England Championship Predictions

Updated

Upcoming Games for November 26, 2024

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML		GoalsTotal
Goals		Best
O/U

Bet Value

We use three different graphics to describe Bet Value within a matchup.

More on Bet Value
More Details
Coventry City
Burnley 		22.8%
51.2%		26.0%
+247
+118
+260
+110
0.91
1.51		2.42
o2¼-113
u2½-132

Volatility Bet Value Active
Sheffield Wednesday
Hull City 		29.1%
43.9%		27.0%
+206
+139
+205
+135
1.07
1.37		2.44
o2½+100
u2½-113

Plymouth Argyle
Norwich City 		12.9%
68.1%		19.0%
+500
-185
+480
-195
0.81
2.14		2.95
o3-110
u3-107

Oxford United
Sheffield United 		8.5%
75.7%		15.7%
+616
-210
+625
-230
0.67
2.40		3.07
o2½-122
u2¾-121

Preston North End
Stoke City 		18.6%
57.9%		23.6%
+238
+122
+230
+120
0.87
1.73		2.60
o2¼-115
u2½-130

Volatility Bet Value Active
Bristol City
Watford 		25.9%
47.8%		26.3%
+202
+138
+205
+130
1.00
1.47		2.47
o2½-104
u2½-105

West Bromwich Albion
Sunderland 		29.0%
43.6%		27.4%
+218
+132
+225
+130
1.04
1.34		2.38
o2-146
u2¼-115

Games for Nov 25, 2024
Games for Nov 27, 2024

Completed Games

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML		Final
Goals		Sportsbook
Log Loss		DRatings
Log Loss
Bristol City
Sheffield Wednesday		30.0%
42.9%		27.0%
+185
+166
+185
+160
1
2		-1.01503-1.00709-0.84544
Norwich City
Blackburn		28.7%
43.9%		27.5%
+167
+159
+165
+160
1
1		-1.31453-1.28888-1.29262
Stoke City
Cardiff City		35.0%
36.4%		28.7%
+181
+174
+170
+180
1
2		-1.04361-1.07852-1.01170
West Bromwich Albion
Hull City		43.9%
28.9%		27.1%
+225
+135
+200
+145
1
1		-1.23169-1.21574-1.30412
Leicester City
Leeds United		21.8%
55.6%		22.6%
+251
+112
+245
+115
1
3		-0.77792-0.80535-0.58760
Preston North End
Coventry City		18.3%
58.1%		23.6%
+404
-143
+395
-145
3
0		-1.64605-1.65161-1.70062
West Bromwich Albion
Plymouth Argyle		49.6%
25.0%		25.4%
+120
+240
+115
+245
3
0		-0.81914-0.80147-0.70035
Hull City
Southampton		10.1%
73.8%		16.1%
+497
-182
+500
-200
2
1		-1.81843-1.84124-2.29174
Blackburn
Cardiff City		29.2%
44.0%		26.8%
+138
+212
+140
+205
0
0		-1.24953-1.22960-1.31632
Cardiff City
Norwich City		21.0%
54.6%		24.5%
+410
-136
+375
-130
1
4		-0.58808-0.62269-0.60585
Watford
Rotherham United		35.6%
34.7%		29.7%
+100
+316
-115
+330
1
0		-0.71576-0.67749-1.03218
Queens Park Rangers
Bristol City		23.0%
53.0%		24.0%
+281
+117
+310
-105
1
0		-1.36359-1.46417-1.46981
Hull City
Huddersfield		26.2%
47.5%		26.3%
+172
+174
+155
+175
2
1		-1.02700-0.98897-1.33922
Sheffield Wednesday
Millwall		19.5%
56.4%		24.2%
+246
+126
+245
+120
2
0		-1.27880-1.28913-1.63676
Sunderland
Birmingham City		23.2%
51.4%		25.4%
+180
+164
+170
+165
1
2		-1.00463-1.02407-0.66647
Ipswich Town
Swansea City		28.2%
44.7%		27.0%
-115
+312
-125
+320
2
1		-0.65979-0.63980-1.26525
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Season Prediction Results

 GamesRecord (Pct)No Pick

Log Loss

Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model.

More on Log Loss
+/-
Sportsbooks11-0-0 (1.000)0-0.65913 
Sportsbooks11-0-0 (1.000)0-0.65427 
DRatings11-0-0 (1.000)0-0.66345
-0.00432
-0.00918

Season Simulation

*Through all games played on or before 11/10/24
#TeamWLTPtsWin LeaguePromotionPromotion PlayoffRelegation
1Sheffield United (10-2-3, 33 pts)24.210.411.484.032.6%66.6%30.2%0.0%
2Sunderland (9-2-4, 31 pts)20.112.813.173.43.7%11.5%55.6%0.0%
3Leeds United (8-2-5, 29 pts)24.48.712.986.052.3%78.9%19.2%0.0%
4Burnley (7-2-6, 27 pts)19.611.714.773.44.2%14.9%53.1%0.0%
5West Bromwich Albion (6-2-7, 25 pts)17.911.916.169.91.6%5.7%42.6%0.1%
6Watford (8-6-1, 25 pts)19.117.010.067.20.5%2.1%27.5%0.6%
7Middlesbrough (7-5-3, 24 pts)21.213.211.575.34.9%17.2%59.5%0.0%
8Millwall (6-4-5, 23 pts)16.515.614.063.40.0%0.2%17.1%1.2%
9Blackburn (6-5-4, 22 pts)16.516.513.062.40.0%0.3%12.8%2.1%
10Bristol City (5-3-7, 22 pts)16.113.916.064.20.2%0.9%18.3%1.2%
11Swansea City (5-6-4, 19 pts)16.217.012.861.30.0%0.4%10.3%2.5%
12Derby County (5-6-4, 19 pts)15.018.212.857.90.0%0.1%3.6%7.2%
13Stoke City (5-6-4, 19 pts)15.917.312.860.50.0%0.2%7.3%3.9%
14Norwich City (4-5-6, 18 pts)16.115.014.963.30.0%0.3%17.9%1.3%
15Sheffield Wednesday (5-7-3, 18 pts)15.918.112.159.60.0%0.0%7.0%6.0%
16Oxford United (4-6-5, 17 pts)12.220.313.550.10.0%0.0%0.5%37.7%
17Coventry City (4-7-4, 16 pts)16.117.112.861.00.0%0.7%9.4%4.1%
18Plymouth Argyle (4-7-4, 16 pts)12.321.112.649.60.0%0.0%0.6%45.3%
19Hull City (3-6-6, 15 pts)13.217.914.954.40.0%0.0%1.9%16.7%
20Preston North End (3-6-6, 15 pts)12.219.014.851.40.0%0.0%0.5%31.6%
21Luton Town (4-8-3, 15 pts)15.118.912.157.20.0%0.0%3.2%10.3%
22Cardiff City (4-8-3, 15 pts)14.020.012.054.10.0%0.0%1.3%20.3%
23Portsmouth (2-7-6, 12 pts)10.820.514.747.20.0%0.0%0.1%58.9%
24Queens Park Rangers (1-7-7, 10 pts)10.819.216.048.40.0%0.0%0.5%49.0%

Predictions Methodology

The Championship is England's second division soccer league. The league consists of 24 teams that each play a total of 46 games in their league's season. The top two teams get promoted to the Premier League. The 3rd through 6th places teams play a tournament to see who gets the third promotion spot in the Premier League. The three teams who finish at the bottom of the table are relegated to League One.