Manchester City at Bournemouth

Updated

Manchester City

77.5%14.6%7.9%
Manchester City WinDrawWin
2.55Projected Goals 0.69
1Final Score 0

Bournemouth

Last 5 Games

Manchester City
Money Line
W 0-1 vs Brentford-600
T 1-1 vs Chelsea-315
W 0-2 vs Everton-520
W 3-1 at Brentford-280
W 1-3 vs Burnley-1120
Bournemouth
Money Line
T 2-2 at Newcastle United+245
L 1-3 at Fulham+180
T 1-1 vs Nottingham Forest-155
T 1-1 at West Ham United+180
L 4-0 vs Liverpool+350

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
1.1%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
3.7%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Manchester City-218-226-210-235-218-235-210-209.9
Bournemouth+564+586+500+605+591+605+605+630.1
Draw+389+398+380+420+389+420+420+438.5
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Manchester City-240--241--280-250-241-209.9
Bournemouth+600-+560-+500+625+625+630.1
Draw+400-+415-+350+405+415+438.5

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Manchester City: 30.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Bournemouth: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Manchester City: 30.0%
Bournemouth: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Manchester City: 0.0%
Bournemouth: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Manchester City ML moved from -220 to -226
Bournemouth ML moved from +525 to +500

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Manchester City: 20.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Bournemouth: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Manchester City: 30.0%
Bournemouth: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Manchester City: 0.0%
Bournemouth: 10.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Manchester City ML moved from -225 to -250
Bournemouth ML moved from +555 to +540

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.3%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
1.9%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo3½+118o3-139o3¼+102o3¼-104o3¼-101o3¼-104o3¼+102o3¼+104
Underu3½-138u3+117u3¼-122u3¼-112u3¼-115u3¼-112u3¼-112u3¼-104
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo3-130o3-135o3-138-o3-135o3-145o3-135o3¼+104
Underu3+110u3+115u3+118-u3+105u3+125u3+125u3¼-104

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

The Over moved from o3-131 to o4¼-104
The Under moved from u4¼-112 to u3¼-112

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

The Over moved from o3-130 to o3½+110
The Under moved from u3½-130 to u3+115

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes46.0%
 
No54.0%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 03.94%
Exactly 220.59%
Exactly 417.96%
Exactly 66.27%
Exactly 81.17%
Exactly 100.14%
 
Exactly 112.73%
Exactly 322.21%
Exactly 511.62%
Exactly 72.90%
Exactly 90.42%
Exact Goals Scored - Manchester City
Exactly 07.86%
Exactly 119.99%
Exactly 225.42%
Exactly 321.55%
Exactly 413.71%
Exactly 56.97%
Exactly 62.96%
Exactly 71.07%
Exactly 80.34%
Exact Goals Scored - Bournemouth
Exactly 050.08%
Exactly 134.63%
Exactly 211.98%
Exactly 32.76%
Exactly 40.48%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 022.36%
Exactly 225.08%
Exactly 44.69%
Exactly 60.35%
 
Exactly 133.49%
Exactly 312.52%
Exactly 51.41%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Manchester City
Exactly 030.80%
Exactly 136.27%
Exactly 221.36%
Exactly 38.38%
Exactly 42.47%
Exactly 50.58%
Exactly 60.11%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Bournemouth
Exactly 072.60%
Exactly 123.25%
Exactly 23.72%
Exactly 30.40%

Alternate Props

Spread

Manchester City
Wins by 2+ goals55.54%
Wins by 3+ goals33.50%
Wins by 4+ goals17.04%
Wins by 5+ goals7.37%
Bournemouth
Wins by 2+ goals1.96%
Wins by 3+ goals0.35%

Exact Winning Margin

Manchester City
Bournemouth
5
4
3
2
1
D
1
2
3
Manchester City
Wins by 1 goal21.81%
Wins by 2 goals22.04%
Wins by 3 goals16.46%
Wins by 4 goals9.66%
Wins by 5 goals4.65%
Bournemouth
Wins by 1 goal5.92%
Wins by 2 goals1.61%
Wins by 3 goals0.31%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.596.06%3.94%
1.583.33%16.67%
2.562.74%37.26%
3.540.53%59.47%
4.522.57%77.43%
5.510.95%89.05%
6.54.68%95.32%
7.51.78%98.22%

Total Goals Manchester City Over/Under

OverUnder
0.592.14%7.86%
1.572.15%27.85%
2.546.73%53.27%
3.525.18%74.82%
4.511.47%88.53%
5.54.50%95.50%
6.51.54%98.46%

Total Goals Bournemouth Over/Under

OverUnder
0.549.92%50.08%
1.515.29%84.71%
2.53.31%96.69%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.577.64%22.36%
1.544.15%55.85%
2.519.06%80.94%
3.56.54%93.46%
4.51.85%98.15%

Score Props

Correct Score

Manchester City
Bournemouth
Score0123
0
3.94%
2.72%
0.94%
0.22%
1
10.01%
6.92%
2.39%
0.55%
2
12.73%
8.80%
3.04%
0.70%
3
10.79%
7.46%
2.58%
0.60%
4
6.86%
4.75%
1.64%
0.38%
5
3.49%
2.41%
0.84%
0.19%
Manchester City
1-010.01%
2-012.73%
2-18.80%
3-010.79%
3-17.46%
3-22.58%
4-06.86%
4-14.75%
4-21.64%
4-30.38%
5-03.49%
5-12.41%
5-20.84%
5-30.19%
Draw
0-03.94%
1-16.92%
2-23.04%
3-30.60%
Bournemouth
0-12.72%
0-20.94%
1-22.39%
0-30.22%
1-30.55%
2-30.70%

Correct Score - First Half

Manchester City
Bournemouth
Score0123
0
22.36%
7.16%
1.15%
0.12%
1
26.33%
8.43%
1.35%
0.14%
2
15.51%
4.97%
0.79%
0.08%
3
6.09%
1.95%
0.31%
0.03%
4
1.79%
0.57%
0.09%
0.01%
5
0.42%
0.14%
0.02%
0.00%
Manchester City
1-026.33%
2-015.51%
2-14.97%
3-06.09%
3-11.95%
3-20.31%
4-01.79%
4-10.57%
5-00.42%
5-10.14%
Draw
0-022.36%
1-18.43%
2-20.79%
Bournemouth
0-17.16%
0-21.15%
1-21.35%
0-30.12%
1-30.14%