England Championship Predictions

Updated

Upcoming Games for November 30, 2024

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML		GoalsTotal
Goals		Best
O/U

Bet Value

We use three different graphics to describe Bet Value within a matchup.

More on Bet Value
More Details
Hull City
Middlesbrough 		12.4%
68.9%		18.7%
+444
-169
+500
-195
0.79
2.18		2.97
o2¾-118
u3-125

Millwall
Oxford United 		37.9%
33.8%		28.3%
+111
+272
+110
+265
1.20
1.11		2.31
o2-145
u2¼-118

Queens Park Rangers
Watford 		19.7%
56.8%		23.5%
+317
-113
+315
-115
0.92
1.75		2.67
o2½-107
u2½-104

Leeds United
Blackburn 		54.3%
22.2%		23.5%
-125
+366
-120
+340
1.75
1.04		2.79
o2½+105
u2½-120

Plymouth Argyle
Bristol City 		15.8%
63.9%		20.2%
+589
-212
+575
-220
0.93
2.07		3.00
o2¾-117
u3-132

Cardiff City
Coventry City 		17.3%
60.3%		22.4%
+365
-133
+355
-135
0.88
1.84		2.72
o2½-117
u2½+106

Luton Town
Norwich City 		22.5%
51.9%		25.6%
+264
+103
+260
+100
0.92
1.55		2.47
o2½-121
u2¾-122

West Bromwich Albion
Preston North End 		41.1%
30.6%		28.3%
+136
+221
+135
+215
1.24
1.04		2.28
o2-124
u2+112

Burnley
Stoke City 		34.3%
36.4%		29.3%
+137
+214
+135
+210
1.06
1.11		2.17
o2¼-104
u2½-140

Volatility Bet Value Active
Portsmouth
Swansea City 		17.5%
60.7%		21.8%
+357
-130
+350
-130
0.91
1.91		2.82
o2½-111
u2½+100

Games for Nov 29, 2024
Games for Dec 1, 2024

Completed Games

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML		Final
Goals		Sportsbook
Log Loss		DRatings
Log Loss
Sheffield United
Hull City		55.7%
19.9%		24.5%
-105
+310
-125
+340
2
0		-0.69941-0.63951-0.58591
Stoke City
Reading		41.6%
31.2%		27.2%
+157
+194
+145
+200
1
2		-1.11106-1.14662-1.16472
Birmingham City
Preston North End		19.5%
56.6%		23.9%
+401
-125
+425
-130
1
0		-1.64761-1.69876-1.63727
Bristol City
Blackburn		21.0%
55.6%		23.4%
+210
+131
+210
+130
3
2		-1.16713-1.18159-1.55851
Cardiff City
Millwall		23.4%
51.1%		25.5%
+252
+126
+270
+115
0
2		-0.85181-0.81697-0.67066
Coventry City
Norwich City		18.6%
57.7%		23.7%
+405
-145
+380
-140
0
3		-0.55715-0.58913-0.55035
Queens Park Rangers
Swansea City		20.7%
55.9%		23.4%
+201
+145
+210
+130
0
1		-0.93087-0.88312-0.58229
Wigan Athletic
Luton Town		19.5%
57.7%		22.8%
+273
+115
+270
+110
2
1		-1.35201-1.36106-1.63676
Watford
Rotherham United		40.0%
31.2%		28.9%
+115
+256
+115
+240
1
1		-1.27154-1.27576-1.24264
Burnley
West Bromwich Albion		38.2%
32.5%		29.4%
+226
+130
+260
+110
1
1		-1.26926-1.26012-1.22496
Blackburn
Blackpool		38.4%
33.1%		28.6%
+205
+138
+200
+140
1
0		-1.15560-1.14599-0.95776
Swansea City
Stoke City		27.7%
45.1%		27.2%
+250
+117
+245
+115
1
1		-1.26571-1.27168-1.30291
Preston North End
Coventry City		24.9%
48.4%		26.7%
+235
+130
+230
+130
1
0		-1.24375-1.24303-1.38922
Huddersfield
Bristol City		34.8%
37.2%		28.0%
+350
-127
+350
-130
0
2		-0.62071-0.61990-0.98814
Rotherham United
Sunderland		25.4%
48.1%		26.5%
+250
+117
+245
+115
0
3		-0.80647-0.81340-0.73260
Middlesbrough
Watford		23.3%
50.6%		26.1%
+217
+145
+190
+155
1
2		-0.93064-0.98438-0.68142
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Season Prediction Results

 GamesRecord (Pct)No Pick

Log Loss

Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model.

