England Championship Predictions

Updated

Upcoming Games for November 29, 2024

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML
GoalsTotal
Goals
Best
O/U

Bet Value

We use three different graphics to describe Bet Value within a matchup.

More on Bet Value
More Details
Sunderland
Sheffield United
17.5%
59.2%
23.4%
+287
+102
+260
-115
0.82
1.74
2.56
o2¼-107
u2½-143

Games for Nov 28, 2024

Completed Games

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML
Final
Goals
Sportsbook
Log Loss
DRatings
Log Loss
Middlesbrough
Cardiff City
42.9%
29.9%
27.2%
+138
+227
+120
+245
3
1
-0.89392-0.83924-0.84714
Millwall
Queens Park Rangers
32.0%
40.0%
28.0%
+181
+188
+180
+165
2
1
-1.05552-1.08028-1.13981
Swansea City
Sheffield United
16.6%
60.4%
23.0%
+390
-135
+360
-130
0
3
-0.59254-0.61865-0.50469
Hull City
Stoke City
18.5%
58.7%
22.8%
+244
+133
+245
+120
0
0
-1.21231-1.22946-1.47968
Reading
Sunderland
19.8%
56.9%
23.3%
+388
-123
+375
-130
0
1
-0.62282-0.62269-0.56458
Preston North End
Burnley
17.9%
58.0%
24.0%
+622
-184
+575
-190
0
3
-0.46273-0.47188-0.54450
Blackburn
Watford
20.8%
54.8%
24.4%
+381
-120
+355
-120
1
1
-1.33762-1.30247-1.41141
West Bromwich Albion
Birmingham City
39.4%
32.2%
28.5%
+108
+298
+105
+285
0
2
-1.39885-1.39740-1.13460
Wigan Athletic
Blackburn
20.5%
56.4%
23.1%
+285
+108
+290
+100
0
0
-1.28479-1.27307-1.46638
Bristol City
Preston North End
19.2%
57.7%
23.1%
+206
+151
+210
+140
2
1
-1.15078-1.18185-1.65287
Queens Park Rangers
Huddersfield
30.9%
42.1%
27.0%
+150
+228
+145
+210
1
1
-1.16729-1.18335-1.31026
Stoke City
Luton Town
24.9%
48.8%
26.3%
+242
+136
+240
+125
0
1
-0.88220-0.86074-0.71701
Cardiff City
Hull City
29.8%
43.6%
26.6%
+303
+113
+280
+110
0
1
-0.78113-0.79248-0.83087
Watford
Reading
35.0%
36.7%
28.4%
+153
+212
+150
+195
2
2
-1.20397-1.21335-1.26054
Blackpool
Middlesbrough
12.0%
68.7%
19.3%
+577
-184
+590
-200
0
3
-0.45665-0.45668-0.37488
Sunderland
Millwall
23.5%
49.8%
26.6%
+273
+119
+285
+105
1
1
-1.23402-1.24327-1.32264
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Season Prediction Results

 GamesRecord (Pct)No Pick

Log Loss

Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model.

More on Log Loss
+/-
Sportsbooks41-3-0 (0.250)0-1.12472 
Sportsbooks41-3-0 (0.250)0-1.11787 
DRatings41-3-0 (0.250)0-1.22851
-0.10379
-0.11064

Season Simulation

*Through all games played on or before 11/25/24
#TeamWLTPtsWin LeaguePromotionPromotion PlayoffRelegation
1Sheffield United (10-2-4, 34 pts)23.510.212.382.924.9%56.3%39.4%0.0%
2Leeds United (9-2-5, 32 pts)24.88.712.686.957.6%80.9%18.6%0.0%
3Sunderland (9-2-5, 32 pts)19.912.313.973.53.2%13.1%54.7%0.0%
4Burnley (8-2-6, 30 pts)20.111.314.575.05.2%17.0%59.5%0.0%
5Middlesbrough (8-5-3, 27 pts)21.613.111.376.26.6%21.9%58.7%0.0%
6West Bromwich Albion (6-2-8, 26 pts)17.811.516.770.21.7%5.9%44.5%0.0%
7Watford (8-6-2, 26 pts)18.716.510.866.80.2%1.8%26.8%0.8%
8Millwall (6-4-6, 24 pts)16.215.214.763.20.1%0.8%14.5%1.3%
9Blackburn (6-5-4, 22 pts)16.516.612.962.30.0%0.4%11.7%1.8%
10Bristol City (5-4-7, 22 pts)15.814.515.763.10.0%0.6%14.6%2.0%
11Derby County (5-6-5, 20 pts)14.418.013.756.80.0%0.0%3.1%8.6%
12Stoke City (5-6-5, 20 pts)15.416.913.760.00.2%0.2%5.1%3.8%
13Norwich City (4-5-7, 19 pts)15.714.615.762.80.2%0.5%15.0%1.9%
14Swansea City (5-7-4, 19 pts)15.917.512.660.30.1%0.1%8.6%3.4%
15Sheffield Wednesday (5-7-4, 19 pts)15.617.712.759.60.0%0.1%5.5%4.9%
16Luton Town (5-8-3, 18 pts)15.818.511.859.10.0%0.0%5.2%5.2%
17Coventry City (4-7-5, 17 pts)16.016.513.561.40.0%0.4%11.8%2.4%
18Oxford United (4-7-5, 17 pts)12.220.713.149.60.0%0.0%0.1%39.7%
19Plymouth Argyle (4-7-5, 17 pts)12.120.713.349.50.0%0.0%0.1%42.6%
20Preston North End (3-6-7, 16 pts)11.918.615.551.20.0%0.0%0.4%30.4%
21Cardiff City (4-8-4, 16 pts)13.519.812.653.20.0%0.0%1.0%22.8%
22Hull City (3-7-6, 15 pts)12.618.714.752.50.0%0.0%0.8%22.5%
23Portsmouth (2-7-6, 12 pts)10.720.514.847.00.0%0.0%0.1%56.6%
24Queens Park Rangers (1-7-8, 11 pts)10.518.816.748.20.0%0.0%0.2%49.3%

Predictions Methodology

The Championship is England's second division soccer league. The league consists of 24 teams that each play a total of 46 games in their league's season. The top two teams get promoted to the Premier League. The 3rd through 6th places teams play a tournament to see who gets the third promotion spot in the Premier League. The three teams who finish at the bottom of the table are relegated to League One.