England Championship Predictions

Updated

Upcoming Games for November 30, 2024

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML		GoalsTotal
Goals		Best
O/U

Bet Value

We use three different graphics to describe Bet Value within a matchup.

More on Bet Value
More Details
Hull City
Middlesbrough 		12.4%
68.9%		18.7%
+436
-159
+500
-195
0.79
2.18		2.97
o2¾-116
u3-129

Millwall
Oxford United 		37.9%
33.8%		28.3%
+111
+272
+110
+265
1.20
1.11		2.31
o2¼+109
u2¼-120

Queens Park Rangers
Watford 		19.7%
56.8%		23.5%
+317
-113
+315
-115
0.92
1.75		2.67
o2½-107
u2½-104

Leeds United
Blackburn 		54.3%
22.2%		23.5%
-125
+366
-120
+340
1.75
1.04		2.79
o2¼-118
u2½-124

Volatility Bet Value Active
Plymouth Argyle
Bristol City 		15.8%
63.9%		20.2%
+589
-212
+575
-220
0.93
2.07		3.00
o2¾-117
u3-132

Cardiff City
Coventry City 		17.3%
60.3%		22.4%
+365
-133
+355
-135
0.88
1.84		2.72
o2½-117
u2½+106

Luton Town
Norwich City 		22.5%
51.9%		25.6%
+264
+103
+260
+100
0.92
1.55		2.47
o2½-108
u2¾-122

Volatility Bet Value Active
West Bromwich Albion
Preston North End 		41.1%
30.6%		28.3%
+136
+221
+135
+215
1.24
1.04		2.28
o2-124
u2+112

Burnley
Stoke City 		34.3%
36.4%		29.3%
+129
+229
+135
+210
1.06
1.11		2.17
o2¼-104
u2½-140

Volatility Bet Value Active
Portsmouth
Swansea City 		17.5%
60.7%		21.8%
+357
-123
+350
-130
0.91
1.91		2.82
o2½-103
u2½-105

Games for Nov 29, 2024
Games for Dec 1, 2024

Completed Games

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML		Final
Goals		Sportsbook
Log Loss		DRatings
Log Loss
Reading
Sheffield United		8.3%
76.2%		15.5%
+585
-184
+540
-180
0
4		-0.47343-0.48977-0.27149
Millwall
Burnley		12.6%
66.6%		20.9%
+385
-121
+385
-125
0
2		-0.64025-0.63811-0.40695
Hull City
Queens Park Rangers		18.1%
60.3%		21.6%
+347
-124
+345
-125
1
3		-0.63034-0.63709-0.50508
Luton Town
Cardiff City		28.3%
45.7%		26.1%
+205
+161
+200
+160
2
1		-1.15328-1.14863-1.26383
West Bromwich Albion
Wigan Athletic		41.3%
31.2%		27.5%
+105
+294
+105
+280
1
1		-1.26937-1.25727-1.29189
Norwich City
Birmingham City		44.8%
27.7%		27.5%
-126
+351
-130
+360
2
1		-0.62381-0.61865-0.80312
Coventry City
Hull City		37.0%
34.4%		28.6%
+136
+213
+125
+220
2
3		-1.17853-1.21295-1.06665
West Bromwich Albion
Huddersfield		26.6%
46.7%		26.7%
-144
+420
-120
+340
2
2		-1.39719-1.33018-1.32081
Reading
Millwall		16.8%
61.2%		22.1%
+411
-127
+380
-125
1
0		-1.66363-1.62100-1.78546
Queens Park Rangers
Watford		19.7%
57.1%		23.3%
+288
+105
+315
+100
3
2		-1.39062-1.45762-1.62633
Burnley
Wigan Athletic		56.3%
19.7%		24.0%
+134
+226
+130
+225
5
1		-0.88928-0.88187-0.57483
Preston North End
Cardiff City		28.2%
45.2%		26.6%
+167
+200
+170
+185
0
0		-1.15919-1.15176-1.32242
Swansea City
Middlesbrough		27.6%
45.1%		27.3%
+406
-140
+390
-140
1
2		-0.57825-0.59167-0.79669
Stoke City
Blackburn		26.9%
46.5%		26.6%
+199
+148
+190
+150
1
0		-1.13516-1.11590-1.31163
Bristol City
Blackpool		32.4%
39.6%		28.0%
+211
+135
+225
+120
3
3		-1.28500-1.28913-1.27372
Norwich City
Sunderland		42.8%
29.2%		28.0%
+152
+219
+125
+220
1
0		-0.92442-0.86074-0.84957
Load More Games

