England Championship Predictions

Updated

Upcoming Games for November 27, 2024

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML		GoalsTotal
Goals		Best
O/U

Bet Value

We use three different graphics to describe Bet Value within a matchup.

More on Bet Value
More Details
Luton Town
Leeds United 		11.1%
71.6%		17.3%
+690
-235
+675
-240
0.78
2.31		3.09
o2½-122
u2¾-120

Queens Park Rangers
Cardiff City 		25.1%
50.0%		25.0%
+287
+101
+290
-105
1.05
1.60		2.65
o2¼-120
u2½-124

Volatility Bet Value Active
Blackburn
Middlesbrough 		13.5%
67.2%		19.3%
+449
-167
+440
-170
0.84
2.13		2.97
o2¾-110
u3-138

Millwall
Portsmouth 		34.1%
36.8%		29.1%
+138
+219
+140
+220
1.07
1.13		2.20
o2-118
u2+115

Volatility Bet Value Active
Swansea City
Derby County 		30.3%
41.8%		27.9%
+190
+157
+190
+150
1.05
1.29		2.34
o2¼+105
u2¼-115

Games for Nov 26, 2024
Games for Nov 29, 2024

Completed Games

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML		Final
Goals		Sportsbook
Log Loss		DRatings
Log Loss
Swansea City
Cardiff City		31.4%
41.4%		27.2%
+209
+148
+200
+135
0
2		-0.93948-0.90604-0.88274
West Bromwich Albion
Bristol City		40.3%
31.9%		27.8%
+225
+133
+215
+130
0
0		-1.23736-1.25846-1.28161
Birmingham City
Watford		13.5%
66.0%		20.5%
+289
+104
+290
+100
0
2		-0.74539-0.74244-0.41511
Ipswich Town
Sheffield Wednesday		23.2%
51.3%		25.5%
-101
+287
+100
+275
1
0		-0.72029-0.74421-1.45981
Plymouth Argyle
Preston North End		21.2%
54.9%		23.9%
+273
+100
+260
+100
1
2		-0.72664-0.74360-0.60039
Stoke City
Norwich City		26.5%
46.2%		27.2%
+301
-105
+295
-115
0
1		-0.70110-0.67564-0.77241
Sunderland
Queens Park Rangers		18.8%
58.6%		22.6%
+135
+202
+130
+210
3
1		-0.89360-0.87508-1.66951
Middlesbrough
Blackburn		28.0%
45.4%		26.6%
+197
+136
+185
+140
1
2		-0.88889-0.92352-0.78950
Coventry City
Hull City		28.6%
44.1%		27.3%
+166
+170
+155
+175
1
1		-1.26549-1.26185-1.29667
Norwich City
Rotherham United		33.7%
36.9%		29.4%
-127
+343
-130
+335
1
2		-1.52855-1.52037-0.99742
Cardiff City
Ipswich Town		24.1%
50.2%		25.6%
+501
-180
+485
-185
2
3		-0.47770-0.48088-0.68876
Sheffield Wednesday
Leeds United		10.4%
73.2%		16.4%
+555
-207
+525
-210
0
0		-1.58650-1.58802-1.80764
Hull City
Leicester City		9.1%
75.9%		15.0%
+545
-202
+550
-215
1
0		-1.90274-1.92196-2.39932
Blackburn
Plymouth Argyle		31.2%
41.9%		26.9%
+140
+182
+140
+180
0
3		-1.07605-1.07993-0.86962
Huddersfield
West Bromwich Albion		16.2%
61.8%		22.0%
+376
-131
+360
-135
2
1		-1.59652-1.57639-1.82232
Preston North End
Stoke City		22.4%
52.0%		25.5%
+317
+102
+300
-105
2
0		-1.45235-1.43704-1.49499
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Season Prediction Results

 GamesRecord (Pct)No Pick

Log Loss

Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model.

More on Log Loss
+/-
Sportsbooks74-1-2 (0.714)0-0.89468 
Sportsbooks74-1-2 (0.714)0-0.88311 
DRatings74-1-2 (0.714)0-0.86401
0.03067
0.01910

Season Simulation

*Through all games played on or before 11/25/24
#TeamWLTPtsWin LeaguePromotionPromotion PlayoffRelegation
1Sheffield United (10-2-4, 34 pts)23.510.212.382.924.9%56.3%39.4%0.0%
2Leeds United (9-2-5, 32 pts)24.88.712.686.957.6%80.9%18.6%0.0%
3Sunderland (9-2-5, 32 pts)19.912.313.973.53.2%13.1%54.7%0.0%
4Burnley (8-2-6, 30 pts)20.111.314.575.05.2%17.0%59.5%0.0%
5Middlesbrough (8-5-3, 27 pts)21.613.111.376.26.6%21.9%58.7%0.0%
6West Bromwich Albion (6-2-8, 26 pts)17.811.516.770.21.7%5.9%44.5%0.0%
7Watford (8-6-2, 26 pts)18.716.510.866.80.2%1.8%26.8%0.8%
8Millwall (6-4-6, 24 pts)16.215.214.763.20.1%0.8%14.5%1.3%
9Blackburn (6-5-4, 22 pts)16.516.612.962.30.0%0.4%11.7%1.8%
10Bristol City (5-4-7, 22 pts)15.814.515.763.10.0%0.6%14.6%2.0%
11Derby County (5-6-5, 20 pts)14.418.013.756.80.0%0.0%3.1%8.6%
12Stoke City (5-6-5, 20 pts)15.416.913.760.00.2%0.2%5.1%3.8%
13Norwich City (4-5-7, 19 pts)15.714.615.762.80.2%0.5%15.0%1.9%
14Swansea City (5-7-4, 19 pts)15.917.512.660.30.1%0.1%8.6%3.4%
15Sheffield Wednesday (5-7-4, 19 pts)15.617.712.759.60.0%0.1%5.5%4.9%
16Luton Town (5-8-3, 18 pts)15.818.511.859.10.0%0.0%5.2%5.2%
17Coventry City (4-7-5, 17 pts)16.016.513.561.40.0%0.4%11.8%2.4%
18Oxford United (4-7-5, 17 pts)12.220.713.149.60.0%0.0%0.1%39.7%
19Plymouth Argyle (4-7-5, 17 pts)12.120.713.349.50.0%0.0%0.1%42.6%
20Preston North End (3-6-7, 16 pts)11.918.615.551.20.0%0.0%0.4%30.4%
21Cardiff City (4-8-4, 16 pts)13.519.812.653.20.0%0.0%1.0%22.8%
22Hull City (3-7-6, 15 pts)12.618.714.752.50.0%0.0%0.8%22.5%
23Portsmouth (2-7-6, 12 pts)10.720.514.847.00.0%0.0%0.1%56.6%
24Queens Park Rangers (1-7-8, 11 pts)10.518.816.748.20.0%0.0%0.2%49.3%

Predictions Methodology

The Championship is England's second division soccer league. The league consists of 24 teams that each play a total of 46 games in their league's season. The top two teams get promoted to the Premier League. The 3rd through 6th places teams play a tournament to see who gets the third promotion spot in the Premier League. The three teams who finish at the bottom of the table are relegated to League One.