English Premier League Predictions

Updated

Upcoming Games for November 29, 2024

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML		GoalsTotal
Goals		Best
O/U

Bet Value

We use three different graphics to describe Bet Value within a matchup.

More on Bet Value
More Details
Southampton
Brighton and Hove Albion 		11.3%
71.4%		17.3%
+635
-231
+595
-250
0.80
2.32		3.12
o3¼-108
u3½-134
o3½+120
u3½-135
Games for Nov 28, 2024
Games for Nov 30, 2024

Completed Games

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML		Final
Goals		Sportsbook
Log Loss		DRatings
Log Loss
Bournemouth
Chelsea		5.7%
82.0%		12.3%
+824
-259
+815
-290
0
2		-0.34125-0.34407-0.19824
West Ham United
Arsenal		15.5%
64.2%		20.3%
+559
-168
+550
-185
1
3		-0.47813-0.47457-0.44345
Liverpool
Aston Villa		57.7%
19.6%		22.6%
-129
+390
-140
+360
3
1		-0.58514-0.58553-0.54960
Brighton and Hove Albion
Southampton		41.8%
30.9%		27.3%
+115
+278
+115
+245
3
1		-0.77596-0.80614-0.87215
Newcastle United
Leicester City		29.4%
44.8%		25.7%
+122
+258
+114
+245
3
0		-0.80892-0.80276-1.22373
Wolverhampton
Everton		27.3%
45.4%		27.3%
+206
+160
+195
+165
2
1		-1.13094-1.11505-1.29817
Fulham
Crystal Palace		14.6%
64.3%		21.1%
+243
+128
+230
+123
3
0		-1.24355-1.23440-1.92333
Tottenham
Brentford		49.6%
25.8%		24.6%
+116
+249
+110
+245
2
2		-1.32392-1.33401-1.40299
Manchester United
Fulham		54.0%
21.9%		24.2%
-113
+335
-117
+310
2
1		-0.64737-0.66291-0.61661
Aston Villa
Brighton and Hove Albion		18.3%
58.8%		22.9%
+432
-133
+400
-134
2
1		-1.68983-1.65078-1.69832
Arsenal
Wolverhampton		49.0%
24.6%		26.4%
-174
+571
-180
+525
2
0		-0.47654-0.49040-0.71390
Chelsea
Newcastle United		46.2%
27.5%		26.4%
+265
+118
+245
+125
0
1		-0.79675-0.83729-1.29273
Leeds United
Tottenham		8.7%
77.0%		14.3%
+455
-159
+440
-160
3
4		-0.51161-0.52346-0.26160
Everton
Bournemouth		39.2%
32.8%		28.0%
+172
+190
+164
+185
0
3		-1.08010-1.09145-1.11502
Southampton
Liverpool		6.3%
81.7%		12.0%
+1050
-360
+1020
-400
1
3		-0.26666-0.26425-0.20174
Crystal Palace
Nottingham Forest		43.1%
28.3%		28.6%
+135
+253
+130
+220
0
1		-1.28237-1.20791-1.26390
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Season Prediction Results

 GamesRecord (Pct)No Pick

Log Loss

Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model.

More on Log Loss
+/-
Sportsbooks00-0-0 (0.000)0 
Sportsbooks00-0-0 (0.000)0 
DRatings00-0-0 (0.000)0

Season Simulation

*Through all games played on or before 11/25/24
#TeamWLTPtsWin PLChamps LeagueEuropa LeagueRelegation
1Liverpool (10-1-1, 31 pts)24.66.27.181.161.2%99.2%0.6%0.0%
2Manchester City (7-3-2, 23 pts)23.37.37.477.229.0%96.5%2.5%0.0%
3Arsenal (6-2-4, 22 pts)20.07.710.270.37.1%84.2%8.4%0.0%
4Chelsea (6-2-4, 22 pts)17.89.211.064.51.8%47.9%20.2%0.0%
5Brighton and Hove Albion (6-2-4, 22 pts)16.610.211.261.00.4%24.2%20.0%0.0%
6Tottenham (6-5-1, 19 pts)17.612.48.060.80.2%27.0%17.8%0.0%
7Nottingham Forest (5-3-4, 19 pts)12.214.711.147.70.0%0.6%0.9%3.7%
8Aston Villa (5-3-4, 19 pts)15.011.811.356.20.2%8.2%9.5%0.2%
9Newcastle United (5-4-3, 18 pts)14.812.810.354.80.0%5.3%7.5%0.4%
10Fulham (5-4-3, 18 pts)13.414.510.150.30.0%1.8%2.6%1.6%
11Brentford (5-5-2, 17 pts)12.416.78.946.10.0%0.7%0.4%4.3%
12Manchester United (4-4-4, 16 pts)14.312.511.254.10.1%4.2%8.0%0.6%
13Bournemouth (4-5-3, 15 pts)11.716.110.245.30.0%0.1%0.6%7.4%
14West Ham United (4-5-3, 15 pts)11.616.110.345.20.0%0.0%0.7%8.9%
15Everton (2-5-5, 11 pts)9.616.412.040.70.0%0.1%0.2%24.9%
16Leicester City (2-6-4, 10 pts)9.117.911.038.30.0%0.0%0.0%38.9%
17Wolverhampton (2-7-3, 9 pts)9.718.210.139.20.0%0.0%0.1%32.4%
18Ipswich Town (1-5-6, 9 pts)7.218.112.734.20.0%0.0%0.0%66.6%
19Crystal Palace (1-6-5, 8 pts)9.116.912.139.20.0%0.0%0.0%30.6%
20Southampton (1-10-1, 4 pts)7.922.37.831.60.0%0.0%0.0%79.5%

Predictions Methodology

The English Premier League projections are based on our proprietary algorithm which we use to project out soccer matches. The EPL is a twenty team league which plays 38 games through out the season. Currently, the top four teams receive a draw to the Champions League and the fifth place team receives a draw to Europa League. Each year, the 18th through 20th placed team gets relegated to the English Championship division.