England Championship Predictions

Updated

Upcoming Games for November 29, 2024

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML
GoalsTotal
Goals
Best
O/U

Bet Value

We use three different graphics to describe Bet Value within a matchup.

More on Bet Value
More Details
Sunderland
Sheffield United
17.5%
59.2%
23.4%
+287
+102

0.82
1.74
2.56
o2¼-107
u2½-143

Games for Nov 28, 2024

Completed Games

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML
Final
Goals
Sportsbook
Log Loss
DRatings
Log Loss
Stoke City
Blackpool
34.1%
36.5%
29.4%
+128
+228
+135
+210
0
1
-1.22813-1.18127-1.00767
Sheffield United
Millwall
34.9%
34.1%
31.0%
+165
+185
+160
+180
2
3
-1.08631-1.08246-1.07669
Reading
Cardiff City
25.9%
49.0%
25.0%
+381
-105
+310
+100
0
1
-0.68316-0.74345-0.71298
Blackburn
West Bromwich Albion
16.9%
61.3%
21.8%
+516
-161
+490
-160
1
1
-1.39983-1.37200-1.52216
Middlesbrough
Sheffield United
22.4%
51.4%
26.2%
+262
+106
+265
+100
3
1
-1.32520-1.34519-1.49669
Wigan Athletic
Bristol City
22.4%
54.1%
23.5%
+307
+108
+325
-105
1
1
-1.19700-1.24320-1.44804
Huddersfield
Stoke City
20.3%
55.4%
24.3%
+401
-116
+385
-120
0
3
-0.65032-0.65508-0.59133
Blackpool
Swansea City
16.6%
61.1%
22.3%
+465
-161
+440
-160
1
2
-0.51457-0.53485-0.49338
Luton Town
Preston North End
24.4%
49.3%
26.3%
+165
+209
+165
+195
1
1
-1.14360-1.14709-1.33416
Watford
Burnley
18.0%
58.0%
24.0%
+450
-140
+440
-145
1
1
-1.34715-1.34446-1.42883
Millwall
Coventry City
33.0%
37.6%
29.4%
+191
+167
+185
+160
0
1
-1.01231-1.00239-0.97846
Cardiff City
Birmingham City
25.8%
48.3%
25.9%
+268
+126
+245
+125
2
0
-1.32833-1.28880-1.35534
Sunderland
Queens Park Rangers
29.5%
43.6%
26.9%
+228
+142
+205
+140
3
0
-1.20966-1.16603-1.22092
Hull City
Norwich City
11.0%
71.2%
17.8%
+372
-115
+345
-120
1
3
-0.64329-0.65298-0.33962
Norwich City
Bristol City
44.4%
28.9%
26.7%
+126
+221
+140
+190
0
1
-1.20287-1.11480-1.24292
Luton Town
Coventry City
30.5%
41.5%
28.0%
+234
+137
+225
+125
1
1
-1.21584-1.25836-1.27361
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Season Prediction Results

 GamesRecord (Pct)No Pick

Log Loss

Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model.

More on Log Loss
+/-
Sportsbooks41-3-0 (0.250)0-1.12472 
Sportsbooks41-3-0 (0.250)0-1.11787 
DRatings41-3-0 (0.250)0-1.22851
-0.10379
-0.11064

Season Simulation

*Through all games played on or before 11/25/24
#TeamWLTPtsWin LeaguePromotionPromotion PlayoffRelegation
1Sheffield United (10-2-4, 34 pts)23.510.212.382.924.9%56.3%39.4%0.0%
2Leeds United (9-2-5, 32 pts)24.88.712.686.957.6%80.9%18.6%0.0%
3Sunderland (9-2-5, 32 pts)19.912.313.973.53.2%13.1%54.7%0.0%
4Burnley (8-2-6, 30 pts)20.111.314.575.05.2%17.0%59.5%0.0%
5Middlesbrough (8-5-3, 27 pts)21.613.111.376.26.6%21.9%58.7%0.0%
6West Bromwich Albion (6-2-8, 26 pts)17.811.516.770.21.7%5.9%44.5%0.0%
7Watford (8-6-2, 26 pts)18.716.510.866.80.2%1.8%26.8%0.8%
8Millwall (6-4-6, 24 pts)16.215.214.763.20.1%0.8%14.5%1.3%
9Blackburn (6-5-4, 22 pts)16.516.612.962.30.0%0.4%11.7%1.8%
10Bristol City (5-4-7, 22 pts)15.814.515.763.10.0%0.6%14.6%2.0%
11Derby County (5-6-5, 20 pts)14.418.013.756.80.0%0.0%3.1%8.6%
12Stoke City (5-6-5, 20 pts)15.416.913.760.00.2%0.2%5.1%3.8%
13Norwich City (4-5-7, 19 pts)15.714.615.762.80.2%0.5%15.0%1.9%
14Swansea City (5-7-4, 19 pts)15.917.512.660.30.1%0.1%8.6%3.4%
15Sheffield Wednesday (5-7-4, 19 pts)15.617.712.759.60.0%0.1%5.5%4.9%
16Luton Town (5-8-3, 18 pts)15.818.511.859.10.0%0.0%5.2%5.2%
17Coventry City (4-7-5, 17 pts)16.016.513.561.40.0%0.4%11.8%2.4%
18Oxford United (4-7-5, 17 pts)12.220.713.149.60.0%0.0%0.1%39.7%
19Plymouth Argyle (4-7-5, 17 pts)12.120.713.349.50.0%0.0%0.1%42.6%
20Preston North End (3-6-7, 16 pts)11.918.615.551.20.0%0.0%0.4%30.4%
21Cardiff City (4-8-4, 16 pts)13.519.812.653.20.0%0.0%1.0%22.8%
22Hull City (3-7-6, 15 pts)12.618.714.752.50.0%0.0%0.8%22.5%
23Portsmouth (2-7-6, 12 pts)10.720.514.847.00.0%0.0%0.1%56.6%
24Queens Park Rangers (1-7-8, 11 pts)10.518.816.748.20.0%0.0%0.2%49.3%

Predictions Methodology

The Championship is England's second division soccer league. The league consists of 24 teams that each play a total of 46 games in their league's season. The top two teams get promoted to the Premier League. The 3rd through 6th places teams play a tournament to see who gets the third promotion spot in the Premier League. The three teams who finish at the bottom of the table are relegated to League One.