England Championship Predictions

Updated

Upcoming Games for November 27, 2024

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML		GoalsTotal
Goals		Best
O/U

Bet Value

We use three different graphics to describe Bet Value within a matchup.

More on Bet Value
More Details
Luton Town
Leeds United 		11.1%
71.6%		17.3%
+678
-226
+675
-240
0.78
2.31		3.09
o2½-132
u2¾-115

Queens Park Rangers
Cardiff City 		25.1%
50.0%		25.0%
+287
+101
+290
-105
1.05
1.60		2.65
o2¼-118
u2½-124

Volatility Bet Value Active
Blackburn
Middlesbrough 		13.5%
67.2%		19.3%
+492
-179
+480
-185
0.84
2.13		2.97
o2½-138
u2¾-110

Millwall
Portsmouth 		34.1%
36.8%		29.1%
+136
+219
+135
+215
1.07
1.13		2.20
o2¼-105
u2½-142

Volatility Bet Value Active
Swansea City
Derby County 		30.3%
41.8%		27.9%
+192
+152
+200
+145
1.05
1.29		2.34
o2¼-111
u2½-134

Volatility Bet Value Active
Games for Nov 26, 2024
Games for Nov 29, 2024

Games In Progress

TimeTeamsOrig.
Win %		Orig.
Draw %		Closing
ML		Orig. Total
Goals		Closing
O/U		PeriodCurrent
Score
Coventry City
Burnley 		22.8%
51.2%		26.0%
+250
+121
+240
+120
2.42
o2¼+103
u2½-146

TIME
HALF		0
0
Sheffield Wednesday
Hull City 		29.1%
43.9%		27.0%
+205
+143
+210
+135
2.44
o2¼-113
u2½-125

TIME
HALF		1
0
Plymouth Argyle
Norwich City 		12.9%
68.1%		19.0%
+614
-226
+550
-220
2.95
o3+103
u3-114

TIME
HALF		1
2
Oxford United
Sheffield United 		8.5%
75.7%		15.7%
+680
-221
+750
-240
3.07
o2½-120
u2½+103

TIME
HALF		0
2
Preston North End
Stoke City 		18.6%
57.9%		23.6%
+292
-103
+270
+105
2.60
o2¼-125
u2½-116

TIME
HALF		0
0
Bristol City
Watford 		25.9%
47.8%		26.3%
+211
+135
+230
+125
2.47
o2½-105
u2½-105

TIME
HALF		0
0
West Bromwich Albion
Sunderland 		29.0%
43.6%		27.4%
+258
+116
+230
+130
2.38
o2¼-104
u2½-141

1st H
39:00		0
0

Completed Games

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML		Final
Goals		Sportsbook
Log Loss		DRatings
Log Loss
Queens Park Rangers
West Bromwich Albion		14.0%
66.3%		19.7%
+457
-148
+440
-155
0
2		-0.55560-0.54611-0.41039
Watford
Swansea City		28.4%
44.3%		27.2%
+199
+149
+200
+145
1
0		-1.13274-1.14662-1.25776
Middlesbrough
Norwich City		34.4%
36.7%		28.9%
+156
+173
+150
+170
2
1		-0.97336-0.96333-1.06839
Blackburn
Millwall		19.5%
56.4%		24.0%
+172
+166
+165
+165
2
1		-1.03190-1.02223-1.63353
Cardiff City
Huddersfield		24.0%
50.5%		25.5%
+206
+153
+205
+150
4
0		-1.15050-1.16437-1.42583
Plymouth Argyle
West Bromwich Albion		13.7%
67.0%		19.3%
+410
-150
+375
-145
0
0		-1.45393-1.43734-1.64367
Sheffield Wednesday
Watford		17.5%
59.6%		22.9%
+376
-121
+415
-140
0
1		-0.64090-0.58918-0.51773
Leicester City
Swansea City		41.2%
32.2%		26.6%
-124
+333
-130
+340
3
1		-0.63149-0.62146-0.88690
Sunderland
Stoke City		15.6%
62.8%		21.6%
+208
+142
+210
+135
1
2		-0.91115-0.89578-0.46531
Leeds United
Norwich City		47.2%
26.9%		25.9%
+105
+257
+105
+240
3
2		-0.75462-0.76873-0.75012
Birmingham City
Middlesbrough		12.8%
67.9%		19.3%
+375
-132
+360
-135
0
1		-0.60241-0.60462-0.38677
Southampton
Hull City		40.0%
33.1%		26.9%
+137
+199
+140
+185
2
1		-0.90180-0.92735-0.91732
Queens Park Rangers
Huddersfield		25.0%
49.6%		25.4%
+357
-124
+330
-120
1
2		-0.63036-0.65682-0.70055
Coventry City
Bristol City		30.6%
41.7%		27.7%
+153
+185
+165
+165
0
1		-1.08678-1.01816-0.87390
Cardiff City
Blackburn		25.6%
48.7%		25.7%
+266
+105
+255
+100
0
1		-0.75443-0.74381-0.71902
Millwall
Preston North End		32.4%
38.1%		29.5%
+210
+151
+210
+145
1
1		-1.19389-1.18335-1.22098
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Season Prediction Results

