Manchester City at Southampton

Updated

Manchester City

79.8%13.0%7.3%
Manchester City WinDrawWin
2.79Projected Goals 0.74
4Final Score 1

Southampton

Last 5 Games

Manchester City
Money Line
W 1-4 vs Liverpool-160
W 1-0 at Crystal Palace-290
W 0-2 vs Newcastle United-180
W 4-1 at Bournemouth-310
T 1-1 at Nottingham Forest-295
Southampton
Money Line
L 0-1 at West Ham United+375
T 3-3 vs Tottenham+360
L 2-0 vs Brentford+225
T 0-0 at Manchester United+1000
W 0-1 vs Leicester City+175

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.5%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
4.4%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnline5DimesSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Manchester City-375-389-400-400-389-400-389-340.4
Southampton+900+1103+1000+1150+1240+1150+1240+1193.8
Draw+500+520+500+545+545+545+545+567.6
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Manchester City-400--435---425-425-340.4
Southampton+1060-+1100--+1150+1150+1193.8
Draw+500-+540--+525+540+567.6

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Manchester City: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Southampton: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Manchester City: 0.0%
Southampton: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Manchester City: 0.0%
Southampton: 10.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Manchester City ML moved from -383 to -389
Southampton ML moved from +1237 to +1212

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Manchester City: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Southampton: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Manchester City: 0.0%
Southampton: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Manchester City: 0.0%
Southampton: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Manchester City ML moved from -395 to -425
Southampton ML moved from +1175 to +1000

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
0.6%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
1.1%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnline5DimesSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo3-102o3+103o3+100o2¾-117o3+110o2¾-117o2¾-117o2¾-108
Underu3-118u3-121u3-120u2¾+101u3-125u2¾+101u3-120u2¾+108
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo3-110o3+105o3+100-o3-120o3+105o3+105o2¾-108
Underu3-120u3-125u3-120-u3-110u3-125u3-110u2¾+108

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 30.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 20.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 10.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 10.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 20.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 10.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes49.1%
 
No50.9%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 02.94%
Exactly 218.28%
Exactly 418.95%
Exactly 67.86%
Exactly 81.75%
Exactly 100.24%
 
Exactly 110.36%
Exactly 321.49%
Exactly 513.37%
Exactly 73.96%
Exactly 90.68%
Exact Goals Scored - Manchester City
Exactly 06.16%
Exactly 117.17%
Exactly 223.93%
Exactly 322.23%
Exactly 415.49%
Exactly 58.63%
Exactly 64.01%
Exactly 71.60%
Exactly 80.56%
Exactly 90.17%
Exact Goals Scored - Southampton
Exactly 047.68%
Exactly 135.31%
Exactly 213.08%
Exactly 33.23%
Exactly 40.60%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 019.53%
Exactly 226.05%
Exactly 45.79%
Exactly 60.51%
 
Exactly 131.90%
Exactly 314.18%
Exactly 51.89%
Exactly 70.12%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Manchester City
Exactly 027.52%
Exactly 135.51%
Exactly 222.91%
Exactly 39.85%
Exactly 43.18%
Exactly 50.82%
Exactly 60.18%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Southampton
Exactly 070.97%
Exactly 124.34%
Exactly 24.17%
Exactly 30.48%

Alternate Props

Spread

Manchester City
Wins by 2+ goals59.63%
Wins by 3+ goals38.04%
Wins by 4+ goals20.71%
Wins by 5+ goals9.70%
Southampton
Wins by 2+ goals1.84%
Wins by 3+ goals0.34%

Exact Winning Margin

Manchester City
Southampton
5
4
3
2
1
D
1
2
3
Manchester City
Wins by 1 goal20.10%
Wins by 2 goals21.59%
Wins by 3 goals17.33%
Wins by 4 goals11.01%
Wins by 5 goals5.76%
Southampton
Wins by 1 goal5.33%
Wins by 2 goals1.50%
Wins by 3 goals0.30%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.597.06%2.94%
1.586.70%13.30%
2.568.42%31.58%
3.546.93%53.07%
4.527.97%72.03%
5.514.60%85.40%
6.56.74%93.26%
7.52.78%97.22%
8.51.03%98.97%

Total Goals Manchester City Over/Under

OverUnder
0.593.84%6.16%
1.576.67%23.33%
2.552.74%47.26%
3.530.51%69.49%
4.515.03%84.97%
5.56.40%93.60%
6.52.39%97.61%

Total Goals Southampton Over/Under

OverUnder
0.552.32%47.68%
1.517.01%82.99%
2.53.93%96.07%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.580.47%19.53%
1.548.57%51.43%
2.522.53%77.47%
3.58.35%91.65%
4.52.56%97.44%

Score Props

Correct Score

Manchester City
Southampton
Score0123
0
2.94%
2.18%
0.81%
0.20%
1
8.19%
6.06%
2.25%
0.55%
2
11.41%
8.45%
3.13%
0.77%
3
10.60%
7.85%
2.91%
0.72%
4
7.38%
5.47%
2.03%
0.50%
5
4.12%
3.05%
1.13%
0.28%
Manchester City
1-08.19%
2-011.41%
2-18.45%
3-010.60%
3-17.85%
3-22.91%
4-07.38%
4-15.47%
4-22.03%
4-30.50%
5-04.12%
5-13.05%
5-21.13%
5-30.28%
Draw
0-02.94%
1-16.06%
2-23.13%
3-30.72%
Southampton
0-12.18%
0-20.81%
1-22.25%
0-30.20%
1-30.55%
2-30.77%

Correct Score - First Half

Manchester City
Southampton
Score0123
0
19.53%
6.70%
1.15%
0.13%
1
25.20%
8.64%
1.48%
0.17%
2
16.26%
5.58%
0.96%
0.11%
3
6.99%
2.40%
0.41%
0.05%
4
2.26%
0.77%
0.13%
0.02%
5
0.58%
0.20%
0.03%
0.00%
6
0.13%
0.04%
0.01%
0.00%
Manchester City
1-025.20%
2-016.26%
2-15.58%
3-06.99%
3-12.40%
3-20.41%
4-02.26%
4-10.77%
4-20.13%
5-00.58%
5-10.20%
6-00.13%
Draw
0-019.53%
1-18.64%
2-20.96%
Southampton
0-16.70%
0-21.15%
1-21.48%
0-30.13%
1-30.17%
2-30.11%