England Championship Predictions

Updated

Upcoming Games for November 30, 2024

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML		GoalsTotal
Goals		Best
O/U

Bet Value

We use three different graphics to describe Bet Value within a matchup.

More on Bet Value
More Details
Hull City
Middlesbrough 		12.4%
68.9%		18.7%
+509
-191
+500
-195
0.79
2.18		2.97
o3+103
u3-117

Millwall
Oxford United 		37.9%
33.8%		28.3%
+110
+272
+110
+265
1.20
1.11		2.31
o2¼+101
u2¼-118

Queens Park Rangers
Watford 		19.7%
56.8%		23.5%
+317
-113
+315
-115
0.92
1.75		2.67
o2½-107
u2½-104

Leeds United
Blackburn 		54.3%
22.2%		23.5%
-117
+348
-120
+330
1.75
1.04		2.79
o2¼-120
u2½-120

Volatility Bet Value Active
Plymouth Argyle
Bristol City 		15.8%
63.9%		20.2%
+589
-212
+575
-220
0.93
2.07		3.00
o2¾-117
u3-132

Cardiff City
Coventry City 		17.3%
60.3%		22.4%
+365
-133
+355
-135
0.88
1.84		2.72
o2½-113
u2½+106

Luton Town
Norwich City 		22.5%
51.9%		25.6%
+264
+103
+260
+100
0.92
1.55		2.47
o2½-116
u2¾-122

West Bromwich Albion
Preston North End 		41.1%
30.6%		28.3%
+136
+221
+140
+205
1.24
1.04		2.28
o2-123
u2+112

Burnley
Stoke City 		34.3%
36.4%		29.3%
+137
+214
+135
+210
1.06
1.11		2.17
o2¼-104
u2½-140

Volatility Bet Value Active
Portsmouth
Swansea City 		17.5%
60.7%		21.8%
+357
-123
+350
-130
0.91
1.91		2.82
o2½-107
u2½+100

Games for Nov 29, 2024
Games for Dec 1, 2024

Completed Games

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML		Final
Goals		Sportsbook
Log Loss		DRatings
Log Loss
Coventry City
Birmingham City		34.4%
36.3%		29.3%
+143
+202
+140
+190
0
0		-1.26196-1.28844-1.22847
West Bromwich Albion
Norwich City		23.0%
51.3%		25.7%
+222
+131
+225
+115
1
1		-1.28768-1.32002-1.35755
Blackburn
Luton Town		29.4%
43.6%		26.9%
+222
+135
+240
+120
0
2		-0.89458-0.83884-0.82954
Cardiff City
Huddersfield		19.1%
58.2%		22.7%
+162
+192
+180
+165
0
1		-1.10663-1.02521-0.54141
Hull City
Swansea City		13.8%
66.2%		19.9%
+302
+100
+350
-125
0
3		-0.71935-0.63824-0.41214
Sunderland
Reading		30.4%
42.6%		26.9%
+201
+153
+185
+160
3
0		-1.13834-1.09892-1.19004
Birmingham City
West Bromwich Albion		14.7%
64.1%		21.2%
+722
-235
+700
-245
3
2		-2.14498-2.13065-1.91427
Coventry City
Luton Town		27.2%
45.8%		27.0%
+236
+123
+240
+120
2
2		-1.26947-1.24434-1.30930
Bristol City
Norwich City		15.9%
63.0%		21.1%
+412
-155
+420
-160
2
3		-0.53556-0.53582-0.46226
Queens Park Rangers
Millwall		25.0%
49.1%		25.9%
+222
+135
+215
+135
2
0		-1.20597-1.19683-1.38754
Burnley
Preston North End		46.1%
26.3%		27.5%
+145
+208
+140
+210
1
1		-1.24403-1.21362-1.29029
Cardiff City
Middlesbrough		20.7%
55.5%		23.8%
+423
-133
+450
-145
3
2		-1.68691-1.75493-1.57620
Watford
Blackburn		29.7%
42.6%		27.7%
+180
+174
+165
+180
0
2		-1.03280-1.08028-0.85393
Stoke City
Hull City		40.6%
31.6%		27.8%
+159
+187
+150
+185
3
0		-0.98943-0.96880-0.90172
Sheffield United
Swansea City		36.4%
33.7%		29.9%
+121
+239
+115
+235
1
0		-0.82965-0.81362-1.01187
Sunderland
Middlesbrough		17.5%
59.6%		22.9%
+359
-110
+340
-120
0
1		-0.65994-0.65541-0.51790
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Season Prediction Results

