Liverpool at Leeds United

Updated

Liverpool

63.7%20.4%15.9%
Liverpool WinDrawWin
2.05Projected Goals 0.92
6Final Score 1

Leeds United

Last 5 Games

Liverpool
Money Line
T 2-2 vs Arsenal+165
T 0-0 at Chelsea+250
L 1-4 at Manchester City+425
L 0-1 at Bournemouth-245
W 0-7 vs Manchester United+140
Leeds United
Money Line
L 5-1 vs Crystal Palace+105
W 1-2 vs Nottingham Forest-145
L 1-4 at Arsenal+1000
W 4-2 at Wolverhampton+220
T 2-2 vs Brighton and Hove Albion+329

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
3.0%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
3.1%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnline5DimesSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Liverpool-135-143-150-147-142-147-142-132.4
Leeds United+330+353+350+352+359+352+359+372.2
Draw+320+332+340+338+341+338+341+357.6
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Liverpool-140--138--200-150-138-132.4
Leeds United+335-+335-+345+350+350+372.2
Draw+320-+312-+320+335+335+357.6

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Liverpool: 30.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Leeds United: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Liverpool: 30.0%
Leeds United: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Liverpool: 0.0%
Leeds United: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Liverpool ML moved from -139 to -146
Leeds United ML moved from +372 to +352

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Liverpool: 30.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Leeds United: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Liverpool: 30.0%
Leeds United: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Liverpool: 0.0%
Leeds United: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Liverpool ML moved from -185 to -200
Leeds United ML moved from +350 to +335

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
1.4%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.0%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnline5DimesSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo3-102o3-135o3¼+102o3-128o3-122o3-128o3-122o3-119
Underu3-118u3+115u3¼-122u3+112u3+107u3+112u3+115u3+119
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo3-105o3-135o3-125-o3-130o3-125o3-125o3-119
Underu3-115u3+115u3+105-u3+100u3+105u3+115u3+119

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 20.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 10.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 10.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 20.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 10.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 10.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes52.3%
 
No47.7%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 05.13%
Exactly 222.63%
Exactly 416.63%
Exactly 64.89%
Exactly 80.77%
 
Exactly 115.25%
Exactly 322.40%
Exactly 59.87%
Exactly 72.07%
Exactly 90.25%
Exact Goals Scored - Liverpool
Exactly 012.83%
Exactly 126.35%
Exactly 227.05%
Exactly 318.51%
Exactly 49.50%
Exactly 53.90%
Exactly 61.33%
Exactly 70.39%
Exactly 80.10%
Exact Goals Scored - Leeds United
Exactly 040.01%
Exactly 136.65%
Exactly 216.79%
Exactly 35.13%
Exactly 41.17%
Exactly 50.22%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 025.29%
Exactly 223.90%
Exactly 43.76%
Exactly 60.24%
 
Exactly 134.77%
Exactly 310.95%
Exactly 51.03%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Liverpool
Exactly 038.65%
Exactly 136.74%
Exactly 217.46%
Exactly 35.53%
Exactly 41.31%
Exactly 50.25%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Leeds United
Exactly 065.43%
Exactly 127.75%
Exactly 25.89%
Exactly 30.83%

Alternate Props

Spread

Liverpool
Wins by 2+ goals39.56%
Wins by 3+ goals20.14%
Wins by 4+ goals8.53%
Wins by 5+ goals3.05%
Leeds United
Wins by 2+ goals5.12%
Wins by 3+ goals1.26%
Wins by 4+ goals0.23%

Exact Winning Margin

Liverpool
Leeds United
5
4
3
2
1
D
1
2
3
4
Liverpool
Wins by 1 goal24.10%
Wins by 2 goals19.42%
Wins by 3 goals11.62%
Wins by 4 goals5.48%
Wins by 5 goals2.12%
Leeds United
Wins by 1 goal10.75%
Wins by 2 goals3.86%
Wins by 3 goals1.03%
Wins by 4 goals0.21%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.594.87%5.13%
1.579.62%20.38%
2.556.99%43.01%
3.534.59%65.41%
4.517.96%82.04%
5.58.08%91.92%
6.53.20%96.80%
7.51.13%98.87%

Total Goals Liverpool Over/Under

OverUnder
0.587.17%12.83%
1.560.82%39.18%
2.533.77%66.23%
3.515.26%84.74%
4.55.76%94.24%
5.51.86%98.14%

Total Goals Leeds United Over/Under

OverUnder
0.559.99%40.01%
1.523.34%76.66%
2.56.55%93.45%
3.51.43%98.57%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.574.71%25.29%
1.539.94%60.06%
2.516.04%83.96%
3.55.09%94.91%
4.51.33%98.67%

Score Props

Correct Score

Liverpool
Leeds United
Score01234
0
5.13%
4.70%
2.15%
0.66%
0.15%
1
10.54%
9.66%
4.42%
1.35%
0.31%
2
10.82%
9.91%
4.54%
1.39%
0.32%
3
7.41%
6.78%
3.11%
0.95%
0.22%
4
3.80%
3.48%
1.59%
0.49%
0.11%
5
1.56%
1.43%
0.65%
0.20%
0.05%
Liverpool
1-010.54%
2-010.82%
2-19.91%
3-07.41%
3-16.78%
3-23.11%
4-03.80%
4-13.48%
4-21.59%
4-30.49%
5-01.56%
5-11.43%
5-20.65%
5-30.20%
Draw
0-05.13%
1-19.66%
2-24.54%
3-30.95%
4-40.11%
Leeds United
0-14.70%
0-22.15%
1-24.42%
0-30.66%
1-31.35%
2-31.39%
0-40.15%
1-40.31%
2-40.32%
3-40.22%

Correct Score - First Half

Liverpool
Leeds United
Score0123
0
25.29%
10.73%
2.27%
0.32%
1
24.04%
10.20%
2.16%
0.31%
2
11.43%
4.85%
1.03%
0.15%
3
3.62%
1.54%
0.33%
0.05%
4
0.86%
0.36%
0.08%
0.01%
5
0.16%
0.07%
0.01%
0.00%
Liverpool
1-024.04%
2-011.43%
2-14.85%
3-03.62%
3-11.54%
3-20.33%
4-00.86%
4-10.36%
5-00.16%
Draw
0-025.29%
1-110.20%
2-21.03%
Leeds United
0-110.73%
0-22.27%
1-22.16%
0-30.32%
1-30.31%
2-30.15%