English Premier League Predictions

Updated

Upcoming Games for November 29, 2024

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML		GoalsTotal
Goals		Best
O/U

Bet Value

We use three different graphics to describe Bet Value within a matchup.

More on Bet Value
More Details
Southampton
Brighton and Hove Albion 		11.3%
71.4%		17.3%
+608
-231
+595
-250
0.80
2.32		3.12
o3¼-106
u3½-134
o3½+120
u3½-135
Games for Nov 28, 2024
Games for Nov 30, 2024

Completed Games

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML		Final
Goals		Sportsbook
Log Loss		DRatings
Log Loss
Chelsea
Southampton		60.6%
17.9%		21.5%
-150
+420
-155
+420
1
2		-1.68136-1.69173-1.71830
Brentford
Crystal Palace		25.1%
48.4%		26.5%
+280
+110
+270
+105
1
1		-1.28573-1.27461-1.32742
Brighton and Hove Albion
Fulham		35.5%
34.5%		30.0%
+128
+240
+130
+221
1
2		-1.25453-1.21180-1.06470
Tottenham
Nottingham Forest		67.0%
13.6%		19.5%
-220
+606
-225
+590
2
0		-0.40737-0.41438-0.40116
West Ham United
Aston Villa		29.5%
44.8%		25.7%
+265
+113
+266
+110
1
0		-1.32189-1.33598-1.22146
Newcastle United
Wolverhampton		23.8%
50.1%		26.1%
+195
+155
+195
+150
1
1		-1.24452-1.24577-1.34358
Fulham
Arsenal		9.8%
73.3%		16.8%
+680
-245
+675
-270
1
2		-0.36896-0.36315-0.31006
Everton
Brentford		26.6%
47.5%		25.8%
+285
+107
+277
+105
1
1		-1.28093-1.28039-1.35321
Leicester City
Chelsea		11.2%
71.8%		17.0%
+725
-249
+650
-245
1
2		-0.36791-0.38484-0.33147
Bournemouth
Liverpool		3.5%
87.6%		8.9%
+1900
-660
+2000
-765
0
9		-0.17018-0.15436-0.13291
Leeds United
Brighton and Hove Albion		20.7%
55.0%		24.4%
+390
-135
+378
-137
0
1		-0.58553-0.59083-0.59846
Crystal Palace
Manchester City		4.1%
85.8%		10.1%
+1500
-515
+1550
-600
2
4		-0.19981-0.19909-0.15354
Manchester United
Southampton		50.6%
25.1%		24.3%
+100
+270
-125
+310
1
0		-0.71631-0.62573-0.68140
Liverpool
Manchester United		51.0%
24.3%		24.7%
-144
+358
-145
+350
1
2		-1.54957-1.54966-1.41486
Manchester City
Newcastle United		75.8%
8.8%		15.3%
-215
+600
-240
+650
3
3		-1.66617-1.64792-1.87516
Chelsea
Leeds United		58.8%
18.7%		22.5%
-188
+515
-190
+490
0
3		-1.84871-1.81843-1.67643
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Season Prediction Results

 GamesRecord (Pct)No Pick

Log Loss

Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model.

More on Log Loss
+/-
Sportsbooks00-0-0 (0.000)0 
Sportsbooks00-0-0 (0.000)0 
DRatings00-0-0 (0.000)0

Season Simulation

*Through all games played on or before 11/25/24
#TeamWLTPtsWin PLChamps LeagueEuropa LeagueRelegation
1Liverpool (10-1-1, 31 pts)24.66.27.181.161.2%99.2%0.6%0.0%
2Manchester City (7-3-2, 23 pts)23.37.37.477.229.0%96.5%2.5%0.0%
3Arsenal (6-2-4, 22 pts)20.07.710.270.37.1%84.2%8.4%0.0%
4Chelsea (6-2-4, 22 pts)17.89.211.064.51.8%47.9%20.2%0.0%
5Brighton and Hove Albion (6-2-4, 22 pts)16.610.211.261.00.4%24.2%20.0%0.0%
6Tottenham (6-5-1, 19 pts)17.612.48.060.80.2%27.0%17.8%0.0%
7Nottingham Forest (5-3-4, 19 pts)12.214.711.147.70.0%0.6%0.9%3.7%
8Aston Villa (5-3-4, 19 pts)15.011.811.356.20.2%8.2%9.5%0.2%
9Newcastle United (5-4-3, 18 pts)14.812.810.354.80.0%5.3%7.5%0.4%
10Fulham (5-4-3, 18 pts)13.414.510.150.30.0%1.8%2.6%1.6%
11Brentford (5-5-2, 17 pts)12.416.78.946.10.0%0.7%0.4%4.3%
12Manchester United (4-4-4, 16 pts)14.312.511.254.10.1%4.2%8.0%0.6%
13Bournemouth (4-5-3, 15 pts)11.716.110.245.30.0%0.1%0.6%7.4%
14West Ham United (4-5-3, 15 pts)11.616.110.345.20.0%0.0%0.7%8.9%
15Everton (2-5-5, 11 pts)9.616.412.040.70.0%0.1%0.2%24.9%
16Leicester City (2-6-4, 10 pts)9.117.911.038.30.0%0.0%0.0%38.9%
17Wolverhampton (2-7-3, 9 pts)9.718.210.139.20.0%0.0%0.1%32.4%
18Ipswich Town (1-5-6, 9 pts)7.218.112.734.20.0%0.0%0.0%66.6%
19Crystal Palace (1-6-5, 8 pts)9.116.912.139.20.0%0.0%0.0%30.6%
20Southampton (1-10-1, 4 pts)7.922.37.831.60.0%0.0%0.0%79.5%

Predictions Methodology

The English Premier League projections are based on our proprietary algorithm which we use to project out soccer matches. The EPL is a twenty team league which plays 38 games through out the season. Currently, the top four teams receive a draw to the Champions League and the fifth place team receives a draw to Europa League. Each year, the 18th through 20th placed team gets relegated to the English Championship division.