English Premier League Predictions

Updated

Upcoming Games for November 29, 2024

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML		GoalsTotal
Goals		Best
O/U

Bet Value

We use three different graphics to describe Bet Value within a matchup.

More on Bet Value
More Details
Southampton
Brighton and Hove Albion 		11.3%
71.4%		17.3%
+635
-231
+575
-245
0.80
2.32		3.12
o3¼-108
u3½-134
o3½+115
u3½-135
Games for Nov 28, 2024
Games for Nov 30, 2024

Completed Games

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML		Final
Goals		Sportsbook
Log Loss		DRatings
Log Loss
Manchester United
Leeds United		59.7%
18.5%		21.8%
-101
+294
-110
+275
2
0		-0.70409-0.69888-0.51559
Newcastle United
Bournemouth		52.0%
22.8%		25.1%
-161
+535
-175
+510
1
1		-1.41034-1.45423-1.38174
Tottenham
Leicester City		46.2%
29.1%		24.7%
+110
+260
+103
+258
1
4		-1.29997-1.31669-1.23440
Brighton and Hove Albion
Crystal Palace		42.0%
29.3%		28.7%
-124
+392
-125
+365
1
1		-1.35480-1.35833-1.24963
Wolverhampton
Southampton		29.9%
42.8%		27.3%
+149
+225
+150
+208
2
1		-0.92912-0.95756-1.20801
Nottingham Forest
Fulham		24.9%
48.2%		26.9%
+331
-103
+340
-110
0
2		-0.69935-0.68675-0.73085
Brentford
Arsenal		11.1%
71.5%		17.4%
+556
-170
+540
-185
1
1		-1.50837-1.48682-1.74658
Chelsea
West Ham United		46.2%
27.8%		26.0%
+127
+250
+122
+245
1
1		-1.25432-1.22769-1.34900
Leeds United
Manchester United		7.6%
78.7%		13.7%
+541
-176
+560
-200
2
2		-1.53707-1.58645-1.98668
Manchester City
Tottenham		64.5%
15.8%		19.6%
-110
+317
-110
+325
0
1		-1.44902-1.46894-1.84219
Leeds United
Nottingham Forest		24.5%
49.6%		25.9%
+166
+185
+168
+175
0
1		-1.06804-1.04370-0.70080
West Ham United
Newcastle United		21.1%
55.4%		23.5%
+480
-144
+480
-157
1
1		-1.37980-1.38043-1.44817
Southampton
Brentford		19.7%
57.8%		22.5%
+400
-128
+415
-140
0
3		-0.60501-0.58427-0.54789
Crystal Palace
Manchester United		8.5%
76.0%		15.5%
+825
-260
+790
-270
1
2		-0.34889-0.36021-0.27431
Bournemouth
Brighton and Hove Albion		10.3%
71.7%		18.0%
+737
-245
+835
-270
0
1		-0.36111-0.34732-0.33236
Liverpool
Wolverhampton		60.3%
17.0%		22.7%
-104
+305
-112
+310
0
3		-1.41704-1.44575-1.77166
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Season Prediction Results

 GamesRecord (Pct)No Pick

Log Loss

Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model.

More on Log Loss
+/-
Sportsbooks00-0-0 (0.000)0 
Sportsbooks00-0-0 (0.000)0 
DRatings00-0-0 (0.000)0

Season Simulation

*Through all games played on or before 11/25/24
#TeamWLTPtsWin PLChamps LeagueEuropa LeagueRelegation
1Liverpool (10-1-1, 31 pts)24.66.27.181.161.2%99.2%0.6%0.0%
2Manchester City (7-3-2, 23 pts)23.37.37.477.229.0%96.5%2.5%0.0%
3Arsenal (6-2-4, 22 pts)20.07.710.270.37.1%84.2%8.4%0.0%
4Chelsea (6-2-4, 22 pts)17.89.211.064.51.8%47.9%20.2%0.0%
5Brighton and Hove Albion (6-2-4, 22 pts)16.610.211.261.00.4%24.2%20.0%0.0%
6Tottenham (6-5-1, 19 pts)17.612.48.060.80.2%27.0%17.8%0.0%
7Nottingham Forest (5-3-4, 19 pts)12.214.711.147.70.0%0.6%0.9%3.7%
8Aston Villa (5-3-4, 19 pts)15.011.811.356.20.2%8.2%9.5%0.2%
9Newcastle United (5-4-3, 18 pts)14.812.810.354.80.0%5.3%7.5%0.4%
10Fulham (5-4-3, 18 pts)13.414.510.150.30.0%1.8%2.6%1.6%
11Brentford (5-5-2, 17 pts)12.416.78.946.10.0%0.7%0.4%4.3%
12Manchester United (4-4-4, 16 pts)14.312.511.254.10.1%4.2%8.0%0.6%
13Bournemouth (4-5-3, 15 pts)11.716.110.245.30.0%0.1%0.6%7.4%
14West Ham United (4-5-3, 15 pts)11.616.110.345.20.0%0.0%0.7%8.9%
15Everton (2-5-5, 11 pts)9.616.412.040.70.0%0.1%0.2%24.9%
16Leicester City (2-6-4, 10 pts)9.117.911.038.30.0%0.0%0.0%38.9%
17Wolverhampton (2-7-3, 9 pts)9.718.210.139.20.0%0.0%0.1%32.4%
18Ipswich Town (1-5-6, 9 pts)7.218.112.734.20.0%0.0%0.0%66.6%
19Crystal Palace (1-6-5, 8 pts)9.116.912.139.20.0%0.0%0.0%30.6%
20Southampton (1-10-1, 4 pts)7.922.37.831.60.0%0.0%0.0%79.5%

Predictions Methodology

The English Premier League projections are based on our proprietary algorithm which we use to project out soccer matches. The EPL is a twenty team league which plays 38 games through out the season. Currently, the top four teams receive a draw to the Champions League and the fifth place team receives a draw to Europa League. Each year, the 18th through 20th placed team gets relegated to the English Championship division.