England Championship Predictions

Updated

Upcoming Games for November 27, 2024

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML		GoalsTotal
Goals		Best
O/U

Bet Value

We use three different graphics to describe Bet Value within a matchup.

More on Bet Value
More Details
Luton Town
Leeds United 		11.1%
71.6%		17.3%
+690
-235
+675
-240
0.78
2.31		3.09
o2½-131
u2½+116

Queens Park Rangers
Cardiff City 		25.1%
50.0%		25.0%
+287
+101
+290
-105
1.05
1.60		2.65
o2¼-118
u2½-124

Volatility Bet Value Active
Blackburn
Middlesbrough 		13.5%
67.2%		19.3%
+460
-172
+480
-185
0.84
2.13		2.97
o2¾-110
u3-138

Millwall
Portsmouth 		34.1%
36.8%		29.1%
+136
+219
+135
+215
1.07
1.13		2.20
o2¼-104
u2½-142

Volatility Bet Value Active
Swansea City
Derby County 		30.3%
41.8%		27.9%
+192
+152
+190
+150
1.05
1.29		2.34
o2¼-109
u2½-134

Volatility Bet Value Active
Games for Nov 26, 2024
Games for Nov 29, 2024

Completed Games

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML		Final
Goals		Sportsbook
Log Loss		DRatings
Log Loss
Bristol City
Leicester City		10.4%
73.5%		16.1%
+403
-147
+365
-150
0
1		-0.55842-0.56261-0.30729
Watford
Leeds United		13.4%
67.3%		19.2%
+365
-134
+335
-130
0
3		-0.59693-0.62077-0.39558
Blackburn
Ipswich Town		16.1%
62.1%		21.8%
+372
-142
+365
-150
3
4		-0.57251-0.55995-0.47593
Queens Park Rangers
Birmingham City		25.5%
48.9%		25.6%
+342
-110
+325
-115
0
0		-1.29408-1.31751-1.36438
Leicester City
Norwich City		40.9%
31.8%		27.3%
+187
+147
+180
+145
2
0		-1.08948-1.07937-0.89380
West Bromwich Albion
Watford		28.9%
43.2%		27.9%
+240
+126
+230
+125
2
2		-1.24344-1.24316-1.27827
Rotherham United
Millwall		19.9%
55.2%		24.9%
+434
-140
+440
-145
0
3		-0.57560-0.57426-0.59439
Leeds United
Hull City		58.1%
19.6%		22.3%
+100
+268
+100
+280
0
0		-1.35747-1.32107-1.50067
Stoke City
Huddersfield		34.8%
36.0%		29.3%
+150
+202
+150
+185
2
2		-1.23179-1.25716-1.22803
Sunderland
Blackburn		24.1%
50.4%		25.5%
+199
+131
+185
+135
3
1		-1.13221-1.09646-1.42113
Middlesbrough
Sheffield Wednesday		43.5%
29.3%		27.3%
+115
+250
+110
+240
1
1		-1.30100-1.31763-1.29982
Plymouth Argyle
Bristol City		24.2%
51.3%		24.4%
+432
-158
+425
-160
1
4		-0.52019-0.52853-0.66678
Swansea City
Queens Park Rangers		36.1%
36.1%		27.8%
+169
+181
+165
+165
1
1		-1.22840-1.27147-1.28183
Birmingham City
Preston North End		26.4%
46.5%		27.0%
+250
+140
+240
+135
1
2		-0.90217-0.89578-0.76505
Coventry City
Cardiff City		33.2%
38.3%		28.5%
+170
+175
+165
+170
2
3		-1.04358-1.04276-0.96032
Leeds United
Millwall		50.0%
24.6%		25.4%
+105
+269
+115
+235
3
0		-0.75228-0.80602-0.69249
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Season Prediction Results

 GamesRecord (Pct)No Pick

Log Loss

Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model.

More on Log Loss
+/-
Sportsbooks74-1-2 (0.714)0-0.89468 
Sportsbooks74-1-2 (0.714)0-0.88311 
DRatings74-1-2 (0.714)0-0.86401
0.03067
0.01910

Season Simulation

*Through all games played on or before 11/25/24
#TeamWLTPtsWin LeaguePromotionPromotion PlayoffRelegation
1Sheffield United (10-2-4, 34 pts)23.510.212.382.924.9%56.3%39.4%0.0%
2Leeds United (9-2-5, 32 pts)24.88.712.686.957.6%80.9%18.6%0.0%
3Sunderland (9-2-5, 32 pts)19.912.313.973.53.2%13.1%54.7%0.0%
4Burnley (8-2-6, 30 pts)20.111.314.575.05.2%17.0%59.5%0.0%
5Middlesbrough (8-5-3, 27 pts)21.613.111.376.26.6%21.9%58.7%0.0%
6West Bromwich Albion (6-2-8, 26 pts)17.811.516.770.21.7%5.9%44.5%0.0%
7Watford (8-6-2, 26 pts)18.716.510.866.80.2%1.8%26.8%0.8%
8Millwall (6-4-6, 24 pts)16.215.214.763.20.1%0.8%14.5%1.3%
9Blackburn (6-5-4, 22 pts)16.516.612.962.30.0%0.4%11.7%1.8%
10Bristol City (5-4-7, 22 pts)15.814.515.763.10.0%0.6%14.6%2.0%
11Derby County (5-6-5, 20 pts)14.418.013.756.80.0%0.0%3.1%8.6%
12Stoke City (5-6-5, 20 pts)15.416.913.760.00.2%0.2%5.1%3.8%
13Norwich City (4-5-7, 19 pts)15.714.615.762.80.2%0.5%15.0%1.9%
14Swansea City (5-7-4, 19 pts)15.917.512.660.30.1%0.1%8.6%3.4%
15Sheffield Wednesday (5-7-4, 19 pts)15.617.712.759.60.0%0.1%5.5%4.9%
16Luton Town (5-8-3, 18 pts)15.818.511.859.10.0%0.0%5.2%5.2%
17Coventry City (4-7-5, 17 pts)16.016.513.561.40.0%0.4%11.8%2.4%
18Oxford United (4-7-5, 17 pts)12.220.713.149.60.0%0.0%0.1%39.7%
19Plymouth Argyle (4-7-5, 17 pts)12.120.713.349.50.0%0.0%0.1%42.6%
20Preston North End (3-6-7, 16 pts)11.918.615.551.20.0%0.0%0.4%30.4%
21Cardiff City (4-8-4, 16 pts)13.519.812.653.20.0%0.0%1.0%22.8%
22Hull City (3-7-6, 15 pts)12.618.714.752.50.0%0.0%0.8%22.5%
23Portsmouth (2-7-6, 12 pts)10.720.514.847.00.0%0.0%0.1%56.6%
24Queens Park Rangers (1-7-8, 11 pts)10.518.816.748.20.0%0.0%0.2%49.3%

Predictions Methodology

The Championship is England's second division soccer league. The league consists of 24 teams that each play a total of 46 games in their league's season. The top two teams get promoted to the Premier League. The 3rd through 6th places teams play a tournament to see who gets the third promotion spot in the Premier League. The three teams who finish at the bottom of the table are relegated to League One.