Newcastle Utd at Brentford

Updated

Newcastle United

39.9%27.8%32.3%
Newcastle Utd WinDrawBrentford Win
1.26Projected Goals 1.10
2Final Score 4

Brentford

Last 5 Games

Newcastle United
Money Line
T 3-3 vs Liverpool+290
T 1-1 at Crystal Palace+125
L 2-0 vs West Ham United-215
W 3-1 at Nottingham Forest+170
W 0-1 vs Arsenal+280
Brentford
Money Line
L 1-3 at Aston Villa+400
W 1-4 vs Leicester City-165
T 0-0 at Everton+210
W 2-3 vs Bournemouth+156
L 1-2 at Fulham+260

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
3.2%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.3%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Newcastle Utd+125+130+130+130+125+130+130+138.0
Brentford+195+200+190+202+196+202+202+212.5
Draw+270+267+275+272+267+272+275+284.9
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Newcastle Utd+150-+125+125+130+140+140+138.0
Brentford+160-+200+180+175+180+200+212.5
Draw+266-+265+260+250+260+265+284.9

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Newcastle Utd: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Brentford: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Newcastle Utd: 0.0%
Brentford: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Newcastle Utd: 0.0%
Brentford: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Newcastle Utd ML moved from +137 to +130
Brentford ML moved from +188 to +175

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Newcastle Utd: 30.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Brentford: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Newcastle Utd: 0.0%
Brentford: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Newcastle Utd: 20.0%
Brentford: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Newcastle Utd ML moved from +140 to +125
Brentford ML moved from +185 to +176

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.8%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
0.0%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo3-102o3-112o3-110o3-107o3-109o3-107o3-107o3+101
Underu3-118u3-105u3-110u3-109u3-111u3-109u3-105u3-101
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo3-110o3+100o3+100o3-120o3-110o3+100o3+100o3+101
Underu3-110u3-120u3-120u3+100u3-120u3-120u3+100u3-101

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 30.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 20.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 10.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 30.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 20.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 10.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
The Under moved from u3-105 to u3-125

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes47.7%
 
No52.3%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 09.46%
Exactly 226.30%
Exactly 412.18%
Exactly 62.26%
Exactly 80.22%
 
Exactly 122.31%
Exactly 320.67%
Exactly 55.74%
Exactly 70.76%
Exact Goals Scored - Newcastle United
Exactly 028.46%
Exactly 135.77%
Exactly 222.47%
Exactly 39.41%
Exactly 42.96%
Exactly 50.74%
Exactly 60.16%
Exact Goals Scored - Brentford
Exactly 033.25%
Exactly 136.61%
Exactly 220.16%
Exactly 37.40%
Exactly 42.04%
Exactly 50.45%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 033.57%
Exactly 220.00%
Exactly 41.99%
 
Exactly 136.64%
Exactly 37.28%
Exactly 50.43%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Newcastle United
Exactly 055.89%
Exactly 132.52%
Exactly 29.46%
Exactly 31.83%
Exactly 40.27%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Brentford
Exactly 060.06%
Exactly 130.62%
Exactly 27.80%
Exactly 31.33%
Exactly 40.17%

Alternate Props

Spread

Newcastle United
Wins by 2+ goals17.59%
Wins by 3+ goals6.02%
Wins by 4+ goals1.64%
Wins by 5+ goals0.36%
Brentford
Wins by 2+ goals12.68%
Wins by 3+ goals3.80%
Wins by 4+ goals0.87%
Wins by 5+ goals0.13%

Exact Winning Margin

Newcastle United
Brentford
5
4
3
2
1
D
1
2
3
4
5
Newcastle United
Wins by 1 goal22.25%
Wins by 2 goals11.57%
Wins by 3 goals4.37%
Wins by 4 goals1.29%
Wins by 5 goals0.30%
Brentford
Wins by 1 goal19.50%
Wins by 2 goals8.88%
Wins by 3 goals2.93%
Wins by 4 goals0.74%
Wins by 5 goals0.13%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.590.54%9.46%
1.568.22%31.78%
2.541.92%58.08%
3.521.25%78.75%
4.59.06%90.94%
5.53.32%96.68%
6.51.06%98.94%

Total Goals Newcastle United Over/Under

OverUnder
0.571.54%28.46%
1.535.77%64.23%
2.513.30%86.70%
3.53.89%96.11%

Total Goals Brentford Over/Under

OverUnder
0.566.75%33.25%
1.530.13%69.87%
2.59.98%90.02%
3.52.58%97.42%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.566.43%33.57%
1.529.79%70.21%
2.59.79%90.21%
3.52.51%97.49%

Score Props

Correct Score

Newcastle Utd
Brentford
Score012345
0
9.46%
10.42%
5.74%
2.11%
0.58%
0.13%
1
11.89%
13.09%
7.21%
2.65%
0.73%
0.16%
2
7.47%
8.23%
4.53%
1.66%
0.46%
0.10%
3
3.13%
3.45%
1.90%
0.70%
0.19%
0.04%
4
0.98%
1.08%
0.60%
0.22%
0.06%
0.01%
5
0.25%
0.27%
0.15%
0.05%
0.02%
0.00%
Newcastle United
1-011.89%
2-07.47%
2-18.23%
3-03.13%
3-13.45%
3-21.90%
4-00.98%
4-11.08%
4-20.60%
4-30.22%
5-00.25%
5-10.27%
5-20.15%
Draw
0-09.46%
1-113.09%
2-24.53%
3-30.70%
Brentford
0-110.42%
0-25.74%
1-27.21%
0-32.11%
1-32.65%
2-31.66%
0-40.58%
1-40.73%
2-40.46%
3-40.19%
0-50.13%
1-50.16%
2-50.10%

Correct Score - First Half

Newcastle Utd
Brentford
Score0123
0
33.57%
17.11%
4.36%
0.74%
1
19.53%
9.96%
2.54%
0.43%
2
5.68%
2.90%
0.74%
0.13%
3
1.10%
0.56%
0.14%
0.02%
4
0.16%
0.08%
0.02%
0.00%
Newcastle United
1-019.53%
2-05.68%
2-12.90%
3-01.10%
3-10.56%
3-20.14%
4-00.16%
Draw
0-033.57%
1-19.96%
2-20.74%
Brentford
0-117.11%
0-24.36%
1-22.54%
0-30.74%
1-30.43%
2-30.13%