English Premier League Predictions

Updated

Upcoming Games for November 29, 2024

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML		GoalsTotal
Goals		Best
O/U

Bet Value

We use three different graphics to describe Bet Value within a matchup.

More on Bet Value
More Details
Southampton
Brighton and Hove Albion 		11.3%
71.4%		17.3%
+635
-231
+575
-245
0.80
2.32		3.12
o3¼-108
u3½-134
o3½+115
u3½-135
Games for Nov 28, 2024
Games for Nov 30, 2024

Completed Games

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML		Final
Goals		Sportsbook
Log Loss		DRatings
Log Loss
Leicester City
Brentford		30.8%
43.2%		26.0%
+315
-112
+308
-115
1
1		-1.38826-1.38115-1.34515
Leeds United
Wolverhampton		25.8%
47.7%		26.6%
+235
+140
+220
+140
4
2		-1.23066-1.20397-1.35553
Newcastle United
Nottingham Forest		49.2%
24.4%		26.4%
-134
+454
-152
+450
2
1		-0.57029-0.55259-0.70893
Brentford
Southampton		32.6%
40.6%		26.8%
+138
+232
+140
+225
2
0		-0.89392-0.90429-1.12080
Crystal Palace
Brighton and Hove Albion		18.7%
56.9%		24.4%
+835
-261
+775
-260
0
1		-0.34637-0.37570-0.56347
Wolverhampton
Newcastle United		13.2%
66.4%		20.4%
+505
-156
+495
-160
1
2		-0.52401-0.53108-0.40988
Southampton
Manchester United		6.8%
80.7%		12.5%
+975
-358
+1000
-370
0
0		-1.88013-1.86323-2.07561
Aston Villa
West Ham United		27.0%
47.7%		25.2%
+233
+138
+225
+130
1
1		-1.21288-1.22758-1.37666
Arsenal
Fulham		52.1%
23.1%		24.7%
-229
+685
-230
+680
3
0		-0.39361-0.39869-0.65197
Manchester City
Crystal Palace		71.9%
10.7%		17.4%
-284
+923
-290
+850
1
0		-0.33052-0.34021-0.32989
Nottingham Forest
Tottenham		11.4%
70.9%		17.7%
+690
-222
+670
-230
1
3		-0.39937-0.40205-0.34374
Chelsea
Leicester City		41.7%
31.9%		26.3%
-105
+320
-114
+325
3
1		-0.68868-0.67017-0.87366
Brentford
Everton		25.9%
48.6%		25.5%
+202
+173
+180
+175
0
1		-1.02413-1.05008-0.72114
Brighton and Hove Albion
Leeds United		38.0%
33.7%		28.3%
-113
+335
-120
+329
2
2		-1.36995-1.37389-1.26143
Liverpool
Bournemouth		73.6%
9.8%		16.6%
-238
+650
-245
+635
0
1		-2.04353-2.03073-2.32167
Fulham
Brentford		26.2%
47.6%		26.2%
+298
+104
+275
+105
2
3		-0.73124-0.75336-0.74143
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Season Prediction Results

 GamesRecord (Pct)No Pick

Log Loss

Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model.

More on Log Loss
+/-
Sportsbooks00-0-0 (0.000)0 
Sportsbooks00-0-0 (0.000)0 
DRatings00-0-0 (0.000)0

Season Simulation

*Through all games played on or before 11/25/24
#TeamWLTPtsWin PLChamps LeagueEuropa LeagueRelegation
1Liverpool (10-1-1, 31 pts)24.66.27.181.161.2%99.2%0.6%0.0%
2Manchester City (7-3-2, 23 pts)23.37.37.477.229.0%96.5%2.5%0.0%
3Arsenal (6-2-4, 22 pts)20.07.710.270.37.1%84.2%8.4%0.0%
4Chelsea (6-2-4, 22 pts)17.89.211.064.51.8%47.9%20.2%0.0%
5Brighton and Hove Albion (6-2-4, 22 pts)16.610.211.261.00.4%24.2%20.0%0.0%
6Tottenham (6-5-1, 19 pts)17.612.48.060.80.2%27.0%17.8%0.0%
7Nottingham Forest (5-3-4, 19 pts)12.214.711.147.70.0%0.6%0.9%3.7%
8Aston Villa (5-3-4, 19 pts)15.011.811.356.20.2%8.2%9.5%0.2%
9Newcastle United (5-4-3, 18 pts)14.812.810.354.80.0%5.3%7.5%0.4%
10Fulham (5-4-3, 18 pts)13.414.510.150.30.0%1.8%2.6%1.6%
11Brentford (5-5-2, 17 pts)12.416.78.946.10.0%0.7%0.4%4.3%
12Manchester United (4-4-4, 16 pts)14.312.511.254.10.1%4.2%8.0%0.6%
13Bournemouth (4-5-3, 15 pts)11.716.110.245.30.0%0.1%0.6%7.4%
14West Ham United (4-5-3, 15 pts)11.616.110.345.20.0%0.0%0.7%8.9%
15Everton (2-5-5, 11 pts)9.616.412.040.70.0%0.1%0.2%24.9%
16Leicester City (2-6-4, 10 pts)9.117.911.038.30.0%0.0%0.0%38.9%
17Wolverhampton (2-7-3, 9 pts)9.718.210.139.20.0%0.0%0.1%32.4%
18Ipswich Town (1-5-6, 9 pts)7.218.112.734.20.0%0.0%0.0%66.6%
19Crystal Palace (1-6-5, 8 pts)9.116.912.139.20.0%0.0%0.0%30.6%
20Southampton (1-10-1, 4 pts)7.922.37.831.60.0%0.0%0.0%79.5%

Predictions Methodology

The English Premier League projections are based on our proprietary algorithm which we use to project out soccer matches. The EPL is a twenty team league which plays 38 games through out the season. Currently, the top four teams receive a draw to the Champions League and the fifth place team receives a draw to Europa League. Each year, the 18th through 20th placed team gets relegated to the English Championship division.