100
0
2		-0.75587-0.74482-0.53878
Middlesbrough
Birmingham City		45.0%
28.0%		26.9%
+140
+199
+140
+190
1
0		-0.90394-0.92553-0.79777
Swansea City
Bristol City		32.4%
40.3%		27.3%
+221
+135
+225
+180
0
1		-0.88765-0.96648-0.90847
West Bromwich Albion
Huddersfield		43.7%
28.8%		27.5%
+165
+190
+160
+180
4
1		-1.00772-1.00835-0.82684
Birmingham City
Millwall		20.3%
54.8%		24.8%
+249
+127
+240
+125
0
1		-0.84765-0.86074-0.60097
Plymouth Argyle
Blackburn		19.8%
57.4%		22.8%
+332
-115
+310
-110
1
1		-1.36016-1.32543-1.47797
Sunderland
Southampton		8.5%
76.7%		14.8%
+776
-248
+740
-300
2
4		-0.34414-0.33731-0.26483
Rotherham United
Norwich City		20.0%
55.4%		24.6%
+839
-275
+825
-295
0
5		-0.34250-0.34167-0.59072
Middlesbrough
Queens Park Rangers		46.6%
27.5%		25.9%
+209
+143
+210
+130
2
0		-1.15369-1.18159-0.76406
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Season Prediction Results

 GamesRecord (Pct)No Pick

Log Loss

Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model.

More on Log Loss
+/-
Sportsbooks11-0-0 (1.000)0-0.65913 
Sportsbooks11-0-0 (1.000)0-0.65427 
DRatings11-0-0 (1.000)0-0.66345
-0.00432
-0.00918

Season Simulation

*Through all games played on or before 11/10/24
#TeamWLTPtsWin LeaguePromotionPromotion PlayoffRelegation
1Sheffield United (10-2-3, 33 pts)24.210.411.484.032.6%66.6%30.2%0.0%
2Sunderland (9-2-4, 31 pts)20.112.813.173.43.7%11.5%55.6%0.0%
3Leeds United (8-2-5, 29 pts)24.48.712.986.052.3%78.9%19.2%0.0%
4Burnley (7-2-6, 27 pts)19.611.714.773.44.2%14.9%53.1%0.0%
5West Bromwich Albion (6-2-7, 25 pts)17.911.916.169.91.6%5.7%42.6%0.1%
6Watford (8-6-1, 25 pts)19.117.010.067.20.5%2.1%27.5%0.6%
7Middlesbrough (7-5-3, 24 pts)21.213.211.575.34.9%17.2%59.5%0.0%
8Millwall (6-4-5, 23 pts)16.515.614.063.40.0%0.2%17.1%1.2%
9Blackburn (6-5-4, 22 pts)16.516.513.062.40.0%0.3%12.8%2.1%
10Bristol City (5-3-7, 22 pts)16.113.916.064.20.2%0.9%18.3%1.2%
11Swansea City (5-6-4, 19 pts)16.217.012.861.30.0%0.4%10.3%2.5%
12Derby County (5-6-4, 19 pts)15.018.212.857.90.0%0.1%3.6%7.2%
13Stoke City (5-6-4, 19 pts)15.917.312.860.50.0%0.2%7.3%3.9%
14Norwich City (4-5-6, 18 pts)16.115.014.963.30.0%0.3%17.9%1.3%
15Sheffield Wednesday (5-7-3, 18 pts)15.918.112.159.60.0%0.0%7.0%6.0%
16Oxford United (4-6-5, 17 pts)12.220.313.550.10.0%0.0%0.5%37.7%
17Coventry City (4-7-4, 16 pts)16.117.112.861.00.0%0.7%9.4%4.1%
18Plymouth Argyle (4-7-4, 16 pts)12.321.112.649.60.0%0.0%0.6%45.3%
19Hull City (3-6-6, 15 pts)13.217.914.954.40.0%0.0%1.9%16.7%
20Preston North End (3-6-6, 15 pts)12.219.014.851.40.0%0.0%0.5%31.6%
21Luton Town (4-8-3, 15 pts)15.118.912.157.20.0%0.0%3.2%10.3%
22Cardiff City (4-8-3, 15 pts)14.020.012.054.10.0%0.0%1.3%20.3%
23Portsmouth (2-7-6, 12 pts)10.820.514.747.20.0%0.0%0.1%58.9%
24Queens Park Rangers (1-7-7, 10 pts)10.819.216.048.40.0%0.0%0.5%49.0%

Predictions Methodology

The Championship is England's second division soccer league. The league consists of 24 teams that each play a total of 46 games in their league's season. The top two teams get promoted to the Premier League. The 3rd through 6th places teams play a tournament to see who gets the third promotion spot in the Premier League. The three teams who finish at the bottom of the table are relegated to League One.