Crystal Palace at Aston Villa

Updated

Crystal Palace

16.7%21.8%61.5%
WinDrawAston Villa Win
0.87Projected Goals 1.90

Aston Villa

Last 5 Games

Crystal Palace
Money Line
L 2-0 vs Fulham+240
T 2-2 at Wolverhampton+205
W 0-1 vs Tottenham+310
L 0-1 at Nottingham Forest+220
L 1-0 vs Liverpool+500
Aston Villa
Money Line
L 0-2 at Liverpool+600
L 1-4 at Tottenham+260
T 1-1 vs Bournemouth-115
W 3-1 at Fulham+180
T 0-0 vs Manchester United+115

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.1%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
5.0%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Crystal Palace+420+446+440+477+446+477+477+497.5
Aston Villa-160-160-170-168-170-168-160-153.4
Draw+320+314+330+325+313+325+330+340.1
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Crystal Palace+450----+450+450+497.5
Aston Villa-170-----170-170-153.4
Draw+315----+315+315+340.1

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Crystal Palace: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Aston Villa: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Crystal Palace: 0.0%
Aston Villa: 10.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Crystal Palace: 10.0%
Aston Villa: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Crystal Palace ML moved from +440 to +420
Aston Villa ML moved from -145 to -170

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Crystal Palace: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Aston Villa: 10.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Crystal Palace: 0.0%
Aston Villa: 10.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Crystal Palace: 0.0%
Aston Villa: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Crystal Palace ML
No Steam Moves On Aston Villa ML

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.3%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
3.5%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo2¾-110o3+119o2¾-110o2¾-116o2¾-115o2¾-116o2¾-110o2¾-107
Underu2¾-110u3-140u2¾-110u2¾+100u2¾-105u2¾+100u2¾+100u2¾+107
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo2½-145----o2½-145o2½-145o2¾-107
Underu2½+125----u2½+125u2½+125u2¾+107

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes49.5%
 
No50.5%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 06.25%
Exactly 224.02%
Exactly 415.39%
Exactly 63.94%
Exactly 80.54%
 
Exactly 117.33%
Exactly 322.20%
Exactly 58.53%
Exactly 71.56%
Exactly 90.17%
Exact Goals Scored - Crystal Palace
Exactly 041.80%
Exactly 136.46%
Exactly 215.90%
Exactly 34.62%
Exactly 41.01%
Exactly 50.18%
Exact Goals Scored - Aston Villa
Exactly 014.96%
Exactly 128.42%
Exactly 227.00%
Exactly 317.10%
Exactly 48.12%
Exactly 53.09%
Exactly 60.98%
Exactly 70.27%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 027.70%
Exactly 222.82%
Exactly 43.13%
Exactly 60.17%
 
Exactly 135.56%
Exactly 39.76%
Exactly 50.80%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Crystal Palace
Exactly 066.77%
Exactly 126.97%
Exactly 25.45%
Exactly 30.73%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Aston Villa
Exactly 041.49%
Exactly 136.50%
Exactly 216.05%
Exactly 34.71%
Exactly 41.04%
Exactly 50.18%

Alternate Props

Spread

Crystal Palace
Wins by 2+ goals5.25%
Wins by 3+ goals1.25%
Wins by 4+ goals0.23%
Aston Villa
Wins by 2+ goals36.60%
Wins by 3+ goals17.64%
Wins by 4+ goals6.99%
Wins by 5+ goals2.30%
Wins by 6+ goals0.62%
Wins by 7+ goals0.11%

Exact Winning Margin

Crystal Palace
Aston Villa
4
3
2
1
D
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
Crystal Palace
Wins by 1 goal11.41%
Wins by 2 goals3.99%
Wins by 3 goals1.03%
Wins by 4 goals0.20%
Aston Villa
Wins by 1 goal24.85%
Wins by 2 goals18.96%
Wins by 3 goals10.65%
Wins by 4 goals4.69%
Wins by 5 goals1.69%
Wins by 6 goals0.51%
Wins by 7 goals0.11%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.593.75%6.25%
1.576.42%23.58%
2.552.39%47.61%
3.530.19%69.81%
4.514.80%85.20%
5.56.27%93.73%
6.52.33%97.67%

Total Goals Crystal Palace Over/Under

OverUnder
0.558.20%41.80%
1.521.74%78.26%
2.55.84%94.16%
3.51.21%98.79%

Total Goals Aston Villa Over/Under

OverUnder
0.585.04%14.96%
1.556.63%43.37%
2.529.63%70.37%
3.512.53%87.47%
4.54.41%95.59%
5.51.32%98.68%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.572.30%27.70%
1.536.73%63.27%
2.513.91%86.09%
3.54.15%95.85%
4.51.01%98.99%

Score Props

Correct Score

Crystal Palace
Aston Villa
Score012345
0
6.25%
11.88%
11.28%
7.15%
3.39%
1.29%
1
5.45%
10.36%
9.84%
6.23%
2.96%
1.13%
2
2.38%
4.52%
4.29%
2.72%
1.29%
0.49%
3
0.69%
1.31%
1.25%
0.79%
0.38%
0.14%
4
0.15%
0.29%
0.27%
0.17%
0.08%
0.03%
Crystal Palace
1-05.45%
2-02.38%
2-14.52%
3-00.69%
3-11.31%
3-21.25%
4-00.15%
4-10.29%
4-20.27%
4-30.17%
Draw
0-06.25%
1-110.36%
2-24.29%
3-30.79%
Aston Villa
0-111.88%
0-211.28%
1-29.84%
0-37.15%
1-36.23%
2-32.72%
0-43.39%
1-42.96%
2-41.29%
3-40.38%
0-51.29%
1-51.13%
2-50.49%
3-50.14%

Correct Score - First Half

Crystal Palace
Aston Villa
Score012345
0
27.70%
24.37%
10.72%
3.14%
0.69%
0.12%
1
11.19%
9.84%
4.33%
1.27%
0.28%
0.05%
2
2.26%
1.99%
0.87%
0.26%
0.06%
0.01%
3
0.30%
0.27%
0.12%
0.03%
0.01%
0.00%
Crystal Palace
1-011.19%
2-02.26%
2-11.99%
3-00.30%
3-10.27%
3-20.12%
Draw
0-027.70%
1-19.84%
2-20.87%
Aston Villa
0-124.37%
0-210.72%
1-24.33%
0-33.14%
1-31.27%
2-30.26%
0-40.69%
1-40.28%
0-50.12%