England Championship Predictions

Updated

Upcoming Games for November 29, 2024

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML
GoalsTotal
Goals
Best
O/U

Bet Value

We use three different graphics to describe Bet Value within a matchup.

More on Bet Value
More Details
Sunderland
Sheffield United
17.5%
59.2%
23.4%
+287
+102

0.82
1.74
2.56
o2¼-107
u2½-143

Games for Nov 28, 2024

Completed Games

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML
Final
Goals
Sportsbook
Log Loss
DRatings
Log Loss
Millwall
Stoke City
29.8%
41.6%
28.7%
+242
+133
+235
+130
1
0
-1.26890-1.25846-1.21214
Blackburn
Queens Park Rangers
25.5%
49.6%
24.9%
+281
+115
+275
+110
3
1
-1.37227-1.37105-1.36826
Sunderland
Coventry City
30.6%
41.1%
28.3%
+213
+139
+225
+130
1
2
-0.90706-0.88187-0.88928
Stoke City
Swansea City
23.5%
50.9%
25.6%
+251
+126
+240
+120
3
1
-1.28558-1.27418-1.44808
Birmingham City
Norwich City
13.3%
66.4%
20.3%
+483
-155
+455
-160
1
3
-0.53173-0.53618-0.40947
Blackpool
Blackburn
21.0%
54.6%
24.4%
+295
+108
+300
-105
0
1
-0.75835-0.71980-0.60466
Burnley
Millwall
33.7%
36.2%
30.1%
+145
+227
+140
+220
1
1
-1.18273-1.18185-1.19998
Sunderland
Rotherham United
31.2%
40.0%
28.8%
+113
+283
+110
+290
1
2
-1.37152-1.40047-0.91594
West Bromwich Albion
Watford
30.7%
40.8%
28.5%
+175
+178
+165
+175
2
3
-1.05958-1.06372-0.89656
Bristol City
Sunderland
20.5%
56.1%
23.4%
+306
-104
+295
-105
1
1
-1.29993-1.30258-1.45231
Coventry City
Rotherham United
26.7%
46.2%
27.1%
+120
+248
+110
+245
2
0
-0.82551-0.79239-1.32062
Swansea City
Blackburn
31.7%
40.6%
27.7%
+149
+191
+150
+185
0
1
-1.10845-1.09551-0.90093
Queens Park Rangers
Middlesbrough
16.0%
62.9%
21.0%
+476
-163
+485
-175
1
3
-0.51733-0.50192-0.46294
Norwich City
Wigan Athletic
49.7%
24.7%
25.6%
+104
+285
+100
+275
0
0
-1.27949-1.30383-1.36328
Burnley
Luton Town
37.2%
33.6%
29.2%
+142
+228
+125
+245
1
0
-0.91392-0.86140-0.98980
Preston North End
Hull City
38.2%
33.3%
28.5%
+299
+107
+295
+100
0
0
-1.22356-1.25931-1.25607
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Season Prediction Results

 GamesRecord (Pct)No Pick

Log Loss

Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model.

More on Log Loss
+/-
Sportsbooks41-3-0 (0.250)0-1.12472 
Sportsbooks41-3-0 (0.250)0-1.11787 
DRatings41-3-0 (0.250)0-1.22851
-0.10379
-0.11064

Season Simulation

*Through all games played on or before 11/25/24
#TeamWLTPtsWin LeaguePromotionPromotion PlayoffRelegation
1Sheffield United (10-2-4, 34 pts)23.510.212.382.924.9%56.3%39.4%0.0%
2Leeds United (9-2-5, 32 pts)24.88.712.686.957.6%80.9%18.6%0.0%
3Sunderland (9-2-5, 32 pts)19.912.313.973.53.2%13.1%54.7%0.0%
4Burnley (8-2-6, 30 pts)20.111.314.575.05.2%17.0%59.5%0.0%
5Middlesbrough (8-5-3, 27 pts)21.613.111.376.26.6%21.9%58.7%0.0%
6West Bromwich Albion (6-2-8, 26 pts)17.811.516.770.21.7%5.9%44.5%0.0%
7Watford (8-6-2, 26 pts)18.716.510.866.80.2%1.8%26.8%0.8%
8Millwall (6-4-6, 24 pts)16.215.214.763.20.1%0.8%14.5%1.3%
9Blackburn (6-5-4, 22 pts)16.516.612.962.30.0%0.4%11.7%1.8%
10Bristol City (5-4-7, 22 pts)15.814.515.763.10.0%0.6%14.6%2.0%
11Derby County (5-6-5, 20 pts)14.418.013.756.80.0%0.0%3.1%8.6%
12Stoke City (5-6-5, 20 pts)15.416.913.760.00.2%0.2%5.1%3.8%
13Norwich City (4-5-7, 19 pts)15.714.615.762.80.2%0.5%15.0%1.9%
14Swansea City (5-7-4, 19 pts)15.917.512.660.30.1%0.1%8.6%3.4%
15Sheffield Wednesday (5-7-4, 19 pts)15.617.712.759.60.0%0.1%5.5%4.9%
16Luton Town (5-8-3, 18 pts)15.818.511.859.10.0%0.0%5.2%5.2%
17Coventry City (4-7-5, 17 pts)16.016.513.561.40.0%0.4%11.8%2.4%
18Oxford United (4-7-5, 17 pts)12.220.713.149.60.0%0.0%0.1%39.7%
19Plymouth Argyle (4-7-5, 17 pts)12.120.713.349.50.0%0.0%0.1%42.6%
20Preston North End (3-6-7, 16 pts)11.918.615.551.20.0%0.0%0.4%30.4%
21Cardiff City (4-8-4, 16 pts)13.519.812.653.20.0%0.0%1.0%22.8%
22Hull City (3-7-6, 15 pts)12.618.714.752.50.0%0.0%0.8%22.5%
23Portsmouth (2-7-6, 12 pts)10.720.514.847.00.0%0.0%0.1%56.6%
24Queens Park Rangers (1-7-8, 11 pts)10.518.816.748.20.0%0.0%0.2%49.3%

Predictions Methodology

The Championship is England's second division soccer league. The league consists of 24 teams that each play a total of 46 games in their league's season. The top two teams get promoted to the Premier League. The 3rd through 6th places teams play a tournament to see who gets the third promotion spot in the Premier League. The three teams who finish at the bottom of the table are relegated to League One.