Watford at Birmingham City

Updated

Watford

35.2%29.5%35.3%
Watford WinDrawBirmingham City Win
1.07Projected Goals 1.08
1Final Score 0

Birmingham City

Last 5 Games

Watford
Money Line
L 2-1 vs Coventry City+185
T 1-1 vs Swansea City+125
L 0-1 at Millwall+195
L 2-1 vs Huddersfield+100
W 1-0 at Rotherham United-115
Birmingham City
Money Line
L 1-0 vs Middlesbrough+190
L 0-1 at Millwall+240
T 1-1 at Hull City+400
L 4-3 vs Southampton+305
L 1-3 at Ipswich Town+500

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:1.1%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:5.1%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Watford+195+218+205+188+191+188+218+210.6
Birmingham City+145+132+135+131+149+131+149+149.2
Draw+215+239+220+235+237+235+239+261.3
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Watford+185---+160+165+165+210.6
Birmingham City+145---+140+165+165+149.2
Draw+245---+210+235+235+261.3

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Watford: 10.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Birmingham City: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Watford: 20.0%
Birmingham City: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Watford: 0.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Watford: 0.0%
Birmingham City: 10.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Watford ML moved from +213 to +191
Birmingham City ML moved from +149 to +133

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Watford: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Birmingham City: 50.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Watford: 10.0%
Birmingham City: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Watford: 10.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Watford: 0.0%
Birmingham City: 70.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Watford ML moved from +170 to +160
No Steam Moves On Birmingham City ML

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:2.4%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo2½-122o2½-112o2½-110o2½-106o2½-107o2½-106o2½-106o2½+104
Underu2½+102u2½-104u2½-110u2½-114u2½-111u2½-114u2½-104u2½-104
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Over-----o2½+104
Under-----u2½-104

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 10.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 10.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Over: 0.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes43.4%
 
No56.6%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 011.63%
Exactly 226.92%
Exactly 410.39%
Exactly 61.60%
Exactly 80.13%
 
Exactly 125.02%
Exactly 319.31%
Exactly 54.47%
Exactly 70.49%
Exact Goals Scored - Watford
Exactly 034.13%
Exactly 136.69%
Exactly 219.72%
Exactly 37.07%
Exactly 41.90%
Exactly 50.41%
Exact Goals Scored - Birmingham City
Exactly 034.07%
Exactly 136.68%
Exactly 219.75%
Exactly 37.09%
Exactly 41.91%
Exactly 50.41%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 036.93%
Exactly 218.33%
Exactly 41.52%
 
Exactly 136.79%
Exactly 36.09%
Exactly 50.30%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Watford
Exactly 060.79%
Exactly 130.26%
Exactly 27.53%
Exactly 31.25%
Exactly 40.16%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Birmingham City
Exactly 060.74%
Exactly 130.28%
Exactly 27.55%
Exactly 31.25%
Exactly 40.16%

Alternate Props

Spread

Watford
Wins by 2+ goals13.83%
Wins by 3+ goals4.12%
Wins by 4+ goals0.94%
Wins by 5+ goals0.14%
Birmingham City
Wins by 2+ goals13.89%
Wins by 3+ goals4.14%
Wins by 4+ goals0.94%
Wins by 5+ goals0.14%

Exact Winning Margin

Watford
Birmingham City
5
4
3
2
1
D
1
2
3
4
5
Watford
Wins by 1 goal21.27%
Wins by 2 goals9.71%
Wins by 3 goals3.18%
Wins by 4 goals0.80%
Wins by 5 goals0.14%
Birmingham City
Wins by 1 goal21.31%
Wins by 2 goals9.75%
Wins by 3 goals3.20%
Wins by 4 goals0.80%
Wins by 5 goals0.14%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.588.37%11.63%
1.563.35%36.65%
2.536.43%63.57%
3.517.13%82.87%
4.56.74%93.26%
5.52.27%97.73%

Total Goals Watford Over/Under

OverUnder
0.565.87%34.13%
1.529.18%70.82%
2.59.46%90.54%
3.52.39%97.61%

Total Goals Birmingham City Over/Under

OverUnder
0.565.93%34.07%
1.529.25%70.75%
2.59.50%90.50%
3.52.41%97.59%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.563.07%36.93%
1.526.29%73.71%
2.57.96%92.04%
3.51.88%98.12%

Score Props

Correct Score

Watford
Birmingham City
Score012345
0
11.63%
12.52%
6.74%
2.42%
0.65%
0.14%
1
12.50%
13.46%
7.25%
2.60%
0.70%
0.15%
2
6.72%
7.23%
3.89%
1.40%
0.38%
0.08%
3
2.41%
2.59%
1.40%
0.50%
0.13%
0.03%
4
0.65%
0.70%
0.38%
0.13%
0.04%
0.01%
5
0.14%
0.15%
0.08%
0.03%
0.01%
0.00%
Watford
1-012.50%
2-06.72%
2-17.23%
3-02.41%
3-12.59%
3-21.40%
4-00.65%
4-10.70%
4-20.38%
4-30.13%
5-00.14%
5-10.15%
Draw
0-011.63%
1-113.46%
2-23.89%
3-30.50%
Birmingham City
0-112.52%
0-26.74%
1-27.25%
0-32.42%
1-32.60%
2-31.40%
0-40.65%
1-40.70%
2-40.38%
3-40.13%
0-50.14%
1-50.15%

Correct Score - First Half

Watford
Birmingham City
Score0123
0
36.93%
18.41%
4.59%
0.76%
1
18.38%
9.16%
2.28%
0.38%
2
4.57%
2.28%
0.57%
0.09%
3
0.76%
0.38%
0.09%
0.02%
Watford
1-018.38%
2-04.57%
2-12.28%
3-00.76%
3-10.38%
Draw
0-036.93%
1-19.16%
2-20.57%
Birmingham City
0-118.41%
0-24.59%
1-22.28%
0-30.76%
1-30.38%
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