Swansea City at Watford

Updated

Swansea City

25.5%26.2%48.3%
Swansea City WinDrawWatford Win
1.00Projected Goals 1.48
1Final Score 1

Watford

Last 5 Games

Swansea City
Money Line
W 1-2 vs Blackburn+100
W 2-1 at Sunderland+300
L 2-1 vs Ipswich Town+320
L 4-0 vs Leeds United+425
W 1-0 at Hull City+375
Watford
Money Line
L 0-1 at Millwall+195
L 2-1 vs Huddersfield+100
W 1-0 at Rotherham United-115
L 2-4 at Norwich City+245
L 2-1 vs Leicester City+295

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:3.1%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:4.9%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Swansea City+225+234+220+191+239+191+239+214.8
Watford+115+122+120+123+118+123+123+141.3
Draw+240+245+230+245+247+245+247+273.3
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Swansea City+225---+205+220+220+214.8
Watford+120---+100+125+125+141.3
Draw+245---+235+240+240+273.3

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Swansea City: 30.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Watford: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Swansea City: 0.0%
Watford: 20.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Swansea City: 10.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Swansea City: 40.0%
Watford: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Swansea City ML moved from +224 to +216
Watford ML moved from +131 to +123

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Swansea City: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Watford: 10.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Swansea City: 0.0%
Watford: 30.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Swansea City: 0.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Swansea City: 20.0%
Watford: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Swansea City ML moved from +225 to +215
No Steam Moves On Watford ML

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:2.9%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo2½-115o2½-119o2½-118o2½-121o2½-114o2½-121o2½-114o2½-110
Underu2½-105u2½+101u2½-102u2½+101u2½-104u2½+101u2½+101u2½+110
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Over-----o2½-110
Under-----u2½+110

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Over: 0.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes48.7%
 
No51.3%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 08.40%
Exactly 225.77%
Exactly 413.18%
Exactly 62.69%
Exactly 80.30%
 
Exactly 120.80%
Exactly 321.28%
Exactly 56.53%
Exactly 70.95%
Exact Goals Scored - Swansea City
Exactly 036.88%
Exactly 136.79%
Exactly 218.35%
Exactly 36.10%
Exactly 41.52%
Exactly 50.30%
Exact Goals Scored - Watford
Exactly 022.77%
Exactly 133.69%
Exactly 224.93%
Exactly 312.29%
Exactly 44.55%
Exactly 51.35%
Exactly 60.33%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 031.76%
Exactly 220.89%
Exactly 42.29%
Exactly 60.10%
 
Exactly 136.43%
Exactly 37.99%
Exactly 50.53%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Swansea City
Exactly 063.01%
Exactly 129.10%
Exactly 26.72%
Exactly 31.03%
Exactly 40.12%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Watford
Exactly 050.41%
Exactly 134.53%
Exactly 211.83%
Exactly 32.70%
Exactly 40.46%

Alternate Props

Spread

Swansea City
Wins by 2+ goals9.15%
Wins by 3+ goals2.50%
Wins by 4+ goals0.52%
Watford
Wins by 2+ goals24.09%
Wins by 3+ goals9.45%
Wins by 4+ goals2.97%
Wins by 5+ goals0.74%
Wins by 6+ goals0.12%

Exact Winning Margin

Swansea City
Watford
4
3
2
1
D
1
2
3
4
5
6
Swansea City
Wins by 1 goal16.28%
Wins by 2 goals6.65%
Wins by 3 goals1.98%
Wins by 4 goals0.45%
Watford
Wins by 1 goal24.15%
Wins by 2 goals14.64%
Wins by 3 goals6.47%
Wins by 4 goals2.23%
Wins by 5 goals0.62%
Wins by 6 goals0.12%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.591.60%8.40%
1.570.80%29.20%
2.545.03%54.97%
3.523.75%76.25%
4.510.58%89.42%
5.54.05%95.95%
6.51.36%98.64%

Total Goals Swansea City Over/Under

OverUnder
0.563.12%36.88%
1.526.33%73.67%
2.57.98%92.02%
3.51.88%98.12%

Total Goals Watford Over/Under

OverUnder
0.577.23%22.77%
1.543.53%56.47%
2.518.61%81.39%
3.56.31%93.69%
4.51.76%98.24%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.568.24%31.76%
1.531.81%68.19%
2.510.92%89.08%
3.52.93%97.07%

Score Props

Correct Score

Swansea City
Watford
Score012345
0
8.40%
12.43%
9.19%
4.53%
1.68%
0.50%
1
8.38%
12.40%
9.17%
4.52%
1.67%
0.50%
2
4.18%
6.18%
4.57%
2.26%
0.83%
0.25%
3
1.39%
2.06%
1.52%
0.75%
0.28%
0.08%
4
0.35%
0.51%
0.38%
0.19%
0.07%
0.02%
Swansea City
1-08.38%
2-04.18%
2-16.18%
3-01.39%
3-12.06%
3-21.52%
4-00.35%
4-10.51%
4-20.38%
4-30.19%
Draw
0-08.40%
1-112.40%
2-24.57%
3-30.75%
Watford
0-112.43%
0-29.19%
1-29.17%
0-34.53%
1-34.52%
2-32.26%
0-41.68%
1-41.67%
2-40.83%
3-40.28%
0-50.50%
1-50.50%
2-50.25%

Correct Score - First Half

Swansea City
Watford
Score01234
0
31.76%
21.76%
7.45%
1.70%
0.29%
1
14.67%
10.05%
3.44%
0.79%
0.13%
2
3.39%
2.32%
0.79%
0.18%
0.03%
3
0.52%
0.36%
0.12%
0.03%
0.00%
Swansea City
1-014.67%
2-03.39%
2-12.32%
3-00.52%
3-10.36%
3-20.12%
Draw
0-031.76%
1-110.05%
2-20.79%
Watford
0-121.76%
0-27.45%
1-23.44%
0-31.70%
1-30.79%
2-30.18%
0-40.29%
1-40.13%
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