England Championship Predictions

Updated

Upcoming Games for November 27, 2024

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML		GoalsTotal
Goals		Best
O/U

Bet Value

We use three different graphics to describe Bet Value within a matchup.

More on Bet Value
More Details
Luton Town
Leeds United 		11.1%
71.6%		17.3%
+668
-229
+675
-240
0.78
2.31		3.09
o2½-132
u2¾-115

Queens Park Rangers
Cardiff City 		25.1%
50.0%		25.0%
+287
+101
+290
-105
1.05
1.60		2.65
o2¼-118
u2½-124

Volatility Bet Value Active
Blackburn
Middlesbrough 		13.5%
67.2%		19.3%
+476
-174
+480
-185
0.84
2.13		2.97
o2½-138
u2¾-110

Millwall
Portsmouth 		34.1%
36.8%		29.1%
+136
+219
+135
+215
1.07
1.13		2.20
o2¼-105
u2½-142

Volatility Bet Value Active
Swansea City
Derby County 		30.3%
41.8%		27.9%
+192
+152
+190
+150
1.05
1.29		2.34
o2¼-115
u2½-134

Volatility Bet Value Active
Games for Nov 26, 2024
Games for Nov 29, 2024

Completed Games

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML		Final
Goals		Sportsbook
Log Loss		DRatings
Log Loss
Leeds United
Norwich City		47.2%
26.9%		25.9%
+105
+257
+105
+240
3
2		-0.75462-0.76873-0.75012
Birmingham City
Middlesbrough		12.8%
67.9%		19.3%
+375
-132
+360
-135
0
1		-0.60241-0.60462-0.38677
Southampton
Hull City		40.0%
33.1%		26.9%
+137
+199
+140
+185
2
1		-0.90180-0.92735-0.91732
Queens Park Rangers
Huddersfield		25.0%
49.6%		25.4%
+357
-124
+330
-120
1
2		-0.63036-0.65682-0.70055
Coventry City
Bristol City		30.6%
41.7%		27.7%
+153
+185
+165
+165
0
1		-1.08678-1.01816-0.87390
Cardiff City
Blackburn		25.6%
48.7%		25.7%
+266
+105
+255
+100
0
1		-0.75443-0.74381-0.71902
Millwall
Preston North End		32.4%
38.1%		29.5%
+210
+151
+210
+145
1
1		-1.19389-1.18335-1.22098
Huddersfield
Sheffield Wednesday		25.5%
48.3%		26.2%
+175
+174
+170
+170
0
0		-1.21214-1.22595-1.33880
Blackburn
Queens Park Rangers		26.0%
48.5%		25.5%
+111
+240
+115
+225
4
0		-0.78430-0.81482-1.34531
Swansea City
Plymouth Argyle		36.7%
35.6%		27.7%
+185
+153
+185
+140
3
1		-1.07096-1.09919-1.00297
Hull City
Millwall		20.9%
54.3%		24.8%
+195
+158
+200
+140
2
2		-1.19928-1.24559-1.39574
Stoke City
Leicester City		15.5%
64.0%		20.4%
+582
-207
+600
-225
0
2		-0.43354-0.41895-0.44590
Bristol City
Leeds United		8.2%
77.7%		14.1%
+568
-206
+560
-215
1
2		-0.43521-0.43437-0.25247
Preston North End
Ipswich Town		16.5%
61.0%		22.5%
+540
-185
+480
-175
2
4		-0.47146-0.50332-0.49400
Norwich City
Coventry City		28.9%
43.0%		28.1%
+180
+156
+180
+150
1
1		-1.28573-1.27379-1.26961
Watford
Cardiff City		39.6%
32.1%		28.3%
+243
+133
+185
+165
1
1		-1.19366-1.18097-1.26213
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Season Prediction Results

 GamesRecord (Pct)No Pick

Log Loss

Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model.

More on Log Loss
+/-
Sportsbooks74-1-2 (0.714)0-0.89468 
Sportsbooks74-1-2 (0.714)0-0.88311 
DRatings74-1-2 (0.714)0-0.86401
0.03067
0.01910

Season Simulation

*Through all games played on or before 11/25/24
#TeamWLTPtsWin LeaguePromotionPromotion PlayoffRelegation
1Sheffield United (10-2-4, 34 pts)23.510.212.382.924.9%56.3%39.4%0.0%
2Leeds United (9-2-5, 32 pts)24.88.712.686.957.6%80.9%18.6%0.0%
3Sunderland (9-2-5, 32 pts)19.912.313.973.53.2%13.1%54.7%0.0%
4Burnley (8-2-6, 30 pts)20.111.314.575.05.2%17.0%59.5%0.0%
5Middlesbrough (8-5-3, 27 pts)21.613.111.376.26.6%21.9%58.7%0.0%
6West Bromwich Albion (6-2-8, 26 pts)17.811.516.770.21.7%5.9%44.5%0.0%
7Watford (8-6-2, 26 pts)18.716.510.866.80.2%1.8%26.8%0.8%
8Millwall (6-4-6, 24 pts)16.215.214.763.20.1%0.8%14.5%1.3%
9Blackburn (6-5-4, 22 pts)16.516.612.962.30.0%0.4%11.7%1.8%
10Bristol City (5-4-7, 22 pts)15.814.515.763.10.0%0.6%14.6%2.0%
11Derby County (5-6-5, 20 pts)14.418.013.756.80.0%0.0%3.1%8.6%
12Stoke City (5-6-5, 20 pts)15.416.913.760.00.2%0.2%5.1%3.8%
13Norwich City (4-5-7, 19 pts)15.714.615.762.80.2%0.5%15.0%1.9%
14Swansea City (5-7-4, 19 pts)15.917.512.660.30.1%0.1%8.6%3.4%
15Sheffield Wednesday (5-7-4, 19 pts)15.617.712.759.60.0%0.1%5.5%4.9%
16Luton Town (5-8-3, 18 pts)15.818.511.859.10.0%0.0%5.2%5.2%
17Coventry City (4-7-5, 17 pts)16.016.513.561.40.0%0.4%11.8%2.4%
18Oxford United (4-7-5, 17 pts)12.220.713.149.60.0%0.0%0.1%39.7%
19Plymouth Argyle (4-7-5, 17 pts)12.120.713.349.50.0%0.0%0.1%42.6%
20Preston North End (3-6-7, 16 pts)11.918.615.551.20.0%0.0%0.4%30.4%
21Cardiff City (4-8-4, 16 pts)13.519.812.653.20.0%0.0%1.0%22.8%
22Hull City (3-7-6, 15 pts)12.618.714.752.50.0%0.0%0.8%22.5%
23Portsmouth (2-7-6, 12 pts)10.720.514.847.00.0%0.0%0.1%56.6%
24Queens Park Rangers (1-7-8, 11 pts)10.518.816.748.20.0%0.0%0.2%49.3%

Predictions Methodology

The Championship is England's second division soccer league. The league consists of 24 teams that each play a total of 46 games in their league's season. The top two teams get promoted to the Premier League. The 3rd through 6th places teams play a tournament to see who gets the third promotion spot in the Premier League. The three teams who finish at the bottom of the table are relegated to League One.