Millwall at Sheffield Weds

Updated

Millwall

30.9%28.5%40.5%
Millwall WinDrawSheffield Weds Win
1.03Projected Goals 1.22
4Final Score 0

Sheffield Wednesday

Last 5 Games

Millwall
Money Line
L 1-0 vs Southampton+255
T 2-2 at Watford+285
L 2-1 vs Blackburn+165
T 1-1 at Preston North End+210
T 2-2 vs Hull City+140
Sheffield Wednesday
Money Line
L 0-1 at Bristol City+240
W 0-2 vs Rotherham United-135
L 0-3 at Plymouth Argyle+225
L 0-1 at Watford+415
T 0-0 vs Huddersfield+170

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
3.9%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
5.1%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Millwall+180+209+205+188+188+188+209+211.0
Sheffield Weds+168+155+150+147+147+147+155+166.7
Draw+222+208+195+205+205+205+208+229.4
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Millwall+185---+195+205+205+211.0
Sheffield Weds+165---+135+155+155+166.7
Draw+210---+175+200+200+229.4

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Millwall: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Sheffield Weds: 30.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Millwall: 0.0%
Sheffield Weds: 20.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Millwall: 0.0%
Sheffield Weds: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Millwall ML moved from +205 to +195
Sheffield Weds ML moved from +150 to +142

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Millwall: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Sheffield Weds: 20.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Millwall: 0.0%
Sheffield Weds: 20.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Millwall: 0.0%
Sheffield Weds: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Millwall ML moved from +215 to +205
Sheffield Weds ML moved from +165 to +155

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.8%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo2½+123o2-118o2-115o2-112o2-112o2-112o2-112o2-102
Underu2½-145u2+100u2-105u2-108u2-108u2-108u2+100u2+102
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Over-----o2-102
Under-----u2+102

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 10.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 10.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes45.4%
 
No54.6%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 010.50%
Exactly 226.67%
Exactly 411.29%
Exactly 61.91%
Exactly 80.17%
 
Exactly 123.67%
Exactly 320.03%
Exactly 55.09%
Exactly 70.62%
Exact Goals Scored - Millwall
Exactly 035.68%
Exactly 136.77%
Exactly 218.95%
Exactly 36.51%
Exactly 41.68%
Exactly 50.35%
Exact Goals Scored - Sheffield Wednesday
Exactly 029.44%
Exactly 136.00%
Exactly 222.01%
Exactly 38.97%
Exactly 42.74%
Exactly 50.67%
Exactly 60.14%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 035.23%
Exactly 219.17%
Exactly 41.74%
 
Exactly 136.75%
Exactly 36.67%
Exactly 50.36%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Millwall
Exactly 062.05%
Exactly 129.61%
Exactly 27.07%
Exactly 31.12%
Exactly 40.13%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Sheffield Wednesday
Exactly 056.77%
Exactly 132.14%
Exactly 29.10%
Exactly 31.72%
Exactly 40.24%

Alternate Props

Spread

Millwall
Wins by 2+ goals11.64%
Wins by 3+ goals3.32%
Wins by 4+ goals0.72%
Wins by 5+ goals0.10%
Sheffield Wednesday
Wins by 2+ goals17.65%
Wins by 3+ goals5.93%
Wins by 4+ goals1.59%
Wins by 5+ goals0.34%

Exact Winning Margin

Millwall
Sheffield Wednesday
5
4
3
2
1
D
1
2
3
4
5
Millwall
Wins by 1 goal19.24%
Wins by 2 goals8.32%
Wins by 3 goals2.60%
Wins by 4 goals0.62%
Wins by 5 goals0.10%
Sheffield Wednesday
Wins by 1 goal22.83%
Wins by 2 goals11.72%
Wins by 3 goals4.35%
Wins by 4 goals1.25%
Wins by 5 goals0.29%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.589.50%10.50%
1.565.83%34.17%
2.539.16%60.84%
3.519.13%80.87%
4.57.84%92.16%
5.52.75%97.25%

Total Goals Millwall Over/Under

OverUnder
0.564.32%35.68%
1.527.55%72.45%
2.58.60%91.40%
3.52.09%97.91%

Total Goals Sheffield Wednesday Over/Under

OverUnder
0.570.56%29.44%
1.534.56%65.44%
2.512.55%87.45%
3.53.58%96.42%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.564.77%35.23%
1.528.02%71.98%
2.58.84%91.16%
3.52.18%97.82%

Score Props

Correct Score

Millwall
Sheffield Wednesday
Score012345
0
10.50%
12.84%
7.85%
3.20%
0.98%
0.24%
1
10.83%
13.24%
8.09%
3.30%
1.01%
0.25%
2
5.58%
6.82%
4.17%
1.70%
0.52%
0.13%
3
1.92%
2.34%
1.43%
0.58%
0.18%
0.04%
4
0.49%
0.60%
0.37%
0.15%
0.05%
0.01%
5
0.10%
0.12%
0.08%
0.03%
0.01%
0.00%
Millwall
1-010.83%
2-05.58%
2-16.82%
3-01.92%
3-12.34%
3-21.43%
4-00.49%
4-10.60%
4-20.37%
4-30.15%
5-00.10%
5-10.12%
Draw
0-010.50%
1-113.24%
2-24.17%
3-30.58%
Sheffield Wednesday
0-112.84%
0-27.85%
1-28.09%
0-33.20%
1-33.30%
2-31.70%
0-40.98%
1-41.01%
2-40.52%
3-40.18%
0-50.24%
1-50.25%
2-50.13%

Correct Score - First Half

Millwall
Sheffield Wednesday
Score01234
0
35.23%
19.94%
5.65%
1.07%
0.15%
1
16.81%
9.52%
2.69%
0.51%
0.07%
2
4.01%
2.27%
0.64%
0.12%
0.02%
3
0.64%
0.36%
0.10%
0.02%
0.00%
Millwall
1-016.81%
2-04.01%
2-12.27%
3-00.64%
3-10.36%
3-20.10%
Draw
0-035.23%
1-19.52%
2-20.64%
Sheffield Wednesday
0-119.94%
0-25.65%
1-22.69%
0-31.07%
1-30.51%
2-30.12%
0-40.15%