More on Log Loss
+/-
Sportsbooks11-0-0 (1.000)0-0.76209 
Sportsbooks11-0-0 (1.000)0-0.76613 
DRatings11-0-0 (1.000)0-0.52482
0.23727
0.24131

Season Simulation

*Through all games played on or before 11/25/24
#TeamWLTPtsWin LeaguePromotionPromotion PlayoffRelegation
1Sheffield United (10-2-4, 34 pts)23.510.212.382.924.9%56.3%39.4%0.0%
2Leeds United (9-2-5, 32 pts)24.88.712.686.957.6%80.9%18.6%0.0%
3Sunderland (9-2-5, 32 pts)19.912.313.973.53.2%13.1%54.7%0.0%
4Burnley (8-2-6, 30 pts)20.111.314.575.05.2%17.0%59.5%0.0%
5Middlesbrough (8-5-3, 27 pts)21.613.111.376.26.6%21.9%58.7%0.0%
6West Bromwich Albion (6-2-8, 26 pts)17.811.516.770.21.7%5.9%44.5%0.0%
7Watford (8-6-2, 26 pts)18.716.510.866.80.2%1.8%26.8%0.8%
8Millwall (6-4-6, 24 pts)16.215.214.763.20.1%0.8%14.5%1.3%
9Blackburn (6-5-4, 22 pts)16.516.612.962.30.0%0.4%11.7%1.8%
10Bristol City (5-4-7, 22 pts)15.814.515.763.10.0%0.6%14.6%2.0%
11Derby County (5-6-5, 20 pts)14.418.013.756.80.0%0.0%3.1%8.6%
12Stoke City (5-6-5, 20 pts)15.416.913.760.00.2%0.2%5.1%3.8%
13Norwich City (4-5-7, 19 pts)15.714.615.762.80.2%0.5%15.0%1.9%
14Swansea City (5-7-4, 19 pts)15.917.512.660.30.1%0.1%8.6%3.4%
15Sheffield Wednesday (5-7-4, 19 pts)15.617.712.759.60.0%0.1%5.5%4.9%
16Luton Town (5-8-3, 18 pts)15.818.511.859.10.0%0.0%5.2%5.2%
17Coventry City (4-7-5, 17 pts)16.016.513.561.40.0%0.4%11.8%2.4%
18Oxford United (4-7-5, 17 pts)12.220.713.149.60.0%0.0%0.1%39.7%
19Plymouth Argyle (4-7-5, 17 pts)12.120.713.349.50.0%0.0%0.1%42.6%
20Preston North End (3-6-7, 16 pts)11.918.615.551.20.0%0.0%0.4%30.4%
21Cardiff City (4-8-4, 16 pts)13.519.812.653.20.0%0.0%1.0%22.8%
22Hull City (3-7-6, 15 pts)12.618.714.752.50.0%0.0%0.8%22.5%
23Portsmouth (2-7-6, 12 pts)10.720.514.847.00.0%0.0%0.1%56.6%
24Queens Park Rangers (1-7-8, 11 pts)10.518.816.748.20.0%0.0%0.2%49.3%

Predictions Methodology

The Championship is England's second division soccer league. The league consists of 24 teams that each play a total of 46 games in their league's season. The top two teams get promoted to the Premier League. The 3rd through 6th places teams play a tournament to see who gets the third promotion spot in the Premier League. The three teams who finish at the bottom of the table are relegated to League One.