England Championship Predictions

Updated

Upcoming Games for November 27, 2024

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML		GoalsTotal
Goals		Best
O/U

Bet Value

We use three different graphics to describe Bet Value within a matchup.

More on Bet Value
More Details
Luton Town
Leeds United 		11.1%
71.6%		17.3%
+675
-228
+675
-240
0.78
2.31		3.09
o2½-118
u2½+112

Queens Park Rangers
Cardiff City 		25.1%
50.0%		25.0%
+306
-105
+290
-105
1.05
1.60		2.65
o2¼-122
u2½-119

Volatility Bet Value Active
Blackburn
Middlesbrough 		13.5%
67.2%		19.3%
+400
-147
+440
-170
0.84
2.13		2.97
o2¾-110
u3-138

Millwall
Portsmouth 		34.1%
36.8%		29.1%
+136
+219
+140
+220
1.07
1.13		2.20
o2-117
u2+111

Swansea City
Derby County 		30.3%
41.8%		27.9%
+190
+157
+190
+150
1.05
1.29		2.34
o2¼+105
u2¼-115

Games for Nov 26, 2024
Games for Nov 29, 2024

Completed Games

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML		Final
Goals		Sportsbook
Log Loss		DRatings
Log Loss
Queens Park Rangers
Middlesbrough		26.0%
48.6%		25.5%
+485
-175
+460
-180
2
0		-1.79553-1.77284-1.34896
Watford
Coventry City		33.6%
36.8%		29.5%
+219
+129
+225
+120
3
3		-1.27762-1.28913-1.22081
Southampton
Sunderland		53.9%
22.3%		23.8%
+146
+183
+140
+180
0
5		-1.08022-1.07993-1.50206
Bristol City
Swansea City		21.8%
54.3%		23.9%
+233
+125
+245
+115
2
1		-1.24026-1.29048-1.52276
Millwall
Birmingham City		36.9%
33.5%		29.6%
+214
+144
+220
+140
1
1		-1.20534-1.18185-1.21882
Blackburn
Watford		19.4%
57.0%		23.6%
+266
+125
+225
+120
1
0		-1.28906-1.21790-1.64160
Norwich City
Huddersfield		31.0%
40.7%		28.3%
+106
+263
-105
+275
4
0		-0.75845-0.72054-1.17163
Leeds United
Ipswich Town		54.3%
21.3%		24.4%
+217
+135
+220
+125
4
3		-1.17461-1.21295-0.61098
Sunderland
Coventry City		20.4%
55.2%		24.4%
+278
+103
+280
-105
0
0		-1.30298-1.33272-1.40993
Swansea City
Preston North End		27.5%
45.0%		27.4%
+206
+155
+210
+135
1
2		-0.96056-0.90429-0.79744
Sheffield Wednesday
Cardiff City		31.4%
41.1%		27.4%
+260
+126
+260
+110
1
2		-0.83483-0.79308-0.88860
Queens Park Rangers
Southampton		13.8%
67.7%		18.5%
+758
-257
+760
-300
1
2		-0.35005-0.33951-0.38989
Middlesbrough
West Bromwich Albion		18.4%
58.3%		23.3%
+225
+128
+220
+125
2
4		-0.85567-0.86074-0.53940
Plymouth Argyle
Birmingham City		29.6%
43.4%		26.9%
+331
-105
+355
-130
1
2		-0.68856-0.62092-0.83413
Stoke City
Millwall		27.5%
44.5%		28.0%
+216
+158
+200
+150
0
1		-0.96134-0.96582-0.81051
Bristol City
Hull City		26.8%
48.0%		25.2%
+212
+137
+200
+135
1
1		-1.26808-1.27540-1.37852
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Season Prediction Results

 GamesRecord (Pct)No Pick

Log Loss

Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model.

More on Log Loss
+/-
Sportsbooks74-1-2 (0.714)0-0.89468 
Sportsbooks74-1-2 (0.714)0-0.88311 
DRatings74-1-2 (0.714)0-0.86401
0.03067
0.01910

Season Simulation

*Through all games played on or before 11/25/24
#TeamWLTPtsWin LeaguePromotionPromotion PlayoffRelegation
1Sheffield United (10-2-4, 34 pts)23.510.212.382.924.9%56.3%39.4%0.0%
2Leeds United (9-2-5, 32 pts)24.88.712.686.957.6%80.9%18.6%0.0%
3Sunderland (9-2-5, 32 pts)19.912.313.973.53.2%13.1%54.7%0.0%
4Burnley (8-2-6, 30 pts)20.111.314.575.05.2%17.0%59.5%0.0%
5Middlesbrough (8-5-3, 27 pts)21.613.111.376.26.6%21.9%58.7%0.0%
6West Bromwich Albion (6-2-8, 26 pts)17.811.516.770.21.7%5.9%44.5%0.0%
7Watford (8-6-2, 26 pts)18.716.510.866.80.2%1.8%26.8%0.8%
8Millwall (6-4-6, 24 pts)16.215.214.763.20.1%0.8%14.5%1.3%
9Blackburn (6-5-4, 22 pts)16.516.612.962.30.0%0.4%11.7%1.8%
10Bristol City (5-4-7, 22 pts)15.814.515.763.10.0%0.6%14.6%2.0%
11Derby County (5-6-5, 20 pts)14.418.013.756.80.0%0.0%3.1%8.6%
12Stoke City (5-6-5, 20 pts)15.416.913.760.00.2%0.2%5.1%3.8%
13Norwich City (4-5-7, 19 pts)15.714.615.762.80.2%0.5%15.0%1.9%
14Swansea City (5-7-4, 19 pts)15.917.512.660.30.1%0.1%8.6%3.4%
15Sheffield Wednesday (5-7-4, 19 pts)15.617.712.759.60.0%0.1%5.5%4.9%
16Luton Town (5-8-3, 18 pts)15.818.511.859.10.0%0.0%5.2%5.2%
17Coventry City (4-7-5, 17 pts)16.016.513.561.40.0%0.4%11.8%2.4%
18Oxford United (4-7-5, 17 pts)12.220.713.149.60.0%0.0%0.1%39.7%
19Plymouth Argyle (4-7-5, 17 pts)12.120.713.349.50.0%0.0%0.1%42.6%
20Preston North End (3-6-7, 16 pts)11.918.615.551.20.0%0.0%0.4%30.4%
21Cardiff City (4-8-4, 16 pts)13.519.812.653.20.0%0.0%1.0%22.8%
22Hull City (3-7-6, 15 pts)12.618.714.752.50.0%0.0%0.8%22.5%
23Portsmouth (2-7-6, 12 pts)10.720.514.847.00.0%0.0%0.1%56.6%
24Queens Park Rangers (1-7-8, 11 pts)10.518.816.748.20.0%0.0%0.2%49.3%

Predictions Methodology

The Championship is England's second division soccer league. The league consists of 24 teams that each play a total of 46 games in their league's season. The top two teams get promoted to the Premier League. The 3rd through 6th places teams play a tournament to see who gets the third promotion spot in the Premier League. The three teams who finish at the bottom of the table are relegated to League One.