Millwall at Swansea City

Updated

Millwall

23.4%22.8%53.8%
Millwall WinDrawSwansea City Win
0.77Projected Goals 1.78
0Final Score 0

Swansea City

Last 5 Games

Millwall
Money Line
T 1-1 at West Bromwich Albion+535
L 1-3 at Cardiff City+240
L 2-1 vs Fulham+260
T 1-1 vs Blackburn+130
T 1-1 at Queens Park Rangers+275
Swansea City
Money Line
T 0-0 vs Hull City+125
L 1-3 at Preston North End+235
W 1-0 at Bristol City+260
L 3-1 vs Stoke City+200
L 1-2 at Blackburn+260

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:1.7%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:4.8%
 Open LineBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Millwall+190+200+210+224+202+210+224-
Swansea City+150+153+160+153+148+160+160-
Draw+220+200+192+209+208+192+209-
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Millwall+190---+170+210+210-
Swansea City+160---+150+155+155-
Draw+210---+180+200+200-

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Millwall: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Swansea City: 40.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Millwall: 0.0%
Swansea City: 50.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Millwall: 10.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Millwall: 0.0%
Swansea City: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Millwall ML moved from +225 to +200
Swansea City ML moved from +160 to +153

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Millwall: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Swansea City: 50.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Millwall: 0.0%
Swansea City: 50.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Millwall: 0.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Millwall: 0.0%
Swansea City: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Millwall ML moved from +190 to +175
Swansea City ML moved from +165 to +155

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:2.9%
 Open LineBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo2-145o2-110o2-108o2-105-o2-108o2-105-
Underu2+120u2-110u2-112u2-107-u2-112u2-107-
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Over------
Under------

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 10.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 10.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Over: 0.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
The Under moved from u2½-150 to u2+102

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes44.8%
 
No55.2%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 07.77%
Exactly 225.36%
Exactly 413.79%
Exactly 63.00%
Exactly 80.35%
 
Exactly 119.86%
Exactly 321.60%
Exactly 57.05%
Exactly 71.09%
Exact Goals Scored - Millwall
Exactly 046.06%
Exactly 135.71%
Exactly 213.84%
Exactly 33.58%
Exactly 40.69%
Exactly 50.11%
Exact Goals Scored - Swansea City
Exactly 016.87%
Exactly 130.02%
Exactly 226.71%
Exactly 315.85%
Exactly 47.05%
Exactly 52.51%
Exactly 60.74%
Exactly 70.19%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 030.64%
Exactly 221.43%
Exactly 42.50%
Exactly 60.12%
 
Exactly 136.24%
Exactly 38.45%
Exactly 50.59%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Millwall
Exactly 069.84%
Exactly 125.07%
Exactly 24.50%
Exactly 30.54%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Swansea City
Exactly 043.87%
Exactly 136.15%
Exactly 214.89%
Exactly 34.09%
Exactly 40.84%
Exactly 50.14%

Alternate Props

Spread

Millwall
Wins by 2+ goals4.62%
Wins by 3+ goals1.01%
Wins by 4+ goals0.17%
Swansea City
Wins by 2+ goals35.42%
Wins by 3+ goals16.39%
Wins by 4+ goals6.20%
Wins by 5+ goals1.94%
Wins by 6+ goals0.50%

Exact Winning Margin

Millwall
Swansea City
4
3
2
1
D
1
2
3
4
5
6
Millwall
Wins by 1 goal11.25%
Wins by 2 goals3.61%
Wins by 3 goals0.84%
Wins by 4 goals0.15%
Swansea City
Wins by 1 goal25.83%
Wins by 2 goals19.03%
Wins by 3 goals10.19%
Wins by 4 goals4.25%
Wins by 5 goals1.45%
Wins by 6 goals0.41%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.592.23%7.77%
1.572.37%27.63%
2.547.01%52.99%
3.525.42%74.58%
4.511.62%88.38%
5.54.58%95.42%
6.51.58%98.42%

Total Goals Millwall Over/Under

OverUnder
0.553.94%46.06%
1.518.23%81.77%
2.54.39%95.61%

Total Goals Swansea City Over/Under

OverUnder
0.583.13%16.87%
1.553.10%46.90%
2.526.39%73.61%
3.510.54%89.46%
4.53.49%96.51%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.569.36%30.64%
1.533.11%66.89%
2.511.68%88.32%
3.53.23%96.77%

Score Props

Correct Score

Millwall
Swansea City
Score012345
0
7.77%
13.83%
12.31%
7.30%
3.25%
1.16%
1
6.02%
10.72%
9.54%
5.66%
2.52%
0.90%
2
2.34%
4.16%
3.70%
2.19%
0.98%
0.35%
3
0.60%
1.07%
0.96%
0.57%
0.25%
0.09%
4
0.12%
0.21%
0.19%
0.11%
0.05%
0.02%
Millwall
1-06.02%
2-02.34%
2-14.16%
3-00.60%
3-11.07%
3-20.96%
4-00.12%
4-10.21%
4-20.19%
4-30.11%
Draw
0-07.77%
1-110.72%
2-23.70%
3-30.57%
Swansea City
0-113.83%
0-212.31%
1-29.54%
0-37.30%
1-35.66%
2-32.19%
0-43.25%
1-42.52%
2-40.98%
3-40.25%
0-51.16%
1-50.90%
2-50.35%

Correct Score - First Half

Millwall
Swansea City
Score01234
0
30.64%
25.25%
10.40%
2.86%
0.59%
1
11.00%
9.06%
3.73%
1.03%
0.21%
2
1.97%
1.63%
0.67%
0.18%
0.04%
3
0.24%
0.19%
0.08%
0.02%
0.00%
Millwall
1-011.00%
2-01.97%
2-11.63%
3-00.24%
3-10.19%
Draw
0-030.64%
1-19.06%
2-20.67%
Swansea City
0-125.25%
0-210.40%
1-23.73%
0-32.86%
1-31.03%
2-30.18%
0-40.59%
1-40.21%
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