Southampton at Arsenal

Updated

Southampton

6.3%12.1%81.5%
WinDrawArsenal Win
0.69Projected Goals 2.86
3Final Score 3

Arsenal

Last 5 Games

Southampton
Money Line
L 2-0 vs Crystal Palace+187
L 4-1 vs Manchester City+1150
L 0-1 at West Ham United+375
T 3-3 vs Tottenham+360
L 2-0 vs Brentford+225
Arsenal
Money Line
T 2-2 at West Ham United-165
T 2-2 at Liverpool+160
W 1-4 vs Leeds United-370
W 1-4 vs Crystal Palace-380
W 3-0 at Fulham-230

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.3%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
4.4%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnline5DimesSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Southampton+1200+1311+1100+1350+1390+1350+1390+1400.2
Arsenal-480-482-480-490-460-490-460-406.9
Draw+600+609+600+640+633+640+640+665.6
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Southampton+1500-+1340--+1300+1340+1400.2
Arsenal-550--550---525-525-406.9
Draw+600-+630--+620+630+665.6

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Southampton: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Arsenal: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Southampton: 0.0%
Arsenal: 10.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Southampton: 10.0%
Arsenal: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Southampton ML moved from +1413 to +1390
Arsenal ML moved from -460 to -480

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Southampton: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Arsenal: 10.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Southampton: 0.0%
Arsenal: 10.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Southampton: 0.0%
Arsenal: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Southampton ML moved from +1450 to +1300
Arsenal ML moved from -550 to -575

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
1.8%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
3.8%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnline5DimesSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo3-118o3-128o3-122o3-120o3-116o3-120o3-116o3-111
Underu3-102u3+108u3+102u3+104u3+101u3+104u3+108u3+111
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo3-135o3-130o3-131-o3-135o3-130o3-130o3-111
Underu3+115u3+110u3+111-u3+105u3+110u3+111u3+111

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 10.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 10.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

The Over moved from o2¼+106 to o3¼+106
The Under moved from u3+108 to u2¼-122

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 10.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 10.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes47.2%
 
No52.8%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 02.87%
Exactly 218.09%
Exactly 419.01%
Exactly 67.99%
Exactly 81.80%
Exactly 100.25%
 
Exactly 110.19%
Exactly 321.42%
Exactly 513.50%
Exactly 74.05%
Exactly 90.71%
Exact Goals Scored - Southampton
Exactly 049.88%
Exactly 134.69%
Exactly 212.07%
Exactly 32.80%
Exactly 40.49%
Exact Goals Scored - Arsenal
Exactly 05.75%
Exactly 116.43%
Exactly 223.46%
Exactly 322.32%
Exactly 415.93%
Exactly 59.10%
Exactly 64.33%
Exactly 71.77%
Exactly 80.63%
Exactly 90.20%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 019.32%
Exactly 226.11%
Exactly 45.88%
Exactly 60.53%
 
Exactly 131.76%
Exactly 314.31%
Exactly 51.93%
Exactly 70.12%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Southampton
Exactly 072.47%
Exactly 123.34%
Exactly 23.76%
Exactly 30.40%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Arsenal
Exactly 026.66%
Exactly 135.25%
Exactly 223.30%
Exactly 310.27%
Exactly 43.39%
Exactly 50.90%
Exactly 60.20%

Alternate Props

Spread

Southampton
Wins by 2+ goals1.54%
Wins by 3+ goals0.27%
Arsenal
Wins by 2+ goals61.95%
Wins by 3+ goals40.31%
Wins by 4+ goals22.41%
Wins by 5+ goals10.73%
Wins by 6+ goals4.46%
Wins by 7+ goals1.61%
Wins by 8+ goals0.48%

Exact Winning Margin

Southampton
Arsenal
3
2
1
D
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
Southampton
Wins by 1 goal4.74%
Wins by 2 goals1.27%
Wins by 3 goals0.24%
Arsenal
Wins by 1 goal19.52%
Wins by 2 goals21.64%
Wins by 3 goals17.89%
Wins by 4 goals11.68%
Wins by 5 goals6.27%
Wins by 6 goals2.85%
Wins by 7 goals1.12%
Wins by 8 goals0.38%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.597.13%2.87%
1.586.94%13.06%
2.568.84%31.16%
3.547.43%52.57%
4.528.42%71.58%
5.514.92%85.08%
6.56.93%93.07%
7.52.87%97.13%
8.51.08%98.92%

Total Goals Southampton Over/Under

OverUnder
0.550.12%49.88%
1.515.43%84.57%
2.53.36%96.64%

Total Goals Arsenal Over/Under

OverUnder
0.594.25%5.75%
1.577.82%22.18%
2.554.36%45.64%
3.532.04%67.96%
4.516.10%83.90%
5.57.00%93.00%
6.52.67%97.33%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.580.68%19.32%
1.548.92%51.08%
2.522.81%77.19%
3.58.50%91.50%
4.52.62%97.38%

Score Props

Correct Score

Southampton
Arsenal
Score012345
0
2.87%
8.20%
11.70%
11.14%
7.95%
4.54%
1
2.00%
5.70%
8.14%
7.74%
5.53%
3.16%
2
0.69%
1.98%
2.83%
2.69%
1.92%
1.10%
3
0.16%
0.46%
0.66%
0.62%
0.45%
0.25%
Southampton
1-02.00%
2-00.69%
2-11.98%
3-00.16%
3-10.46%
3-20.66%
Draw
0-02.87%
1-15.70%
2-22.83%
3-30.62%
Arsenal
0-18.20%
0-211.70%
1-28.14%
0-311.14%
1-37.74%
2-32.69%
0-47.95%
1-45.53%
2-41.92%
3-40.45%
0-54.54%
1-53.16%
2-51.10%
3-50.25%

Correct Score - First Half

Southampton
Arsenal
Score0123456
0
19.32%
25.54%
16.88%
7.44%
2.46%
0.65%
0.14%
1
6.22%
8.23%
5.44%
2.40%
0.79%
0.21%
0.05%
2
1.00%
1.32%
0.88%
0.39%
0.13%
0.03%
0.01%
3
0.11%
0.14%
0.09%
0.04%
0.01%
0.00%
0.00%
Southampton
1-06.22%
2-01.00%
2-11.32%
3-00.11%
3-10.14%
Draw
0-019.32%
1-18.23%
2-20.88%
Arsenal
0-125.54%
0-216.88%
1-25.44%
0-37.44%
1-32.40%
2-30.39%
0-42.46%
1-40.79%
2-40.13%
0-50.65%
1-50.21%
0-60.14%