England Championship Predictions

Updated

Upcoming Games for November 26, 2024

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML		GoalsTotal
Goals		Best
O/U

Bet Value

We use three different graphics to describe Bet Value within a matchup.

More on Bet Value
More Details
Coventry City
Burnley 		22.8%
51.2%		26.0%
+255
+115
+245
+115
0.91
1.51		2.42
o2¼-113
u2½-132

Volatility Bet Value Active
Sheffield Wednesday
Hull City 		29.1%
43.9%		27.0%
+200
+144
+200
+140
1.07
1.37		2.44
o2¼-118
u2½-129

Volatility Bet Value Active
Plymouth Argyle
Norwich City 		12.9%
68.1%		19.0%
+533
-198
+515
-210
0.81
2.14		2.95
o3-110
u3-106

Oxford United
Sheffield United 		8.5%
75.7%		15.7%
+637
-218
+650
-235
0.67
2.40		3.07
o2½-115
u2½+105

Preston North End
Stoke City 		18.6%
57.9%		23.6%
+238
+122
+235
+120
0.87
1.73		2.60
o2¼-115
u2½-130

Volatility Bet Value Active
Bristol City
Watford 		25.9%
47.8%		26.3%
+196
+142
+195
+140
1.00
1.47		2.47
o2½-104
u2½-105

West Bromwich Albion
Sunderland 		29.0%
43.6%		27.4%
+220
+132
+230
+130
1.04
1.34		2.38
o2-146
u2¼-115

Games for Nov 25, 2024
Games for Nov 27, 2024

Completed Games

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML		Final
Goals		Sportsbook
Log Loss		DRatings
Log Loss
Middlesbrough
Rotherham United		45.5%
27.5%		27.0%
-152
+440
-180
+510
0
1		-1.72283-1.85777-1.29142
Sunderland
Hull City		22.6%
52.4%		24.9%
+164
+174
+170
+160
1
0		-0.99902-1.04537-1.48528
Plymouth Argyle
Cardiff City		26.8%
47.7%		25.5%
+296
-105
+250
+105
2
2		-1.34869-1.33094-1.36751
Sheffield Wednesday
Coventry City		22.1%
52.7%		25.2%
+371
-120
+380
-130
0
2		-0.63665-0.62060-0.64093
Swansea City
Southampton		22.2%
54.3%		23.5%
+592
-216
+510
-200
0
5		-0.41089-0.45462-0.61151
Queens Park Rangers
Millwall		19.7%
56.5%		23.7%
+265
+125
+265
+115
0
2		-0.83764-0.81577-0.57013
Leeds United
Preston North End		58.8%
18.7%		22.5%
-177
+515
-180
+500
1
2		-1.85432-1.84377-1.67745
Millwall
Stoke City		23.1%
50.6%		26.3%
+277
+105
+275
+105
0
0		-1.29492-1.27122-1.33644
Southampton
Queens Park Rangers		42.0%
31.8%		26.2%
-120
+355
-125
+350
1
0		-0.64173-0.63824-0.86714
Coventry City
Sunderland		34.6%
36.4%		29.0%
+325
-122
+335
-130
3
0		-1.47938-1.52037-1.06233
West Bromwich Albion
Middlesbrough		23.5%
51.2%		25.3%
+202
+148
+200
+145
0
1		-0.94675-0.94410-0.67008
Cardiff City
Sheffield Wednesday		23.4%
51.5%		25.0%
+260
+119
+255
+115
2
1		-1.31591-1.31557-1.45056
Watford
Blackburn		38.6%
32.7%		28.6%
+167
+166
+165
+155
2
1		-1.01068-1.02449-0.95109
Huddersfield
Norwich City		19.0%
57.1%		23.9%
+458
-161
+450
-170
0
2		-0.51616-0.51371-0.55991
Birmingham City
Plymouth Argyle		27.4%
46.4%		26.2%
+235
+111
+235
+110
3
3		-1.37583-1.34228-1.34033
Ipswich Town
Leeds United		13.3%
67.7%		19.0%
+325
-123
+300
-125
0
4		-0.62938-0.64185-0.38948
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Season Prediction Results

 GamesRecord (Pct)No Pick

Log Loss

Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model.

More on Log Loss
+/-
Sportsbooks00-0-0 (0.000)0 
Sportsbooks00-0-0 (0.000)0 
DRatings00-0-0 (0.000)0

Season Simulation

*Through all games played on or before 11/10/24
#TeamWLTPtsWin LeaguePromotionPromotion PlayoffRelegation
1Sheffield United (10-2-3, 33 pts)24.210.411.484.032.6%66.6%30.2%0.0%
2Sunderland (9-2-4, 31 pts)20.112.813.173.43.7%11.5%55.6%0.0%
3Leeds United (8-2-5, 29 pts)24.48.712.986.052.3%78.9%19.2%0.0%
4Burnley (7-2-6, 27 pts)19.611.714.773.44.2%14.9%53.1%0.0%
5West Bromwich Albion (6-2-7, 25 pts)17.911.916.169.91.6%5.7%42.6%0.1%
6Watford (8-6-1, 25 pts)19.117.010.067.20.5%2.1%27.5%0.6%
7Middlesbrough (7-5-3, 24 pts)21.213.211.575.34.9%17.2%59.5%0.0%
8Millwall (6-4-5, 23 pts)16.515.614.063.40.0%0.2%17.1%1.2%
9Blackburn (6-5-4, 22 pts)16.516.513.062.40.0%0.3%12.8%2.1%
10Bristol City (5-3-7, 22 pts)16.113.916.064.20.2%0.9%18.3%1.2%
11Swansea City (5-6-4, 19 pts)16.217.012.861.30.0%0.4%10.3%2.5%
12Derby County (5-6-4, 19 pts)15.018.212.857.90.0%0.1%3.6%7.2%
13Stoke City (5-6-4, 19 pts)15.917.312.860.50.0%0.2%7.3%3.9%
14Norwich City (4-5-6, 18 pts)16.115.014.963.30.0%0.3%17.9%1.3%
15Sheffield Wednesday (5-7-3, 18 pts)15.918.112.159.60.0%0.0%7.0%6.0%
16Oxford United (4-6-5, 17 pts)12.220.313.550.10.0%0.0%0.5%37.7%
17Coventry City (4-7-4, 16 pts)16.117.112.861.00.0%0.7%9.4%4.1%
18Plymouth Argyle (4-7-4, 16 pts)12.321.112.649.60.0%0.0%0.6%45.3%
19Hull City (3-6-6, 15 pts)13.217.914.954.40.0%0.0%1.9%16.7%
20Preston North End (3-6-6, 15 pts)12.219.014.851.40.0%0.0%0.5%31.6%
21Luton Town (4-8-3, 15 pts)15.118.912.157.20.0%0.0%3.2%10.3%
22Cardiff City (4-8-3, 15 pts)14.020.012.054.10.0%0.0%1.3%20.3%
23Portsmouth (2-7-6, 12 pts)10.820.514.747.20.0%0.0%0.1%58.9%
24Queens Park Rangers (1-7-7, 10 pts)10.819.216.048.40.0%0.0%0.5%49.0%

Predictions Methodology

The Championship is England's second division soccer league. The league consists of 24 teams that each play a total of 46 games in their league's season. The top two teams get promoted to the Premier League. The 3rd through 6th places teams play a tournament to see who gets the third promotion spot in the Premier League. The three teams who finish at the bottom of the table are relegated to League One.