Liverpool at Newcastle Utd

Updated

Liverpool

53.9%23.9%22.2%
Liverpool WinDrawNewcastle Utd Win
1.71Projected Goals 1.01
3Final Score 3

Newcastle United

Last 5 Games

Liverpool
Money Line
W 0-2 vs Manchester City+100
W 3-2 at Southampton-325
W 0-2 vs Aston Villa-220
W 1-2 vs Brighton and Hove Albion-268
T 2-2 at Arsenal+230
Newcastle United
Money Line
T 1-1 at Crystal Palace+125
L 2-0 vs West Ham United-215
W 3-1 at Nottingham Forest+170
W 0-1 vs Arsenal+280
L 1-2 at Chelsea+320

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.9%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
1.3%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Liverpool-105-101+100+100-101+100+100+107.0
Newcastle Utd+255+265+250+270+256+270+270+282.9
Draw+290+277+285+277+269+278+285+291.2
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Liverpool-125-+100+100-130+100+100+107.0
Newcastle Utd+320-+250+270+290+270+290+282.9
Draw+290-+275+250+290+260+290+291.2

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Liverpool: 20.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Newcastle Utd: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Liverpool: 20.0%
Newcastle Utd: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Liverpool: 0.0%
Newcastle Utd: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Liverpool ML moved from +100 to -101
Newcastle Utd ML moved from +277 to +270

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Liverpool: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Newcastle Utd: 20.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Liverpool: 20.0%
Newcastle Utd: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Liverpool: 0.0%
Newcastle Utd: 30.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Liverpool ML moved from -125 to -135
Newcastle Utd ML moved from +280 to +270

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
3.1%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
4.3%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo3-115o3-101o3-102o3+103o3-102o3+103o3+103o3+110
Underu3-105u3-117u3-118u3-119u3-118u3-119u3-117u3-110
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo3-110o3+100o3+100o3+100o3-105o3+100o3+100o3+110
Underu3-110u3-120u3-120u3-120u3-125u3-120u3-120u3-110

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 10.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 10.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 10.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 10.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes52.0%
 
No48.0%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 06.59%
Exactly 224.37%
Exactly 415.02%
Exactly 63.70%
Exactly 80.49%
 
Exactly 117.92%
Exactly 322.09%
Exactly 58.17%
Exactly 71.44%
Exactly 90.15%
Exact Goals Scored - Liverpool
Exactly 018.03%
Exactly 130.89%
Exactly 226.46%
Exactly 315.11%
Exactly 46.47%
Exactly 52.22%
Exactly 60.63%
Exactly 70.15%
Exact Goals Scored - Newcastle United
Exactly 036.54%
Exactly 136.79%
Exactly 218.52%
Exactly 36.21%
Exactly 41.56%
Exactly 50.31%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 028.39%
Exactly 222.51%
Exactly 42.97%
Exactly 60.16%
 
Exactly 135.75%
Exactly 39.45%
Exactly 50.75%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Liverpool
Exactly 045.25%
Exactly 135.88%
Exactly 214.23%
Exactly 33.76%
Exactly 40.75%
Exactly 50.12%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Newcastle United
Exactly 062.74%
Exactly 129.25%
Exactly 26.82%
Exactly 31.06%
Exactly 40.12%

Alternate Props

Spread

Liverpool
Wins by 2+ goals29.64%
Wins by 3+ goals13.07%
Wins by 4+ goals4.72%
Wins by 5+ goals1.42%
Newcastle United
Wins by 2+ goals7.84%
Wins by 3+ goals2.12%
Wins by 4+ goals0.44%

Exact Winning Margin

Liverpool
Newcastle United
5
4
3
2
1
D
1
2
3
4
Liverpool
Wins by 1 goal24.26%
Wins by 2 goals16.57%
Wins by 3 goals8.35%
Wins by 4 goals3.31%
Wins by 5 goals1.07%
Newcastle United
Wins by 1 goal14.26%
Wins by 2 goals5.72%
Wins by 3 goals1.69%
Wins by 4 goals0.38%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.593.41%6.59%
1.575.49%24.51%
2.551.12%48.88%
3.529.02%70.98%
4.514.00%86.00%
5.55.83%94.17%
6.52.13%97.87%

Total Goals Liverpool Over/Under

OverUnder
0.581.97%18.03%
1.551.07%48.93%
2.524.62%75.38%
3.59.51%90.49%
4.53.04%96.96%

Total Goals Newcastle United Over/Under

OverUnder
0.563.46%36.54%
1.526.67%73.33%
2.58.16%91.84%
3.51.94%98.06%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.571.61%28.39%
1.535.87%64.13%
2.513.36%86.64%
3.53.91%96.09%

Score Props

Correct Score

Liverpool
Newcastle United
Score01234
0
6.59%
6.63%
3.34%
1.12%
0.28%
1
11.29%
11.36%
5.72%
1.92%
0.48%
2
9.67%
9.73%
4.90%
1.64%
0.41%
3
5.52%
5.56%
2.80%
0.94%
0.24%
4
2.36%
2.38%
1.20%
0.40%
0.10%
5
0.81%
0.82%
0.41%
0.14%
0.03%
Liverpool
1-011.29%
2-09.67%
2-19.73%
3-05.52%
3-15.56%
3-22.80%
4-02.36%
4-12.38%
4-21.20%
4-30.40%
5-00.81%
5-10.82%
5-20.41%
5-30.14%
Draw
0-06.59%
1-111.36%
2-24.90%
3-30.94%
4-40.10%
Newcastle United
0-16.63%
0-23.34%
1-25.72%
0-31.12%
1-31.92%
2-31.64%
0-40.28%
1-40.48%
2-40.41%
3-40.24%

Correct Score - First Half

Liverpool
Newcastle United
Score0123
0
28.39%
13.23%
3.08%
0.48%
1
22.51%
10.49%
2.45%
0.38%
2
8.93%
4.16%
0.97%
0.15%
3
2.36%
1.10%
0.26%
0.04%
4
0.47%
0.22%
0.05%
0.01%
Liverpool
1-022.51%
2-08.93%
2-14.16%
3-02.36%
3-11.10%
3-20.26%
4-00.47%
4-10.22%
Draw
0-028.39%
1-110.49%
2-20.97%
Newcastle United
0-113.23%
0-23.08%
1-22.45%
0-30.48%
1-30.38%
2-30.15%