Aston Villa at Burnley

Updated

Aston Villa

39.7%28.0%32.3%
Aston Villa WinDrawBurnley Win
1.25Projected Goals 1.09
3Final Score 1

Burnley

Last 5 Games

Aston Villa
Money Line
W 0-2 vs Norwich City-238
T 0-0 at Leicester City+144
L 4-0 vs Tottenham+235
L 1-2 at Wolverhampton+160
L 1-0 vs Arsenal+200
Burnley
Money Line
W 2-1 at Watford+190
W 0-1 vs Wolverhampton+165
W 0-2 vs Southampton+170
T 1-1 at West Ham United+370
L 0-2 at Norwich City+140

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
1.5%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
3.8%
 Open LineBovadaBetOnline5DimesGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Aston Villa+145+145+153+152+143+153+153+158.6
Burnley+200+210+210+218+192+210+218+221.4
Draw+215+215+215+227+223+215+227+230.9
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Aston Villa+140-+145-+120+140+145+158.6
Burnley+200-+205-+180+200+205+221.4
Draw+230-+215-+215+230+230+230.9

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Aston Villa: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Burnley: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Aston Villa: 0.0%
Burnley: 10.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Aston Villa: 0.0%
Burnley: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Aston Villa ML moved from +161 to +155
Burnley ML moved from +208 to +190

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Aston Villa: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Burnley: 10.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Aston Villa: 0.0%
Burnley: 10.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Aston Villa: 0.0%
Burnley: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Aston Villa ML
Burnley ML moved from +208 to +200

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
1.9%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
-2.6%
 Open LineBovadaBetOnline5DimesGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo2½+105o2¼-105o2¼-103o2½+135-o2¼-103o2¼-103o2¼+104
Underu2½-125u2¼-115u2¼-113u2½-150-u2¼-113u2½-150u2¼-104
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo2½+100o2½+115o2-130-o2½+105o2-125o2-110o2¼+104
Underu2½-120u2½-135u2+110-u2½-135u2+105u2½-135u2¼-104

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 30.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 10.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 20.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
The Under moved from u2½-150 to u2+110

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes47.4%
 
No52.6%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 09.62%
Exactly 226.37%
Exactly 412.05%
Exactly 62.20%
Exactly 80.22%
 
Exactly 122.52%
Exactly 320.58%
Exactly 55.64%
Exactly 70.74%
Exact Goals Scored - Aston Villa
Exactly 028.73%
Exactly 135.83%
Exactly 222.34%
Exactly 39.29%
Exactly 42.90%
Exactly 50.72%
Exactly 60.15%
Exact Goals Scored - Burnley
Exactly 033.47%
Exactly 136.63%
Exactly 220.05%
Exactly 37.32%
Exactly 42.00%
Exactly 50.44%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 033.82%
Exactly 219.88%
Exactly 41.95%
 
Exactly 136.66%
Exactly 37.18%
Exactly 50.42%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Aston Villa
Exactly 056.13%
Exactly 132.41%
Exactly 29.36%
Exactly 31.80%
Exactly 40.26%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Burnley
Exactly 060.24%
Exactly 130.53%
Exactly 27.74%
Exactly 31.31%
Exactly 40.17%

Alternate Props

Spread

Aston Villa
Wins by 2+ goals17.45%
Wins by 3+ goals5.94%
Wins by 4+ goals1.61%
Wins by 5+ goals0.35%
Burnley
Wins by 2+ goals12.65%
Wins by 3+ goals3.78%
Wins by 4+ goals0.86%
Wins by 5+ goals0.13%

Exact Winning Margin

Aston Villa
Burnley
5
4
3
2
1
D
1
2
3
4
5
Aston Villa
Wins by 1 goal22.27%
Wins by 2 goals11.52%
Wins by 3 goals4.33%
Wins by 4 goals1.26%
Wins by 5 goals0.30%
Burnley
Wins by 1 goal19.54%
Wins by 2 goals8.87%
Wins by 3 goals2.92%
Wins by 4 goals0.73%
Wins by 5 goals0.13%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.590.38%9.62%
1.567.87%32.13%
2.541.50%58.50%
3.520.92%79.08%
4.58.87%91.13%
5.53.23%96.77%
6.51.03%98.97%

Total Goals Aston Villa Over/Under

OverUnder
0.571.27%28.73%
1.535.43%64.57%
2.513.09%86.91%
3.53.80%96.20%

Total Goals Burnley Over/Under

OverUnder
0.566.53%33.47%
1.529.90%70.10%
2.59.85%90.15%
3.52.53%97.47%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.566.18%33.82%
1.529.52%70.48%
2.59.64%90.36%
3.52.46%97.54%

Score Props

Correct Score

Aston Villa
Burnley
Score012345
0
9.62%
10.53%
5.76%
2.10%
0.58%
0.13%
1
11.99%
13.13%
7.18%
2.62%
0.72%
0.16%
2
7.48%
8.19%
4.48%
1.63%
0.45%
0.10%
3
3.11%
3.40%
1.86%
0.68%
0.19%
0.04%
4
0.97%
1.06%
0.58%
0.21%
0.06%
0.01%
5
0.24%
0.26%
0.14%
0.05%
0.01%
0.00%
Aston Villa
1-011.99%
2-07.48%
2-18.19%
3-03.11%
3-13.40%
3-21.86%
4-00.97%
4-11.06%
4-20.58%
4-30.21%
5-00.24%
5-10.26%
5-20.14%
Draw
0-09.62%
1-113.13%
2-24.48%
3-30.68%
Burnley
0-110.53%
0-25.76%
1-27.18%
0-32.10%
1-32.62%
2-31.63%
0-40.58%
1-40.72%
2-40.45%
3-40.19%
0-50.13%
1-50.16%

Correct Score - First Half

Aston Villa
Burnley
Score0123
0
33.82%
17.14%
4.34%
0.73%
1
19.53%
9.90%
2.51%
0.42%
2
5.64%
2.86%
0.72%
0.12%
3
1.09%
0.55%
0.14%
0.02%
4
0.16%
0.08%
0.02%
0.00%
Aston Villa
1-019.53%
2-05.64%
2-12.86%
3-01.09%
3-10.55%
3-20.14%
4-00.16%
Draw
0-033.82%
1-19.90%
2-20.72%
Burnley
0-117.14%
0-24.34%
1-22.51%
0-30.73%
1-30.42%
2-30.12%