Liverpool at Manchester City

Updated

Liverpool

16.1%20.7%63.2%
WinDrawManchester City Win
0.91Projected Goals 2.02
1Final Score 4

Manchester City

Last 5 Games

Liverpool
Money Line
L 0-1 at Bournemouth-245
W 0-7 vs Manchester United+140
W 0-2 vs Wolverhampton-195
T 0-0 at Crystal Palace-145
W 2-0 at Newcastle United+188
Manchester City
Money Line
W 1-0 at Crystal Palace-290
W 0-2 vs Newcastle United-180
W 4-1 at Bournemouth-310
T 1-1 at Nottingham Forest-295
W 3-1 at Arsenal+127

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.1%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
4.2%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnline5DimesSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Liverpool+440+395+380+422+424+422+424+440.5
Manchester City-170-149-155-150-152-150-149-137.8
Draw+330+317+330+310+323+310+330+324.5
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Liverpool+450-+417-+385+425+425+440.5
Manchester City-180--160--200-165-160-137.8
Draw+345-+310-+290+320+320+324.5

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Liverpool: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Manchester City: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Liverpool: 0.0%
Manchester City: 20.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Liverpool: 10.0%
Manchester City: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Liverpool ML moved from +404 to +395
Manchester City ML moved from -169 to -176

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Liverpool: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Manchester City: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Liverpool: 0.0%
Manchester City: 20.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Liverpool: 10.0%
Manchester City: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Liverpool ML moved from +445 to +425
Manchester City ML moved from -190 to -200

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
0.6%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
0.0%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnline5DimesSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo3+100o3+101o3+100o2¾-118o3+107o2¾-118o2¾-118o2¾-109
Underu3-120u3-119u3-120u2¾+102u3-122u2¾+102u3-119u2¾+109
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo3-105o3-105o3+115-o3-105o3+105o3+115o2¾-109
Underu3-115u3-115u3-135-u3-125u3-125u3-115u2¾+109

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes51.8%
 
No48.2%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 05.34%
Exactly 222.93%
Exactly 416.39%
Exactly 64.69%
Exactly 80.72%
 
Exactly 115.65%
Exactly 322.39%
Exactly 59.60%
Exactly 71.96%
Exactly 90.23%
Exact Goals Scored - Liverpool
Exactly 040.29%
Exactly 136.63%
Exactly 216.65%
Exactly 35.04%
Exactly 41.15%
Exactly 50.21%
Exact Goals Scored - Manchester City
Exactly 013.26%
Exactly 126.79%
Exactly 227.06%
Exactly 318.23%
Exactly 49.20%
Exactly 53.72%
Exactly 61.25%
Exactly 70.36%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 025.76%
Exactly 223.69%
Exactly 43.63%
Exactly 60.22%
 
Exactly 134.94%
Exactly 310.71%
Exactly 50.99%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Liverpool
Exactly 065.65%
Exactly 127.63%
Exactly 25.81%
Exactly 30.82%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Manchester City
Exactly 039.24%
Exactly 136.71%
Exactly 217.17%
Exactly 35.35%
Exactly 41.25%
Exactly 50.23%

Alternate Props

Spread

Liverpool
Wins by 2+ goals5.18%
Wins by 3+ goals1.27%
Wins by 4+ goals0.24%
Manchester City
Wins by 2+ goals38.81%
Wins by 3+ goals19.50%
Wins by 4+ goals8.10%
Wins by 5+ goals2.80%
Wins by 6+ goals0.78%
Wins by 7+ goals0.15%

Exact Winning Margin

Liverpool
Manchester City
4
3
2
1
D
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
Liverpool
Wins by 1 goal10.91%
Wins by 2 goals3.91%
Wins by 3 goals1.03%
Wins by 4 goals0.21%
Manchester City
Wins by 1 goal24.25%
Wins by 2 goals19.31%
Wins by 3 goals11.40%
Wins by 4 goals5.30%
Wins by 5 goals2.02%
Wins by 6 goals0.64%
Wins by 7 goals0.15%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.594.66%5.34%
1.579.00%21.00%
2.556.08%43.92%
3.533.69%66.31%
4.517.30%82.70%
5.57.70%92.30%
6.53.01%96.99%
7.51.04%98.96%

Total Goals Liverpool Over/Under

OverUnder
0.559.71%40.29%
1.523.08%76.92%
2.56.44%93.56%
3.51.39%98.61%

Total Goals Manchester City Over/Under

OverUnder
0.586.74%13.26%
1.559.94%40.06%
2.532.88%67.12%
3.514.65%85.35%
4.55.45%94.55%
5.51.73%98.27%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.574.24%25.76%
1.539.30%60.70%
2.515.60%84.40%
3.54.89%95.11%
4.51.26%98.74%

Score Props

Correct Score

Liverpool
Manchester City
Score012345
0
5.34%
10.80%
10.90%
7.34%
3.71%
1.50%
1
4.86%
9.81%
9.91%
6.68%
3.37%
1.36%
2
2.21%
4.46%
4.51%
3.03%
1.53%
0.62%
3
0.67%
1.35%
1.37%
0.92%
0.46%
0.19%
4
0.15%
0.31%
0.31%
0.21%
0.11%
0.04%
Liverpool
1-04.86%
2-02.21%
2-14.46%
3-00.67%
3-11.35%
3-21.37%
4-00.15%
4-10.31%
4-20.31%
4-30.21%
Draw
0-05.34%
1-19.81%
2-24.51%
3-30.92%
4-40.11%
Manchester City
0-110.80%
0-210.90%
1-29.91%
0-37.34%
1-36.68%
2-33.03%
0-43.71%
1-43.37%
2-41.53%
3-40.46%
0-51.50%
1-51.36%
2-50.62%
3-50.19%

Correct Score - First Half

Liverpool
Manchester City
Score012345
0
25.76%
24.10%
11.27%
3.51%
0.82%
0.15%
1
10.84%
10.14%
4.74%
1.48%
0.35%
0.06%
2
2.28%
2.13%
1.00%
0.31%
0.07%
0.01%
3
0.32%
0.30%
0.14%
0.04%
0.01%
0.00%
Liverpool
1-010.84%
2-02.28%
2-12.13%
3-00.32%
3-10.30%
3-20.14%
Draw
0-025.76%
1-110.14%
2-21.00%
Manchester City
0-124.10%
0-211.27%
1-24.74%
0-33.51%
1-31.48%
2-30.31%
0-40.82%
1-40.35%
0-50.15%