 GamesRecord (Pct)No Pick

Log Loss

Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model.

More on Log Loss
+/-
Sportsbooks11-0-0 (1.000)0-0.76209 
Sportsbooks11-0-0 (1.000)0-0.76613 
DRatings11-0-0 (1.000)0-0.52482
0.23727
0.24131

Season Simulation

*Through all games played on or before 11/25/24
#TeamWLTPtsWin LeaguePromotionPromotion PlayoffRelegation
1Sheffield United (10-2-4, 34 pts)23.510.212.382.924.9%56.3%39.4%0.0%
2Leeds United (9-2-5, 32 pts)24.88.712.686.957.6%80.9%18.6%0.0%
3Sunderland (9-2-5, 32 pts)19.912.313.973.53.2%13.1%54.7%0.0%
4Burnley (8-2-6, 30 pts)20.111.314.575.05.2%17.0%59.5%0.0%
5Middlesbrough (8-5-3, 27 pts)21.613.111.376.26.6%21.9%58.7%0.0%
6West Bromwich Albion (6-2-8, 26 pts)17.811.516.770.21.7%5.9%44.5%0.0%
7Watford (8-6-2, 26 pts)18.716.510.866.80.2%1.8%26.8%0.8%
8Millwall (6-4-6, 24 pts)16.215.214.763.20.1%0.8%14.5%1.3%
9Blackburn (6-5-4, 22 pts)16.516.612.962.30.0%0.4%11.7%1.8%
10Bristol City (5-4-7, 22 pts)15.814.515.763.10.0%0.6%14.6%2.0%
11Derby County (5-6-5, 20 pts)14.418.013.756.80.0%0.0%3.1%8.6%
12Stoke City (5-6-5, 20 pts)15.416.913.760.00.2%0.2%5.1%3.8%
13Norwich City (4-5-7, 19 pts)15.714.615.762.80.2%0.5%15.0%1.9%
14Swansea City (5-7-4, 19 pts)15.917.512.660.30.1%0.1%8.6%3.4%
15Sheffield Wednesday (5-7-4, 19 pts)15.617.712.759.60.0%0.1%5.5%4.9%
16Luton Town (5-8-3, 18 pts)15.818.511.859.10.0%0.0%5.2%5.2%
17Coventry City (4-7-5, 17 pts)16.016.513.561.40.0%0.4%11.8%2.4%
18Oxford United (4-7-5, 17 pts)12.220.713.149.60.0%0.0%0.1%39.7%
19Plymouth Argyle (4-7-5, 17 pts)12.120.713.349.50.0%0.0%0.1%42.6%
20Preston North End (3-6-7, 16 pts)11.918.615.551.20.0%0.0%0.4%30.4%
21Cardiff City (4-8-4, 16 pts)13.519.812.653.20.0%0.0%1.0%22.8%
22Hull City (3-7-6, 15 pts)12.618.714.752.50.0%0.0%0.8%22.5%
23Portsmouth (2-7-6, 12 pts)10.720.514.847.00.0%0.0%0.1%56.6%
24Queens Park Rangers (1-7-8, 11 pts)10.518.816.748.20.0%0.0%0.2%49.3%

Predictions Methodology

The Championship is England's second division soccer league. The league consists of 24 teams that each play a total of 46 games in their league's season. The top two teams get promoted to the Premier League. The 3rd through 6th places teams play a tournament to see who gets the third promotion spot in the Premier League. The three teams who finish at the bottom of the table are relegated to League One.