England Championship Predictions

Updated

Upcoming Games for November 27, 2024

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML		GoalsTotal
Goals		Best
O/U

Bet Value

We use three different graphics to describe Bet Value within a matchup.

More on Bet Value
More Details
Luton Town
Leeds United 		11.1%
71.6%		17.3%
+683
-229
+675
-240
0.78
2.31		3.09
o2½-132
u2¾-115

Queens Park Rangers
Cardiff City 		25.1%
50.0%		25.0%
+287
+101
+290
-105
1.05
1.60		2.65
o2¼-118
u2½-124

Volatility Bet Value Active
Blackburn
Middlesbrough 		13.5%
67.2%		19.3%
+460
-172
+480
-185
0.84
2.13		2.97
o2¾-110
u3-138

Millwall
Portsmouth 		34.1%
36.8%		29.1%
+136
+219
+135
+215
1.07
1.13		2.20
o2¼-105
u2½-142

Volatility Bet Value Active
Swansea City
Derby County 		30.3%
41.8%		27.9%
+192
+152
+190
+150
1.05
1.29		2.34
o2¼-110
u2½-134

Volatility Bet Value Active
Games for Nov 26, 2024
Games for Nov 29, 2024

Completed Games

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML		Final
Goals		Sportsbook
Log Loss		DRatings
Log Loss
West Bromwich Albion
Preston North End		41.6%
30.1%		28.3%
+197
+157
+195
+145
4
0		-1.12710-1.13519-0.87770
Birmingham City
Norwich City		18.5%
57.9%		23.6%
+323
-110
+310
-115
0
2		-0.68171-0.67712-0.54716
Swansea City
Millwall		28.3%
44.2%		27.5%
+239
+126
+250
+115
3
0		-1.26051-1.30523-1.26114
Plymouth Argyle
Hull City		24.6%
50.7%		24.7%
+310
-117
+290
-120
1
1		-1.39970-1.43687-1.39736
Rotherham United
Cardiff City		27.2%
45.9%		26.9%
+525
-165
+450
-160
0
2		-0.51083-0.53773-0.77925
Stoke City
Bristol City		34.7%
36.9%		28.4%
+185
+160
+195
+155
3
2		-1.08601-1.11541-1.05906
Leeds United
Southampton		42.3%
31.8%		25.9%
+132
+196
+145
+175
1
3		-1.12427-1.04934-1.14420
Sunderland
Sheffield Wednesday		22.1%
53.1%		24.8%
+124
+228
+120
+230
3
0		-0.84681-0.83884-1.50964
Huddersfield
Coventry City		21.5%
53.3%		25.2%
+294
+100
+300
-105
1
1		-1.32415-1.32013-1.37984
Cardiff City
Sunderland		27.6%
45.8%		26.6%
+293
-103
+290
-110
1
0		-1.40752-1.41375-1.28768
Hull City
Stoke City		18.4%
58.7%		23.0%
+274
+105
+265
+100
3
1		-1.35375-1.34519-1.69538
Millwall
West Bromwich Albion		19.1%
56.6%		24.2%
+275
+115
+265
+110
0
0		-1.23667-1.24573-1.41679
Sheffield Wednesday
Swansea City		19.4%
57.5%		23.1%
+280
+110
+285
+100
0
3		-0.77486-0.74156-0.55405
Preston North End
Rotherham United		26.0%
46.9%		27.1%
+125
+244
+120
+235
1
1		-1.23354-1.25924-1.30494
Norwich City
Plymouth Argyle		36.1%
35.4%		28.4%
+106
+241
+105
+235
2
6		-1.26571-1.26058-1.03809
Southampton
Middlesbrough		22.6%
53.6%		23.7%
+206
+127
+200
+120
1
2		-0.85953-0.84155-0.62302
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Season Prediction Results

 GamesRecord (Pct)No Pick

Log Loss

Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model.

More on Log Loss
+/-
Sportsbooks74-1-2 (0.714)0-0.89468 
Sportsbooks74-1-2 (0.714)0-0.88311 
DRatings74-1-2 (0.714)0-0.86401
0.03067
0.01910

Season Simulation

*Through all games played on or before 11/25/24
#TeamWLTPtsWin LeaguePromotionPromotion PlayoffRelegation
1Sheffield United (10-2-4, 34 pts)23.510.212.382.924.9%56.3%39.4%0.0%
2Leeds United (9-2-5, 32 pts)24.88.712.686.957.6%80.9%18.6%0.0%
3Sunderland (9-2-5, 32 pts)19.912.313.973.53.2%13.1%54.7%0.0%
4Burnley (8-2-6, 30 pts)20.111.314.575.05.2%17.0%59.5%0.0%
5Middlesbrough (8-5-3, 27 pts)21.613.111.376.26.6%21.9%58.7%0.0%
6West Bromwich Albion (6-2-8, 26 pts)17.811.516.770.21.7%5.9%44.5%0.0%
7Watford (8-6-2, 26 pts)18.716.510.866.80.2%1.8%26.8%0.8%
8Millwall (6-4-6, 24 pts)16.215.214.763.20.1%0.8%14.5%1.3%
9Blackburn (6-5-4, 22 pts)16.516.612.962.30.0%0.4%11.7%1.8%
10Bristol City (5-4-7, 22 pts)15.814.515.763.10.0%0.6%14.6%2.0%
11Derby County (5-6-5, 20 pts)14.418.013.756.80.0%0.0%3.1%8.6%
12Stoke City (5-6-5, 20 pts)15.416.913.760.00.2%0.2%5.1%3.8%
13Norwich City (4-5-7, 19 pts)15.714.615.762.80.2%0.5%15.0%1.9%
14Swansea City (5-7-4, 19 pts)15.917.512.660.30.1%0.1%8.6%3.4%
15Sheffield Wednesday (5-7-4, 19 pts)15.617.712.759.60.0%0.1%5.5%4.9%
16Luton Town (5-8-3, 18 pts)15.818.511.859.10.0%0.0%5.2%5.2%
17Coventry City (4-7-5, 17 pts)16.016.513.561.40.0%0.4%11.8%2.4%
18Oxford United (4-7-5, 17 pts)12.220.713.149.60.0%0.0%0.1%39.7%
19Plymouth Argyle (4-7-5, 17 pts)12.120.713.349.50.0%0.0%0.1%42.6%
20Preston North End (3-6-7, 16 pts)11.918.615.551.20.0%0.0%0.4%30.4%
21Cardiff City (4-8-4, 16 pts)13.519.812.653.20.0%0.0%1.0%22.8%
22Hull City (3-7-6, 15 pts)12.618.714.752.50.0%0.0%0.8%22.5%
23Portsmouth (2-7-6, 12 pts)10.720.514.847.00.0%0.0%0.1%56.6%
24Queens Park Rangers (1-7-8, 11 pts)10.518.816.748.20.0%0.0%0.2%49.3%

Predictions Methodology

The Championship is England's second division soccer league. The league consists of 24 teams that each play a total of 46 games in their league's season. The top two teams get promoted to the Premier League. The 3rd through 6th places teams play a tournament to see who gets the third promotion spot in the Premier League. The three teams who finish at the bottom of the table are relegated to League One.