 GamesRecord (Pct)No Pick

Log Loss

Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model.

More on Log Loss
+/-
Sportsbooks00-0-0 (0.000)0 
Sportsbooks00-0-0 (0.000)0 
DRatings00-0-0 (0.000)0

Season Simulation

*Through all games played on or before 11/25/24
#TeamWLTPtsWin LeaguePromotionPromotion PlayoffRelegation
1Sheffield United (10-2-4, 34 pts)23.510.212.382.924.9%56.3%39.4%0.0%
2Leeds United (9-2-5, 32 pts)24.88.712.686.957.6%80.9%18.6%0.0%
3Sunderland (9-2-5, 32 pts)19.912.313.973.53.2%13.1%54.7%0.0%
4Burnley (8-2-6, 30 pts)20.111.314.575.05.2%17.0%59.5%0.0%
5Middlesbrough (8-5-3, 27 pts)21.613.111.376.26.6%21.9%58.7%0.0%
6West Bromwich Albion (6-2-8, 26 pts)17.811.516.770.21.7%5.9%44.5%0.0%
7Watford (8-6-2, 26 pts)18.716.510.866.80.2%1.8%26.8%0.8%
8Millwall (6-4-6, 24 pts)16.215.214.763.20.1%0.8%14.5%1.3%
9Blackburn (6-5-4, 22 pts)16.516.612.962.30.0%0.4%11.7%1.8%
10Bristol City (5-4-7, 22 pts)15.814.515.763.10.0%0.6%14.6%2.0%
11Derby County (5-6-5, 20 pts)14.418.013.756.80.0%0.0%3.1%8.6%
12Stoke City (5-6-5, 20 pts)15.416.913.760.00.2%0.2%5.1%3.8%
13Norwich City (4-5-7, 19 pts)15.714.615.762.80.2%0.5%15.0%1.9%
14Swansea City (5-7-4, 19 pts)15.917.512.660.30.1%0.1%8.6%3.4%
15Sheffield Wednesday (5-7-4, 19 pts)15.617.712.759.60.0%0.1%5.5%4.9%
16Luton Town (5-8-3, 18 pts)15.818.511.859.10.0%0.0%5.2%5.2%
17Coventry City (4-7-5, 17 pts)16.016.513.561.40.0%0.4%11.8%2.4%
18Oxford United (4-7-5, 17 pts)12.220.713.149.60.0%0.0%0.1%39.7%
19Plymouth Argyle (4-7-5, 17 pts)12.120.713.349.50.0%0.0%0.1%42.6%
20Preston North End (3-6-7, 16 pts)11.918.615.551.20.0%0.0%0.4%30.4%
21Cardiff City (4-8-4, 16 pts)13.519.812.653.20.0%0.0%1.0%22.8%
22Hull City (3-7-6, 15 pts)12.618.714.752.50.0%0.0%0.8%22.5%
23Portsmouth (2-7-6, 12 pts)10.720.514.847.00.0%0.0%0.1%56.6%
24Queens Park Rangers (1-7-8, 11 pts)10.518.816.748.20.0%0.0%0.2%49.3%

Predictions Methodology

The Championship is England's second division soccer league. The league consists of 24 teams that each play a total of 46 games in their league's season. The top two teams get promoted to the Premier League. The 3rd through 6th places teams play a tournament to see who gets the third promotion spot in the Premier League. The three teams who finish at the bottom of the table are relegated to League One.