England Championship Predictions

Updated

Upcoming Games for November 26, 2024

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML		GoalsTotal
Goals		Best
O/U

Bet Value

We use three different graphics to describe Bet Value within a matchup.

More on Bet Value
More Details
Coventry City
Burnley 		22.8%
51.2%		26.0%
+247
+118
+260
+110
0.91
1.51		2.42
o2¼-113
u2½-132

Volatility Bet Value Active
Sheffield Wednesday
Hull City 		29.1%
43.9%		27.0%
+206
+139
+205
+135
1.07
1.37		2.44
o2½+100
u2½-113

Plymouth Argyle
Norwich City 		12.9%
68.1%		19.0%
+500
-180
+480
-195
0.81
2.14		2.95
o3-110
u3-107

Oxford United
Sheffield United 		8.5%
75.7%		15.7%
+616
-210
+625
-230
0.67
2.40		3.07
o2½-122
u2¾-121

Preston North End
Stoke City 		18.6%
57.9%		23.6%
+238
+122
+230
+120
0.87
1.73		2.60
o2¼-112
u2½-134

Volatility Bet Value Active
Bristol City
Watford 		25.9%
47.8%		26.3%
+202
+138
+205
+130
1.00
1.47		2.47
o2½-104
u2½-105

West Bromwich Albion
Sunderland 		29.0%
43.6%		27.4%
+218
+132
+225
+130
1.04
1.34		2.38
o2-146
u2¼-115

Games for Nov 25, 2024
Games for Nov 27, 2024

Completed Games

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML		Final
Goals		Sportsbook
Log Loss		DRatings
Log Loss
Middlesbrough
Stoke City		33.6%
37.9%		28.5%
+193
+145
+185
+140
0
2		-0.92910-0.92735-0.96993
Sheffield Wednesday
Rotherham United		25.5%
48.0%		26.4%
+130
+235
+125
+235
1
0		-0.87039-0.86491-1.36567
Sunderland
Norwich City		17.9%
58.9%		23.2%
+327
-113
+280
-110
0
1		-0.67041-0.69888-0.52970
Ipswich Town
Plymouth Argyle		42.0%
30.8%		27.2%
-119
+318
-125
+300
2
0		-0.64325-0.64185-0.86817
Watford
Millwall		28.8%
42.8%		28.5%
+195
+158
+195
+150
0
1		-0.98425-0.96648-0.84922
Hull City
Preston North End		27.1%
46.0%		26.9%
+154
+204
+165
+175
0
0		-1.21926-1.22622-1.31316
Queens Park Rangers
Leicester City		9.5%
75.4%		15.1%
+524
-182
+625
-185
2
1		-1.86336-1.99026-2.35588
Blackburn
Swansea City		21.5%
54.6%		23.9%
+251
+110
+245
+100
1
2		-0.77496-0.74482-0.60514
Cardiff City
Bristol City		24.2%
50.8%		24.9%
+342
+100
+350
-105
1
0		-1.51773-1.55467-1.41696
Leeds United
Huddersfield		57.9%
19.5%		22.6%
-173
+493
-170
+465
1
1		-1.49656-1.46029-1.48788
Coventry City
West Bromwich Albion		18.8%
57.3%		23.8%
+259
+114
+265
+105
1
2		-0.79751-0.76819-0.55607
Plymouth Argyle
Middlesbrough		10.7%
72.4%		16.9%
+560
-210
+540
-215
2
0		-1.92278-1.90872-2.23213
Rotherham United
Queens Park Rangers		26.5%
47.5%		26.0%
+505
-145
+475
-145
1
2		-0.55226-0.57471-0.74478
Swansea City
Sunderland		38.7%
33.3%		28.0%
+268
+115
+300
+110
2
1		-1.32848-1.40222-0.94982
Millwall
Southampton		13.4%
67.2%		19.4%
+647
-229
+625
-240
2
1		-2.04037-2.02981-2.01313
Huddersfield
Watford		18.3%
58.1%		23.5%
+286
+108
+275
+100
2
1		-1.37354-1.37279-1.69560
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Season Prediction Results

 GamesRecord (Pct)No Pick

Log Loss

Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model.

More on Log Loss
+/-
Sportsbooks11-0-0 (1.000)0-0.65913 
Sportsbooks11-0-0 (1.000)0-0.65427 
DRatings11-0-0 (1.000)0-0.66345
-0.00432
-0.00918

Season Simulation

*Through all games played on or before 11/10/24
#TeamWLTPtsWin LeaguePromotionPromotion PlayoffRelegation
1Sheffield United (10-2-3, 33 pts)24.210.411.484.032.6%66.6%30.2%0.0%
2Sunderland (9-2-4, 31 pts)20.112.813.173.43.7%11.5%55.6%0.0%
3Leeds United (8-2-5, 29 pts)24.48.712.986.052.3%78.9%19.2%0.0%
4Burnley (7-2-6, 27 pts)19.611.714.773.44.2%14.9%53.1%0.0%
5West Bromwich Albion (6-2-7, 25 pts)17.911.916.169.91.6%5.7%42.6%0.1%
6Watford (8-6-1, 25 pts)19.117.010.067.20.5%2.1%27.5%0.6%
7Middlesbrough (7-5-3, 24 pts)21.213.211.575.34.9%17.2%59.5%0.0%
8Millwall (6-4-5, 23 pts)16.515.614.063.40.0%0.2%17.1%1.2%
9Blackburn (6-5-4, 22 pts)16.516.513.062.40.0%0.3%12.8%2.1%
10Bristol City (5-3-7, 22 pts)16.113.916.064.20.2%0.9%18.3%1.2%
11Swansea City (5-6-4, 19 pts)16.217.012.861.30.0%0.4%10.3%2.5%
12Derby County (5-6-4, 19 pts)15.018.212.857.90.0%0.1%3.6%7.2%
13Stoke City (5-6-4, 19 pts)15.917.312.860.50.0%0.2%7.3%3.9%
14Norwich City (4-5-6, 18 pts)16.115.014.963.30.0%0.3%17.9%1.3%
15Sheffield Wednesday (5-7-3, 18 pts)15.918.112.159.60.0%0.0%7.0%6.0%
16Oxford United (4-6-5, 17 pts)12.220.313.550.10.0%0.0%0.5%37.7%
17Coventry City (4-7-4, 16 pts)16.117.112.861.00.0%0.7%9.4%4.1%
18Plymouth Argyle (4-7-4, 16 pts)12.321.112.649.60.0%0.0%0.6%45.3%
19Hull City (3-6-6, 15 pts)13.217.914.954.40.0%0.0%1.9%16.7%
20Preston North End (3-6-6, 15 pts)12.219.014.851.40.0%0.0%0.5%31.6%
21Luton Town (4-8-3, 15 pts)15.118.912.157.20.0%0.0%3.2%10.3%
22Cardiff City (4-8-3, 15 pts)14.020.012.054.10.0%0.0%1.3%20.3%
23Portsmouth (2-7-6, 12 pts)10.820.514.747.20.0%0.0%0.1%58.9%
24Queens Park Rangers (1-7-7, 10 pts)10.819.216.048.40.0%0.0%0.5%49.0%

Predictions Methodology

The Championship is England's second division soccer league. The league consists of 24 teams that each play a total of 46 games in their league's season. The top two teams get promoted to the Premier League. The 3rd through 6th places teams play a tournament to see who gets the third promotion spot in the Premier League. The three teams who finish at the bottom of the table are relegated to League One.