England Championship Predictions

Updated

Upcoming Games for November 26, 2024

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML		GoalsTotal
Goals		Best
O/U

Bet Value

We use three different graphics to describe Bet Value within a matchup.

More on Bet Value
More Details
Coventry City
Burnley 		22.8%
51.2%		26.0%
+247
+118
+260
+110
0.91
1.51		2.42
o2¼-111
u2½-132

Volatility Bet Value Active
Sheffield Wednesday
Hull City 		29.1%
43.9%		27.0%
+206
+139
+205
+135
1.07
1.37		2.44
o2½+100
u2½-113

Plymouth Argyle
Norwich City 		12.9%
68.1%		19.0%
+500
-180
+480
-195
0.81
2.14		2.95
o3-110
u3-107

Oxford United
Sheffield United 		8.5%
75.7%		15.7%
+616
-210
+625
-230
0.67
2.40		3.07
o2½-122
u2¾-119

Preston North End
Stoke City 		18.6%
57.9%		23.6%
+238
+122
+230
+120
0.87
1.73		2.60
o2¼-115
u2½-134

Volatility Bet Value Active
Bristol City
Watford 		25.9%
47.8%		26.3%
+202
+138
+205
+130
1.00
1.47		2.47
o2½-107
u2½-105

West Bromwich Albion
Sunderland 		29.0%
43.6%		27.4%
+218
+132
+225
+130
1.04
1.34		2.38
o2¼-101
u2½-142

Volatility Bet Value Active
Games for Nov 25, 2024
Games for Nov 27, 2024

Completed Games

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML		Final
Goals		Sportsbook
Log Loss		DRatings
Log Loss
Leicester City
Hull City		51.8%
24.0%		24.2%
+115
+245
+110
+240
2
2		-1.29887-1.31763-1.41774
Stoke City
Preston North End		35.7%
34.7%		29.5%
+208
+160
+205
+150
2
1		-1.13990-1.16437-1.02904
Coventry City
Watford		25.1%
47.9%		26.9%
+147
+188
+145
+185
2
1		-0.93744-0.94788-1.38210
Ipswich Town
Cardiff City		36.6%
34.8%		28.6%
-130
+384
-135
+375
1
2		-1.61335-1.60849-1.05518
Leeds United
Sheffield Wednesday		60.0%
18.2%		21.8%
-185
+509
-170
+450
2
0		-0.46565-0.51371-0.51104
West Bromwich Albion
Queens Park Rangers		46.1%
27.7%		26.3%
+152
+224
+150
+225
2
2		-1.14570-1.11590-1.33747
Swansea City
Watford		25.5%
48.3%		26.2%
+239
+123
+220
+125
1
1		-1.27525-1.27357-1.33975
Norwich City
Middlesbrough		17.0%
60.6%		22.5%
+181
+158
+175
+150
1
3		-0.97894-0.96446-0.50144
Huddersfield
Cardiff City		26.1%
47.7%		26.3%
+194
+166
+180
+175
0
1		-1.01526-1.05909-0.74127
Bristol City
Ipswich Town		18.9%
58.0%		23.1%
+461
-154
+460
-165
2
3		-0.53018-0.52373-0.54464
Stoke City
Leeds United		12.4%
69.2%		18.4%
+753
-249
+700
-270
0
1		-0.35820-0.36464-0.36883
Leicester City
Sunderland		56.6%
20.5%		22.8%
-118
+332
-125
+330
1
0		-0.64777-0.63779-0.56877
Plymouth Argyle
Sheffield Wednesday		23.9%
51.3%		24.8%
+300
-105
+290
-105
0
1		-0.70384-0.71812-0.66832
Millwall
Blackburn		28.7%
43.6%		27.7%
+248
+125
+245
+120
1
1		-1.23032-1.22946-1.28208
Rotherham United
Coventry City		18.2%
58.2%		23.6%
+784
-280
+800
-310
0
5		-0.33959-0.33066-0.54206
Birmingham City
Hull City		25.5%
48.4%		26.1%
+422
-144
+400
-150
1
1		-1.42878-1.43511-1.34412
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Season Prediction Results

 GamesRecord (Pct)No Pick

Log Loss

Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model.

More on Log Loss
+/-
Sportsbooks11-0-0 (1.000)0-0.65913 
Sportsbooks11-0-0 (1.000)0-0.65427 
DRatings11-0-0 (1.000)0-0.66345
-0.00432
-0.00918

Season Simulation

*Through all games played on or before 11/10/24
#TeamWLTPtsWin LeaguePromotionPromotion PlayoffRelegation
1Sheffield United (10-2-3, 33 pts)24.210.411.484.032.6%66.6%30.2%0.0%
2Sunderland (9-2-4, 31 pts)20.112.813.173.43.7%11.5%55.6%0.0%
3Leeds United (8-2-5, 29 pts)24.48.712.986.052.3%78.9%19.2%0.0%
4Burnley (7-2-6, 27 pts)19.611.714.773.44.2%14.9%53.1%0.0%
5West Bromwich Albion (6-2-7, 25 pts)17.911.916.169.91.6%5.7%42.6%0.1%
6Watford (8-6-1, 25 pts)19.117.010.067.20.5%2.1%27.5%0.6%
7Middlesbrough (7-5-3, 24 pts)21.213.211.575.34.9%17.2%59.5%0.0%
8Millwall (6-4-5, 23 pts)16.515.614.063.40.0%0.2%17.1%1.2%
9Blackburn (6-5-4, 22 pts)16.516.513.062.40.0%0.3%12.8%2.1%
10Bristol City (5-3-7, 22 pts)16.113.916.064.20.2%0.9%18.3%1.2%
11Swansea City (5-6-4, 19 pts)16.217.012.861.30.0%0.4%10.3%2.5%
12Derby County (5-6-4, 19 pts)15.018.212.857.90.0%0.1%3.6%7.2%
13Stoke City (5-6-4, 19 pts)15.917.312.860.50.0%0.2%7.3%3.9%
14Norwich City (4-5-6, 18 pts)16.115.014.963.30.0%0.3%17.9%1.3%
15Sheffield Wednesday (5-7-3, 18 pts)15.918.112.159.60.0%0.0%7.0%6.0%
16Oxford United (4-6-5, 17 pts)12.220.313.550.10.0%0.0%0.5%37.7%
17Coventry City (4-7-4, 16 pts)16.117.112.861.00.0%0.7%9.4%4.1%
18Plymouth Argyle (4-7-4, 16 pts)12.321.112.649.60.0%0.0%0.6%45.3%
19Hull City (3-6-6, 15 pts)13.217.914.954.40.0%0.0%1.9%16.7%
20Preston North End (3-6-6, 15 pts)12.219.014.851.40.0%0.0%0.5%31.6%
21Luton Town (4-8-3, 15 pts)15.118.912.157.20.0%0.0%3.2%10.3%
22Cardiff City (4-8-3, 15 pts)14.020.012.054.10.0%0.0%1.3%20.3%
23Portsmouth (2-7-6, 12 pts)10.820.514.747.20.0%0.0%0.1%58.9%
24Queens Park Rangers (1-7-7, 10 pts)10.819.216.048.40.0%0.0%0.5%49.0%

Predictions Methodology

The Championship is England's second division soccer league. The league consists of 24 teams that each play a total of 46 games in their league's season. The top two teams get promoted to the Premier League. The 3rd through 6th places teams play a tournament to see who gets the third promotion spot in the Premier League. The three teams who finish at the bottom of the table are relegated to League One.