Brentford at Aston Villa

Updated

Brentford

14.0%19.7%66.3%
WinDrawAston Villa Win
0.84Projected Goals 2.10
1Final Score 3

Aston Villa

Last 5 Games

Brentford
Money Line
W 1-4 vs Leicester City-165
T 0-0 at Everton+210
W 2-3 vs Bournemouth+156
L 1-2 at Fulham+260
W 3-4 vs Ipswich Town-154
Aston Villa
Money Line
L 0-3 at Chelsea+350
T 2-2 vs Crystal Palace-135
L 0-2 at Liverpool+600
L 1-4 at Tottenham+260
T 1-1 vs Bournemouth-115

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
3.2%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
1.5%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Brentford+370+389+370+397+380+397+397+414.7
Aston Villa-145-146-150-147-149-147-146-135.1
Draw+300+313+320+318+303+318+320+332.9
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Brentford+330-+375+350+320+400+400+414.7
Aston Villa-125--150-150-135-150-135-135.1
Draw+280-+315+280+265+300+315+332.9

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Brentford: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Aston Villa: 30.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Brentford: 0.0%
Aston Villa: 30.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Brentford: 0.0%
Aston Villa: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Brentford ML moved from +380 to +370
Aston Villa ML moved from -122 to -128

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Brentford: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Aston Villa: 50.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Brentford: 0.0%
Aston Villa: 40.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Brentford: 0.0%
Aston Villa: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Brentford ML moved from +325 to +310
Aston Villa ML moved from -135 to -150

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
3.1%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
4.5%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo3-108o3-118o3-118o3-118o3-116o3-118o3-116o3-109
Underu3-112u3+100u3-102u3+102u3-104u3+102u3+102u3+109
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo3-110o3-110o3-110o3-110o3-115o3-110o3-110o3-109
Underu3-110u3-110u3-110u3-110u3-115u3-110u3-110u3+109

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 20.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 10.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 10.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes50.0%
 
No50.0%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 05.28%
Exactly 222.84%
Exactly 416.46%
Exactly 64.75%
Exactly 80.73%
 
Exactly 115.54%
Exactly 322.39%
Exactly 59.68%
Exactly 71.99%
Exactly 90.24%
Exact Goals Scored - Brentford
Exactly 043.02%
Exactly 136.29%
Exactly 215.31%
Exactly 34.30%
Exactly 40.91%
Exactly 50.15%
Exact Goals Scored - Aston Villa
Exactly 012.28%
Exactly 125.75%
Exactly 227.01%
Exactly 318.88%
Exactly 49.90%
Exactly 54.15%
Exactly 61.45%
Exactly 70.43%
Exactly 80.11%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 025.63%
Exactly 223.75%
Exactly 43.67%
Exactly 60.23%
 
Exactly 134.89%
Exactly 310.78%
Exactly 51.00%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Brentford
Exactly 067.67%
Exactly 126.43%
Exactly 25.16%
Exactly 30.67%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Aston Villa
Exactly 037.87%
Exactly 136.77%
Exactly 217.85%
Exactly 35.78%
Exactly 41.40%
Exactly 50.27%

Alternate Props

Spread

Brentford
Wins by 2+ goals4.24%
Wins by 3+ goals0.97%
Wins by 4+ goals0.17%
Aston Villa
Wins by 2+ goals42.05%
Wins by 3+ goals21.88%
Wins by 4+ goals9.47%
Wins by 5+ goals3.46%
Wins by 6+ goals1.08%
Wins by 7+ goals0.28%

Exact Winning Margin

Brentford
Aston Villa
4
3
2
1
D
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
Brentford
Wins by 1 goal9.75%
Wins by 2 goals3.26%
Wins by 3 goals0.80%
Wins by 4 goals0.15%
Aston Villa
Wins by 1 goal24.23%
Wins by 2 goals20.17%
Wins by 3 goals12.41%
Wins by 4 goals6.01%
Wins by 5 goals2.38%
Wins by 6 goals0.80%
Wins by 7 goals0.23%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.594.72%5.28%
1.579.18%20.82%
2.556.34%43.66%
3.533.95%66.05%
4.517.49%82.51%
5.57.81%92.19%
6.53.06%96.94%
7.51.07%98.93%

Total Goals Brentford Over/Under

OverUnder
0.556.98%43.02%
1.520.70%79.30%
2.55.39%94.61%
3.51.09%98.91%

Total Goals Aston Villa Over/Under

OverUnder
0.587.72%12.28%
1.561.96%38.04%
2.534.96%65.04%
3.516.08%83.92%
4.56.18%93.82%
5.52.03%97.97%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.574.37%25.63%
1.539.48%60.52%
2.515.73%84.27%
3.54.95%95.05%
4.51.28%98.72%

Score Props

Correct Score

Brentford
Aston Villa
Score012345
0
5.28%
11.08%
11.62%
8.12%
4.26%
1.79%
1
4.46%
9.35%
9.80%
6.85%
3.59%
1.51%
2
1.88%
3.94%
4.13%
2.89%
1.51%
0.64%
3
0.53%
1.11%
1.16%
0.81%
0.43%
0.18%
4
0.11%
0.23%
0.25%
0.17%
0.09%
0.04%
Brentford
1-04.46%
2-01.88%
2-13.94%
3-00.53%
3-11.11%
3-21.16%
4-00.11%
4-10.23%
4-20.25%
4-30.17%
Draw
0-05.28%
1-19.35%
2-24.13%
3-30.81%
Aston Villa
0-111.08%
0-211.62%
1-29.80%
0-38.12%
1-36.85%
2-32.89%
0-44.26%
1-43.59%
2-41.51%
3-40.43%
0-51.79%
1-51.51%
2-50.64%
3-50.18%

Correct Score - First Half

Brentford
Aston Villa
Score012345
0
25.63%
24.88%
12.08%
3.91%
0.95%
0.18%
1
10.01%
9.72%
4.72%
1.53%
0.37%
0.07%
2
1.95%
1.90%
0.92%
0.30%
0.07%
0.01%
3
0.25%
0.25%
0.12%
0.04%
0.01%
0.00%
Brentford
1-010.01%
2-01.95%
2-11.90%
3-00.25%
3-10.25%
3-20.12%
Draw
0-025.63%
1-19.72%
2-20.92%
Aston Villa
0-124.88%
0-212.08%
1-24.72%
0-33.91%
1-31.53%
2-30.30%
0-40.95%
1-40.37%
0-50.18%