Season Prediction Results

 GamesRecord (Pct)No Pick

Log Loss

Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model.

More on Log Loss
+/-
Sportsbooks11-0-0 (1.000)0-0.76209 
Sportsbooks11-0-0 (1.000)0-0.76613 
DRatings11-0-0 (1.000)0-0.52482
0.23727
0.24131

Season Simulation

*Through all games played on or before 11/25/24
#TeamWLTPtsWin LeaguePromotionPromotion PlayoffRelegation
1Sheffield United (10-2-4, 34 pts)23.510.212.382.924.9%56.3%39.4%0.0%
2Leeds United (9-2-5, 32 pts)24.88.712.686.957.6%80.9%18.6%0.0%
3Sunderland (9-2-5, 32 pts)19.912.313.973.53.2%13.1%54.7%0.0%
4Burnley (8-2-6, 30 pts)20.111.314.575.05.2%17.0%59.5%0.0%
5Middlesbrough (8-5-3, 27 pts)21.613.111.376.26.6%21.9%58.7%0.0%
6West Bromwich Albion (6-2-8, 26 pts)17.811.516.770.21.7%5.9%44.5%0.0%
7Watford (8-6-2, 26 pts)18.716.510.866.80.2%1.8%26.8%0.8%
8Millwall (6-4-6, 24 pts)16.215.214.763.20.1%0.8%14.5%1.3%
9Blackburn (6-5-4, 22 pts)16.516.612.962.30.0%0.4%11.7%1.8%
10Bristol City (5-4-7, 22 pts)15.814.515.763.10.0%0.6%14.6%2.0%
11Derby County (5-6-5, 20 pts)14.418.013.756.80.0%0.0%3.1%8.6%
12Stoke City (5-6-5, 20 pts)15.416.913.760.00.2%0.2%5.1%3.8%
13Norwich City (4-5-7, 19 pts)15.714.615.762.80.2%0.5%15.0%1.9%
14Swansea City (5-7-4, 19 pts)15.917.512.660.30.1%0.1%8.6%3.4%
15Sheffield Wednesday (5-7-4, 19 pts)15.617.712.759.60.0%0.1%5.5%4.9%
16Luton Town (5-8-3, 18 pts)15.818.511.859.10.0%0.0%5.2%5.2%
17Coventry City (4-7-5, 17 pts)16.016.513.561.40.0%0.4%11.8%2.4%
18Oxford United (4-7-5, 17 pts)12.220.713.149.60.0%0.0%0.1%39.7%
19Plymouth Argyle (4-7-5, 17 pts)12.120.713.349.50.0%0.0%0.1%42.6%
20Preston North End (3-6-7, 16 pts)11.918.615.551.20.0%0.0%0.4%30.4%
21Cardiff City (4-8-4, 16 pts)13.519.812.653.20.0%0.0%1.0%22.8%
22Hull City (3-7-6, 15 pts)12.618.714.752.50.0%0.0%0.8%22.5%
23Portsmouth (2-7-6, 12 pts)10.720.514.847.00.0%0.0%0.1%56.6%
24Queens Park Rangers (1-7-8, 11 pts)10.518.816.748.20.0%0.0%0.2%49.3%

Predictions Methodology

The Championship is England's second division soccer league. The league consists of 24 teams that each play a total of 46 games in their league's season. The top two teams get promoted to the Premier League. The 3rd through 6th places teams play a tournament to see who gets the third promotion spot in the Premier League. The three teams who finish at the bottom of the table are relegated to League One.