Middlesbrough at Southampton

Updated

Middlesbrough

21.3%23.3%55.4%
Middlesbrough WinDrawSouthampton Win
1.01Projected Goals 1.78
1Final Score 1

Southampton

Last 5 Games

Middlesbrough
Money Line
T 0-0 vs Blackburn-120
W 1-0 at Birmingham City+140
W 2-0 at Queens Park Rangers+210
W 1-3 vs Norwich City+150
L 0-2 at Stoke City+185
Southampton
Money Line
W 2-4 vs Sunderland-300
W 4-3 at Birmingham City-135
L 2-1 vs Millwall-240
L 2-1 vs Hull City-200
W 2-0 at West Bromwich Albion+140

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:3.4%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:4.8%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Middlesbrough+403+430+420+420+443+420+443+459.7
Southampton-160-179-190-200-185-200-179-162.7
Draw+342+377+360+360+378+360+378+395.1
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Middlesbrough+425---+390+420+420+459.7
Southampton-175----210-180-180-162.7
Draw+345---+310+365+365+395.1

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Middlesbrough: 20.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Southampton: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Middlesbrough: 30.0%
Southampton: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Middlesbrough: 0.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Middlesbrough: 0.0%
Southampton: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Middlesbrough ML moved from +390 to +380
Southampton ML moved from -179 to -185

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Middlesbrough: 30.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Southampton: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Middlesbrough: 30.0%
Southampton: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Middlesbrough: 0.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Middlesbrough: 0.0%
Southampton: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Middlesbrough ML moved from +435 to +410
No Steam Moves On Southampton ML

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:1.7%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo3-125o3½-107o3½-118o3½-105o3½-106o3½-105o3½-105o3½+104
Underu3+107u3½-111u3½-102u3½-115u3½-112u3½-115u3½-102u3½-104
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Over-----o3½+104
Under-----u3½-104

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 30.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 20.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Over: 0.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 10.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

The Over moved from o3¼-118 to o3½-105
No Steam Moves On Under

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes53.0%
 
No47.0%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 06.12%
Exactly 223.88%
Exactly 415.53%
Exactly 64.04%
Exactly 80.56%
 
Exactly 117.09%
Exactly 322.24%
Exactly 58.68%
Exactly 71.61%
Exactly 90.17%
Exact Goals Scored - Middlesbrough
Exactly 036.32%
Exactly 136.78%
Exactly 218.63%
Exactly 36.29%
Exactly 41.59%
Exactly 50.32%
Exact Goals Scored - Southampton
Exactly 016.85%
Exactly 130.00%
Exactly 226.72%
Exactly 315.86%
Exactly 47.06%
Exactly 52.52%
Exactly 60.75%
Exactly 70.19%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 027.43%
Exactly 222.95%
Exactly 43.20%
Exactly 60.18%
 
Exactly 135.48%
Exactly 39.90%
Exactly 50.83%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Middlesbrough
Exactly 062.56%
Exactly 129.34%
Exactly 26.88%
Exactly 31.08%
Exactly 40.13%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Southampton
Exactly 043.84%
Exactly 136.15%
Exactly 214.91%
Exactly 34.10%
Exactly 40.84%
Exactly 50.14%

Alternate Props

Spread

Middlesbrough
Wins by 2+ goals7.55%
Wins by 3+ goals2.04%
Wins by 4+ goals0.42%
Southampton
Wins by 2+ goals31.18%
Wins by 3+ goals14.15%
Wins by 4+ goals5.28%
Wins by 5+ goals1.63%
Wins by 6+ goals0.41%

Exact Winning Margin

Middlesbrough
Southampton
4
3
2
1
D
1
2
3
4
5
6
Middlesbrough
Wins by 1 goal13.74%
Wins by 2 goals5.50%
Wins by 3 goals1.62%
Wins by 4 goals0.37%
Southampton
Wins by 1 goal24.17%
Wins by 2 goals17.02%
Wins by 3 goals8.88%
Wins by 4 goals3.64%
Wins by 5 goals1.22%
Wins by 6 goals0.34%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.593.88%6.12%
1.576.79%23.21%
2.552.91%47.09%
3.530.67%69.33%
4.515.14%84.86%
5.56.46%93.54%
6.52.42%97.58%

Total Goals Middlesbrough Over/Under

OverUnder
0.563.68%36.32%
1.526.90%73.10%
2.58.27%91.73%
3.51.98%98.02%

Total Goals Southampton Over/Under

OverUnder
0.583.15%16.85%
1.553.15%46.85%
2.526.43%73.57%
3.510.57%89.43%
4.53.50%96.50%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.572.57%27.43%
1.537.09%62.91%
2.514.14%85.86%
3.54.25%95.75%
4.51.05%98.95%

Score Props

Correct Score

Middlesbrough
Southampton
Score012345
0
6.12%
10.90%
9.70%
5.76%
2.56%
0.91%
1
6.20%
11.04%
9.83%
5.83%
2.60%
0.93%
2
3.14%
5.59%
4.98%
2.96%
1.32%
0.47%
3
1.06%
1.89%
1.68%
1.00%
0.44%
0.16%
4
0.27%
0.48%
0.43%
0.25%
0.11%
0.04%
Middlesbrough
1-06.20%
2-03.14%
2-15.59%
3-01.06%
3-11.89%
3-21.68%
4-00.27%
4-10.48%
4-20.43%
4-30.25%
Draw
0-06.12%
1-111.04%
2-24.98%
3-31.00%
4-40.11%
Southampton
0-110.90%
0-29.70%
1-29.83%
0-35.76%
1-35.83%
2-32.96%
0-42.56%
1-42.60%
2-41.32%
3-40.44%
0-50.91%
1-50.93%
2-50.47%
3-50.16%

Correct Score - First Half

Middlesbrough
Southampton
Score01234
0
27.43%
22.62%
9.33%
2.56%
0.53%
1
12.86%
10.61%
4.37%
1.20%
0.25%
2
3.02%
2.49%
1.03%
0.28%
0.06%
3
0.47%
0.39%
0.16%
0.04%
0.01%
Middlesbrough
1-012.86%
2-03.02%
2-12.49%
3-00.47%
3-10.39%
3-20.16%
Draw
0-027.43%
1-110.61%
2-21.03%
Southampton
0-122.62%
0-29.33%
1-24.37%
0-32.56%
1-31.20%
2-30.28%
0-40.53%
1-40.25%
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