Manchester City at Liverpool

Updated

Manchester City

33.7%27.1%39.2%
Manchester City WinDrawLiverpool Win
1.18Projected Goals 1.29
0Final Score 2

Liverpool

Last 5 Games

Manchester City
Money Line
L 4-0 vs Tottenham-245
L 1-2 at Brighton and Hove Albion-130
L 1-2 at Bournemouth-190
W 0-1 vs Southampton-900
W 2-1 at Wolverhampton-293
Liverpool
Money Line
W 3-2 at Southampton-325
W 0-2 vs Aston Villa-220
W 1-2 vs Brighton and Hove Albion-268
T 2-2 at Arsenal+230
W 1-2 vs Chelsea-159

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.4%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
4.6%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Manchester City+226+259+240+260+253+260+260+272.5
Liverpool+116+102+100+104+101+104+104+111.1
Draw+269+275+290+275+266+275+290+288.0
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Manchester City+220-+235+245+230+255+255+272.5
Liverpool+115-+105-105-105+100+100+111.1
Draw+270-+275+270+265+275+275+288.0

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Manchester City: 20.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Liverpool: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Manchester City: 30.0%
Liverpool: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Manchester City: 0.0%
Liverpool: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Manchester City ML moved from +250 to +240
Liverpool ML moved from +100 to -105

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Manchester City: 20.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Liverpool: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Manchester City: 30.0%
Liverpool: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Manchester City: 0.0%
Liverpool: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Manchester City ML moved from +238 to +230
Liverpool ML moved from +100 to -105

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
1.1%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
3.2%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo3-107o3-134o3-122o3-119o3-122o3-119o3-119o3-110
Underu3-109u3+114u3+102u3+103u3+100u3+103u3+114u3+110
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo3-115o3-120o3-120o3-125o3-120o3-125o3-120o3-110
Underu3-105u3+100u3+100u3+105u3-110u3+105u3+105u3+110

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 30.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 20.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 10.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

The Over moved from o3-104 to o3¼+103
No Steam Moves On Under

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 20.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 20.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

The Over moved from o3-105 to o3-125
The Under moved from u3+110 to u3-115

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes50.3%
 
No49.7%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 08.42%
Exactly 225.78%
Exactly 413.15%
Exactly 62.68%
Exactly 80.29%
 
Exactly 120.84%
Exactly 321.26%
Exactly 56.51%
Exactly 70.95%
Exact Goals Scored - Manchester City
Exactly 030.74%
Exactly 136.26%
Exactly 221.39%
Exactly 38.41%
Exactly 42.48%
Exactly 50.59%
Exactly 60.12%
Exact Goals Scored - Liverpool
Exactly 027.41%
Exactly 135.47%
Exactly 222.96%
Exactly 39.91%
Exactly 43.21%
Exactly 50.83%
Exactly 60.18%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 031.81%
Exactly 220.87%
Exactly 42.28%
 
Exactly 136.43%
Exactly 37.97%
Exactly 50.52%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Manchester City
Exactly 057.91%
Exactly 131.63%
Exactly 28.64%
Exactly 31.57%
Exactly 40.21%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Liverpool
Exactly 054.92%
Exactly 132.91%
Exactly 29.86%
Exactly 31.97%
Exactly 40.30%

Alternate Props

Spread

Manchester City
Wins by 2+ goals13.95%
Wins by 3+ goals4.48%
Wins by 4+ goals1.15%
Wins by 5+ goals0.23%
Liverpool
Wins by 2+ goals17.51%
Wins by 3+ goals6.10%
Wins by 4+ goals1.70%
Wins by 5+ goals0.38%

Exact Winning Margin

Manchester City
Liverpool
5
4
3
2
1
D
1
2
3
4
5
Manchester City
Wins by 1 goal19.72%
Wins by 2 goals9.48%
Wins by 3 goals3.33%
Wins by 4 goals0.91%
Wins by 5 goals0.20%
Liverpool
Wins by 1 goal21.64%
Wins by 2 goals11.41%
Wins by 3 goals4.40%
Wins by 4 goals1.32%
Wins by 5 goals0.32%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.591.58%8.42%
1.570.73%29.27%
2.544.95%55.05%
3.523.69%76.31%
4.510.54%89.46%
5.54.03%95.97%
6.51.35%98.65%

Total Goals Manchester City Over/Under

OverUnder
0.569.26%30.74%
1.533.00%67.00%
2.511.61%88.39%
3.53.20%96.80%

Total Goals Liverpool Over/Under

OverUnder
0.572.59%27.41%
1.537.12%62.88%
2.514.16%85.84%
3.54.25%95.75%
4.51.05%98.95%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.568.19%31.81%
1.531.76%68.24%
2.510.89%89.11%
3.52.92%97.08%

Score Props

Correct Score

Manchester City
Liverpool
Score012345
0
8.42%
10.90%
7.06%
3.04%
0.99%
0.26%
1
9.94%
12.86%
8.33%
3.59%
1.16%
0.30%
2
5.86%
7.59%
4.91%
2.12%
0.69%
0.18%
3
2.31%
2.98%
1.93%
0.83%
0.27%
0.07%
4
0.68%
0.88%
0.57%
0.25%
0.08%
0.02%
5
0.16%
0.21%
0.13%
0.06%
0.02%
0.00%
Manchester City
1-09.94%
2-05.86%
2-17.59%
3-02.31%
3-12.98%
3-21.93%
4-00.68%
4-10.88%
4-20.57%
4-30.25%
5-00.16%
5-10.21%
5-20.13%
Draw
0-08.42%
1-112.86%
2-24.91%
3-30.83%
Liverpool
0-110.90%
0-27.06%
1-28.33%
0-33.04%
1-33.59%
2-32.12%
0-40.99%
1-41.16%
2-40.69%
3-40.27%
0-50.26%
1-50.30%
2-50.18%

Correct Score - First Half

Manchester City
Liverpool
Score01234
0
31.81%
19.06%
5.71%
1.14%
0.17%
1
17.37%
10.41%
3.12%
0.62%
0.09%
2
4.74%
2.84%
0.85%
0.17%
0.03%
3
0.86%
0.52%
0.16%
0.03%
0.00%
4
0.12%
0.07%
0.02%
0.00%
0.00%
Manchester City
1-017.37%
2-04.74%
2-12.84%
3-00.86%
3-10.52%
3-20.16%
4-00.12%
Draw
0-031.81%
1-110.41%
2-20.85%
Liverpool
0-119.06%
0-25.71%
1-23.12%
0-31.14%
1-30.62%
2-30.17%
0-40.17%