English Premier League Predictions

Updated

Upcoming Games for November 29, 2024

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML		GoalsTotal
Goals		Best
O/U

Bet Value

We use three different graphics to describe Bet Value within a matchup.

More on Bet Value
More Details
Southampton
Brighton and Hove Albion 		11.3%
71.4%		17.3%
+635
-231
+595
-250
0.80
2.32		3.12
o3¼-108
u3½-134
o3½+120
u3½-135
Games for Nov 28, 2024
Games for Nov 30, 2024

Completed Games

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML		Final
Goals		Sportsbook
Log Loss		DRatings
Log Loss
Leicester City
West Ham United		19.2%
59.2%		21.5%
+292
+107
+265
+112
2
0		-1.38194-1.32965-1.64870
Brentford
Manchester City		3.6%
87.6%		8.8%
+1769
-625
+1825
-750
2
1		-2.95325-2.99854-3.31291
Liverpool
Tottenham		35.8%
37.3%		26.8%
+110
+254
+110
+240
2
1		-0.75692-0.78454-1.02661
Crystal Palace
West Ham United		22.9%
52.1%		24.9%
+369
-111
+345
-110
2
1		-1.56695-1.52266-1.47207
Newcastle United
Southampton		34.6%
38.1%		27.3%
-115
+345
-120
+365
4
1		-0.64356-0.62953-1.06143
Manchester United
Aston Villa		41.4%
31.9%		26.7%
+135
+220
+130
+230
1
3		-1.17883-1.20564-1.14213
Arsenal
Chelsea		26.0%
48.4%		25.6%
+172
+176
+160
+175
1
0		-1.02026-1.00550-1.34780
Leicester City
Everton		28.0%
46.9%		25.1%
+199
+158
+190
+155
2
0		-1.11301-1.10395-1.27372
Brentford
Nottingham Forest		36.0%
34.6%		29.3%
+192
+171
+190
+155
2
2		-1.19763-1.22237-1.22649
Fulham
Manchester City		2.8%
89.9%		7.3%
+1487
-557
+1325
-550
1
2		-0.19317-0.20534-0.10647
Brighton and Hove Albion
Wolverhampton		34.6%
34.8%		30.6%
+118
+270
+115
+265
3
2		-0.80216-0.80410-1.06204
Bournemouth
Leeds United		19.9%
56.9%		23.2%
+452
-154
+425
-159
3
4		-0.52562-0.53507-0.56393
West Ham United
Manchester United		20.6%
56.3%		23.0%
+401
-138
+400
-135
0
1		-0.57283-0.59462-0.57410
Nottingham Forest
Arsenal		6.3%
80.2%		13.4%
+1318
-424
+1300
-450
0
5		-0.22921-0.23945-0.22038
Leeds United
Liverpool		5.9%
82.4%		11.8%
+1104
-370
+1100
-450
2
1		-2.49447-2.52836-2.83804
Everton
Fulham		34.6%
37.3%		28.1%
+225
+129
+220
+130
0
0		-1.27204-1.26436-1.26855
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Season Prediction Results

 GamesRecord (Pct)No Pick

Log Loss

Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model.

More on Log Loss
+/-
Sportsbooks00-0-0 (0.000)0 
Sportsbooks00-0-0 (0.000)0 
DRatings00-0-0 (0.000)0

Season Simulation

*Through all games played on or before 11/25/24
#TeamWLTPtsWin PLChamps LeagueEuropa LeagueRelegation
1Liverpool (10-1-1, 31 pts)24.66.27.181.161.2%99.2%0.6%0.0%
2Manchester City (7-3-2, 23 pts)23.37.37.477.229.0%96.5%2.5%0.0%
3Arsenal (6-2-4, 22 pts)20.07.710.270.37.1%84.2%8.4%0.0%
4Chelsea (6-2-4, 22 pts)17.89.211.064.51.8%47.9%20.2%0.0%
5Brighton and Hove Albion (6-2-4, 22 pts)16.610.211.261.00.4%24.2%20.0%0.0%
6Tottenham (6-5-1, 19 pts)17.612.48.060.80.2%27.0%17.8%0.0%
7Nottingham Forest (5-3-4, 19 pts)12.214.711.147.70.0%0.6%0.9%3.7%
8Aston Villa (5-3-4, 19 pts)15.011.811.356.20.2%8.2%9.5%0.2%
9Newcastle United (5-4-3, 18 pts)14.812.810.354.80.0%5.3%7.5%0.4%
10Fulham (5-4-3, 18 pts)13.414.510.150.30.0%1.8%2.6%1.6%
11Brentford (5-5-2, 17 pts)12.416.78.946.10.0%0.7%0.4%4.3%
12Manchester United (4-4-4, 16 pts)14.312.511.254.10.1%4.2%8.0%0.6%
13Bournemouth (4-5-3, 15 pts)11.716.110.245.30.0%0.1%0.6%7.4%
14West Ham United (4-5-3, 15 pts)11.616.110.345.20.0%0.0%0.7%8.9%
15Everton (2-5-5, 11 pts)9.616.412.040.70.0%0.1%0.2%24.9%
16Leicester City (2-6-4, 10 pts)9.117.911.038.30.0%0.0%0.0%38.9%
17Wolverhampton (2-7-3, 9 pts)9.718.210.139.20.0%0.0%0.1%32.4%
18Ipswich Town (1-5-6, 9 pts)7.218.112.734.20.0%0.0%0.0%66.6%
19Crystal Palace (1-6-5, 8 pts)9.116.912.139.20.0%0.0%0.0%30.6%
20Southampton (1-10-1, 4 pts)7.922.37.831.60.0%0.0%0.0%79.5%

Predictions Methodology

The English Premier League projections are based on our proprietary algorithm which we use to project out soccer matches. The EPL is a twenty team league which plays 38 games through out the season. Currently, the top four teams receive a draw to the Champions League and the fifth place team receives a draw to Europa League. Each year, the 18th through 20th placed team gets relegated to the English Championship division.