England Championship Predictions

Updated

Upcoming Games for November 26, 2024

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML		GoalsTotal
Goals		Best
O/U

Bet Value

We use three different graphics to describe Bet Value within a matchup.

More on Bet Value
More Details
Coventry City
Burnley 		22.8%
51.2%		26.0%
+247
+118
+260
+110
0.91
1.51		2.42
o2¼-113
u2½-132

Volatility Bet Value Active
Sheffield Wednesday
Hull City 		29.1%
43.9%		27.0%
+206
+139
+210
+135
1.07
1.37		2.44
o2½+100
u2½-113

Plymouth Argyle
Norwich City 		12.9%
68.1%		19.0%
+502
-191
+510
-210
0.81
2.14		2.95
o3-110
u3-107

Oxford United
Sheffield United 		8.5%
75.7%		15.7%
+616
-210
+645
-235
0.67
2.40		3.07
o2½-122
u2¾-121

Preston North End
Stoke City 		18.6%
57.9%		23.6%
+238
+122
+240
+115
0.87
1.73		2.60
o2¼-115
u2½-130

Volatility Bet Value Active
Bristol City
Watford 		25.9%
47.8%		26.3%
+202
+138
+195
+140
1.00
1.47		2.47
o2½-104
u2½-105

West Bromwich Albion
Sunderland 		29.0%
43.6%		27.4%
+218
+132
+230
+130
1.04
1.34		2.38
o2-146
u2¼-115

Games for Nov 25, 2024
Games for Nov 27, 2024

Completed Games

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML		Final
Goals		Sportsbook
Log Loss		DRatings
Log Loss
Blackburn
Preston North End		30.1%
42.2%		27.7%
+175
+160
+190
+140
2
2		-1.27579-1.28844-1.28345
Middlesbrough
Leicester City		21.6%
55.3%		23.2%
+472
-181
+460
-190
2
1		-1.78058-1.77490-1.53438
Coventry City
Stoke City		25.1%
48.2%		26.8%
+148
+185
+135
+195
1
0		-0.94729-0.90736-1.38346
Leeds United
Plymouth Argyle		63.6%
16.3%		20.1%
-265
+687
-260
+660
2
0		-0.35773-0.36703-0.45265
Southampton
West Bromwich Albion		31.9%
40.9%		27.2%
+131
+204
+140
+180
2
0		-0.86817-0.92576-1.14159
Ipswich Town
Millwall		30.2%
41.0%		28.8%
+102
+291
+100
+285
4
0		-0.73129-0.74156-1.19733
Coventry City
Plymouth Argyle		38.9%
33.2%		27.9%
+115
+227
+110
+230
2
2		-1.37243-1.38629-1.27525
Middlesbrough
Preston North End		45.4%
27.5%		27.0%
+133
+216
+125
+215
1
2		-1.18303-1.19786-1.28975
Queens Park Rangers
Stoke City		17.3%
60.8%		21.9%
+249
+125
+260
+120
0
1		-0.84616-0.82319-0.49735
Sunderland
Huddersfield		22.7%
52.1%		25.3%
+130
+241
+125
+245
0
1		-1.25910-1.27949-0.65281
Cardiff City
West Bromwich Albion		13.3%
67.1%		19.6%
+450
-137
+465
-140
0
2		-0.58356-0.58016-0.39927
Southampton
Bristol City		49.5%
25.8%		24.7%
-118
+337
-125
+345
1
3		-1.50485-1.53879-1.35476
Hull City
Rotherham United		27.2%
45.9%		26.9%
-124
+405
-130
+410
2
1		-0.62642-0.62044-1.30280
Leeds United
Swansea City		47.6%
27.2%		25.2%
-167
+441
-165
+425
4
0		-0.50368-0.52106-0.74198
Watford
Norwich City		28.9%
42.8%		28.4%
+241
+114
+245
+110
2
4		-0.79474-0.79239-0.84926
Blackburn
Birmingham City		29.7%
42.8%		27.5%
+196
+135
+200
+130
0
1		-0.89035-0.88150-0.84831
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Season Prediction Results

 GamesRecord (Pct)No Pick

Log Loss

Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model.

More on Log Loss
+/-
Sportsbooks11-0-0 (1.000)0-0.65913 
Sportsbooks11-0-0 (1.000)0-0.65427 
DRatings11-0-0 (1.000)0-0.66345
-0.00432
-0.00918

Season Simulation

*Through all games played on or before 11/10/24
#TeamWLTPtsWin LeaguePromotionPromotion PlayoffRelegation
1Sheffield United (10-2-3, 33 pts)24.210.411.484.032.6%66.6%30.2%0.0%
2Sunderland (9-2-4, 31 pts)20.112.813.173.43.7%11.5%55.6%0.0%
3Leeds United (8-2-5, 29 pts)24.48.712.986.052.3%78.9%19.2%0.0%
4Burnley (7-2-6, 27 pts)19.611.714.773.44.2%14.9%53.1%0.0%
5West Bromwich Albion (6-2-7, 25 pts)17.911.916.169.91.6%5.7%42.6%0.1%
6Watford (8-6-1, 25 pts)19.117.010.067.20.5%2.1%27.5%0.6%
7Middlesbrough (7-5-3, 24 pts)21.213.211.575.34.9%17.2%59.5%0.0%
8Millwall (6-4-5, 23 pts)16.515.614.063.40.0%0.2%17.1%1.2%
9Blackburn (6-5-4, 22 pts)16.516.513.062.40.0%0.3%12.8%2.1%
10Bristol City (5-3-7, 22 pts)16.113.916.064.20.2%0.9%18.3%1.2%
11Swansea City (5-6-4, 19 pts)16.217.012.861.30.0%0.4%10.3%2.5%
12Derby County (5-6-4, 19 pts)15.018.212.857.90.0%0.1%3.6%7.2%
13Stoke City (5-6-4, 19 pts)15.917.312.860.50.0%0.2%7.3%3.9%
14Norwich City (4-5-6, 18 pts)16.115.014.963.30.0%0.3%17.9%1.3%
15Sheffield Wednesday (5-7-3, 18 pts)15.918.112.159.60.0%0.0%7.0%6.0%
16Oxford United (4-6-5, 17 pts)12.220.313.550.10.0%0.0%0.5%37.7%
17Coventry City (4-7-4, 16 pts)16.117.112.861.00.0%0.7%9.4%4.1%
18Plymouth Argyle (4-7-4, 16 pts)12.321.112.649.60.0%0.0%0.6%45.3%
19Hull City (3-6-6, 15 pts)13.217.914.954.40.0%0.0%1.9%16.7%
20Preston North End (3-6-6, 15 pts)12.219.014.851.40.0%0.0%0.5%31.6%
21Luton Town (4-8-3, 15 pts)15.118.912.157.20.0%0.0%3.2%10.3%
22Cardiff City (4-8-3, 15 pts)14.020.012.054.10.0%0.0%1.3%20.3%
23Portsmouth (2-7-6, 12 pts)10.820.514.747.20.0%0.0%0.1%58.9%
24Queens Park Rangers (1-7-7, 10 pts)10.819.216.048.40.0%0.0%0.5%49.0%

Predictions Methodology

The Championship is England's second division soccer league. The league consists of 24 teams that each play a total of 46 games in their league's season. The top two teams get promoted to the Premier League. The 3rd through 6th places teams play a tournament to see who gets the third promotion spot in the Premier League. The three teams who finish at the bottom of the table are relegated to League One.