England Championship Predictions

Updated

Upcoming Games for November 27, 2024

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML		GoalsTotal
Goals		Best
O/U

Bet Value

We use three different graphics to describe Bet Value within a matchup.

More on Bet Value
More Details
Luton Town
Leeds United 		11.1%
71.6%		17.3%
+683
-229
+675
-240
0.78
2.31		3.09
o2½-132
u2¾-115

Queens Park Rangers
Cardiff City 		25.1%
50.0%		25.0%
+287
+101
+290
-105
1.05
1.60		2.65
o2¼-118
u2½-124

Volatility Bet Value Active
Blackburn
Middlesbrough 		13.5%
67.2%		19.3%
+476
-174
+480
-185
0.84
2.13		2.97
o2¾-110
u3-138

Millwall
Portsmouth 		34.1%
36.8%		29.1%
+136
+219
+135
+215
1.07
1.13		2.20
o2¼-105
u2½-142

Volatility Bet Value Active
Swansea City
Derby County 		30.3%
41.8%		27.9%
+192
+152
+190
+150
1.05
1.29		2.34
o2¼-114
u2½-134

Volatility Bet Value Active
Games for Nov 26, 2024
Games for Nov 29, 2024

Completed Games

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML		Final
Goals		Sportsbook
Log Loss		DRatings
Log Loss
Middlesbrough
Sunderland		49.1%
25.0%		25.9%
+207
+135
+195
+135
4
0		-1.15410-1.13082-0.71156
West Bromwich Albion
Birmingham City		41.2%
30.7%		28.1%
+163
+185
+165
+180
1
3		-1.08628-1.08028-1.18231
Bristol City
Rotherham United		27.6%
45.7%		26.7%
+100
+305
-105
+310
2
1		-0.73006-0.71803-1.28685
Norwich City
Swansea City		26.0%
47.6%		26.4%
+165
+177
+150
+185
1
2		-1.05593-1.09982-0.74280
Watford
Sunderland		41.2%
30.5%		28.3%
+262
+115
+265
+105
0
2		-0.78902-0.76819-1.18630
Preston North End
Leicester City		9.7%
74.2%		16.0%
+618
-200
+525
-190
0
3		-0.43914-0.47209-0.29831
Queens Park Rangers
Leeds United		7.5%
79.2%		13.3%
+844
-302
+750
-300
0
1		-0.32556-0.33596-0.23332
Blackburn
Coventry City		20.2%
55.6%		24.1%
+220
+120
+220
+120
0
1		-0.82723-0.83229-0.58630
Sheffield Wednesday
West Bromwich Albion		15.3%
63.3%		21.3%
+500
-161
+525
-175
0
1		-0.52163-0.50033-0.45684
Southampton
Stoke City		29.9%
43.4%		26.7%
+155
+192
+155
+170
1
0		-0.96527-0.98714-1.20845
Millwall
Plymouth Argyle		33.7%
38.0%		28.3%
+177
+156
+175
+150
2
0		-1.05394-1.05976-1.08714
Cardiff City
Middlesbrough		11.8%
70.0%		18.2%
+333
-117
+315
-115
0
2		-0.65732-0.67433-0.35666
Hull City
Ipswich Town		17.3%
60.3%		22.4%
+337
-120
+345
-130
0
3		-0.63637-0.61273-0.50509
Leicester City
Blackburn		54.0%
22.4%		23.5%
-103
+262
+100
+255
4
1		-0.71648-0.74381-0.61587
Middlesbrough
Watford		31.8%
39.8%		28.4%
+170
+167
+175
+165
3
2		-1.03238-1.04611-1.14621
Coventry City
Queens Park Rangers		32.5%
39.7%		27.8%
+154
+187
+130
+215
3
1		-0.96777-0.88242-1.12424
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Season Prediction Results

 GamesRecord (Pct)No Pick

Log Loss

Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model.

More on Log Loss
+/-
Sportsbooks74-1-2 (0.714)0-0.89468 
Sportsbooks74-1-2 (0.714)0-0.88311 
DRatings74-1-2 (0.714)0-0.86401
0.03067
0.01910

Season Simulation

*Through all games played on or before 11/25/24
#TeamWLTPtsWin LeaguePromotionPromotion PlayoffRelegation
1Sheffield United (10-2-4, 34 pts)23.510.212.382.924.9%56.3%39.4%0.0%
2Leeds United (9-2-5, 32 pts)24.88.712.686.957.6%80.9%18.6%0.0%
3Sunderland (9-2-5, 32 pts)19.912.313.973.53.2%13.1%54.7%0.0%
4Burnley (8-2-6, 30 pts)20.111.314.575.05.2%17.0%59.5%0.0%
5Middlesbrough (8-5-3, 27 pts)21.613.111.376.26.6%21.9%58.7%0.0%
6West Bromwich Albion (6-2-8, 26 pts)17.811.516.770.21.7%5.9%44.5%0.0%
7Watford (8-6-2, 26 pts)18.716.510.866.80.2%1.8%26.8%0.8%
8Millwall (6-4-6, 24 pts)16.215.214.763.20.1%0.8%14.5%1.3%
9Blackburn (6-5-4, 22 pts)16.516.612.962.30.0%0.4%11.7%1.8%
10Bristol City (5-4-7, 22 pts)15.814.515.763.10.0%0.6%14.6%2.0%
11Derby County (5-6-5, 20 pts)14.418.013.756.80.0%0.0%3.1%8.6%
12Stoke City (5-6-5, 20 pts)15.416.913.760.00.2%0.2%5.1%3.8%
13Norwich City (4-5-7, 19 pts)15.714.615.762.80.2%0.5%15.0%1.9%
14Swansea City (5-7-4, 19 pts)15.917.512.660.30.1%0.1%8.6%3.4%
15Sheffield Wednesday (5-7-4, 19 pts)15.617.712.759.60.0%0.1%5.5%4.9%
16Luton Town (5-8-3, 18 pts)15.818.511.859.10.0%0.0%5.2%5.2%
17Coventry City (4-7-5, 17 pts)16.016.513.561.40.0%0.4%11.8%2.4%
18Oxford United (4-7-5, 17 pts)12.220.713.149.60.0%0.0%0.1%39.7%
19Plymouth Argyle (4-7-5, 17 pts)12.120.713.349.50.0%0.0%0.1%42.6%
20Preston North End (3-6-7, 16 pts)11.918.615.551.20.0%0.0%0.4%30.4%
21Cardiff City (4-8-4, 16 pts)13.519.812.653.20.0%0.0%1.0%22.8%
22Hull City (3-7-6, 15 pts)12.618.714.752.50.0%0.0%0.8%22.5%
23Portsmouth (2-7-6, 12 pts)10.720.514.847.00.0%0.0%0.1%56.6%
24Queens Park Rangers (1-7-8, 11 pts)10.518.816.748.20.0%0.0%0.2%49.3%

Predictions Methodology

The Championship is England's second division soccer league. The league consists of 24 teams that each play a total of 46 games in their league's season. The top two teams get promoted to the Premier League. The 3rd through 6th places teams play a tournament to see who gets the third promotion spot in the Premier League. The three teams who finish at the bottom of the table are relegated to League One.