Arsenal at Chelsea

Updated

Arsenal

35.8%28.4%35.8%
Arsenal WinDrawChelsea Win
1.15Projected Goals 1.15
1Final Score 1

Chelsea

Last 5 Games

Arsenal
Money Line
L 0-1 at Newcastle United+100
T 2-2 vs Liverpool+125
L 0-2 at Bournemouth-125
W 1-3 vs Southampton-600
W 2-4 vs Leicester City-548
Chelsea
Money Line
T 1-1 at Manchester United+150
W 1-2 vs Newcastle United-130
L 1-2 at Liverpool+380
T 1-1 vs Nottingham Forest-200
W 2-4 vs Brighton and Hove Albion-130

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:2.5%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:2.8%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Arsenal+148+139+140+144+142+144+145+152.4
Chelsea+182+205+195+205+194+205+205+215.5
Draw+254+239+245+237+232+237+245+248.6
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Arsenal+145-+146+130+135+145+146+152.4
Chelsea+185-+195+200+175+205+205+215.5
Draw+245-+225+240+235+240+240+248.6

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Arsenal: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Chelsea: 10.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Arsenal: 0.0%
Chelsea: 20.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Arsenal: 10.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Arsenal: 0.0%
Chelsea: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Arsenal ML moved from +143 to +136
Chelsea ML moved from +211 to +205

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Arsenal: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Chelsea: 10.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Arsenal: 0.0%
Chelsea: 20.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Arsenal: 10.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Arsenal: 0.0%
Chelsea: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Arsenal ML moved from +140 to +130
Chelsea ML moved from +210 to +200

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:3.5%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:1.0%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo2½-138o2½-131o2¾+102o2¾+103o2¾+101o2¾+103o2¾+103o2¾+110
Underu2½+118u2½+111u2¾-122u2¾-119u2¾-123u2¾-119u2¾-119u2¾-110
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo2½-130o2½-135o2½-120o2½-130o2½-125o2½-130o2½-120o2¾+110
Underu2½+110u2½+115u2½+100u2½+110u2½-105u2½+110u2½+115u2¾-110

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 20.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 10.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Over: 0.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 10.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 10.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 10.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Over: 0.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes46.6%
 
No53.4%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 010.06%
Exactly 226.53%
Exactly 411.66%
Exactly 62.05%
Exactly 80.19%
 
Exactly 123.11%
Exactly 320.31%
Exactly 55.35%
Exactly 70.67%
Exact Goals Scored - Arsenal
Exactly 031.71%
Exactly 136.42%
Exactly 220.92%
Exactly 38.01%
Exactly 42.30%
Exactly 50.53%
Exactly 60.10%
Exact Goals Scored - Chelsea
Exactly 031.74%
Exactly 136.42%
Exactly 220.90%
Exactly 38.00%
Exactly 42.29%
Exactly 50.53%
Exactly 60.10%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 034.54%
Exactly 219.52%
Exactly 41.84%
 
Exactly 136.72%
Exactly 36.92%
Exactly 50.39%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Arsenal
Exactly 058.75%
Exactly 131.25%
Exactly 28.31%
Exactly 31.47%
Exactly 40.20%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Chelsea
Exactly 058.78%
Exactly 131.23%
Exactly 28.30%
Exactly 31.47%
Exactly 40.20%

Alternate Props

Spread

Arsenal
Wins by 2+ goals14.76%
Wins by 3+ goals4.68%
Wins by 4+ goals1.18%
Wins by 5+ goals0.24%
Chelsea
Wins by 2+ goals14.73%
Wins by 3+ goals4.66%
Wins by 4+ goals1.18%
Wins by 5+ goals0.24%

Exact Winning Margin

Arsenal
Chelsea
5
4
3
2
1
D
1
2
3
4
5
Arsenal
Wins by 1 goal21.05%
Wins by 2 goals10.08%
Wins by 3 goals3.50%
Wins by 4 goals0.94%
Wins by 5 goals0.20%
Chelsea
Wins by 1 goal21.03%
Wins by 2 goals10.06%
Wins by 3 goals3.49%
Wins by 4 goals0.94%
Wins by 5 goals0.20%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.589.94%10.06%
1.566.83%33.17%
2.540.30%59.70%
3.519.99%80.01%
4.58.33%91.67%
5.52.98%97.02%

Total Goals Arsenal Over/Under

OverUnder
0.568.29%31.71%
1.531.87%68.13%
2.510.96%89.04%
3.52.95%97.05%

Total Goals Chelsea Over/Under

OverUnder
0.568.26%31.74%
1.531.84%68.16%
2.510.94%89.06%
3.52.94%97.06%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.565.46%34.54%
1.528.75%71.25%
2.59.23%90.77%
3.52.31%97.69%

Score Props

Correct Score

Arsenal
Chelsea
Score012345
0
10.06%
11.55%
6.63%
2.54%
0.73%
0.17%
1
11.56%
13.27%
7.61%
2.91%
0.84%
0.19%
2
6.64%
7.62%
4.37%
1.67%
0.48%
0.11%
3
2.54%
2.92%
1.67%
0.64%
0.18%
0.04%
4
0.73%
0.84%
0.48%
0.18%
0.05%
0.01%
5
0.17%
0.19%
0.11%
0.04%
0.01%
0.00%
Arsenal
1-011.56%
2-06.64%
2-17.62%
3-02.54%
3-12.92%
3-21.67%
4-00.73%
4-10.84%
4-20.48%
4-30.18%
5-00.17%
5-10.19%
5-20.11%
Draw
0-010.06%
1-113.27%
2-24.37%
3-30.64%
Chelsea
0-111.55%
0-26.63%
1-27.61%
0-32.54%
1-32.91%
2-31.67%
0-40.73%
1-40.84%
2-40.48%
3-40.18%
0-50.17%
1-50.19%
2-50.11%

Correct Score - First Half

Arsenal
Chelsea
Score01234
0
34.54%
18.35%
4.88%
0.86%
0.11%
1
18.37%
9.76%
2.59%
0.46%
0.06%
2
4.88%
2.60%
0.69%
0.12%
0.02%
3
0.87%
0.46%
0.12%
0.02%
0.00%
4
0.12%
0.06%
0.02%
0.00%
0.00%
Arsenal
1-018.37%
2-04.88%
2-12.60%
3-00.87%
3-10.46%
3-20.12%
4-00.12%
Draw
0-034.54%
1-19.76%
2-20.69%
Chelsea
0-118.35%
0-24.88%
1-22.59%
0-30.86%
1-30.46%
2-30.12%
0-40.11%
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