English Premier League Predictions

Updated

Upcoming Games for November 29, 2024

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML		GoalsTotal
Goals		Best
O/U

Bet Value

We use three different graphics to describe Bet Value within a matchup.

More on Bet Value
More Details
Southampton
Brighton and Hove Albion 		11.3%
71.4%		17.3%
+608
-231
+595
-250
0.80
2.32		3.12
o3¼-106
u3½-134
o3½+120
u3½-135
Games for Nov 28, 2024
Games for Nov 30, 2024

Completed Games

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML		Final
Goals		Sportsbook
Log Loss		DRatings
Log Loss
Brighton and Hove Albion
West Ham United		23.7%
50.7%		25.6%
+195
+152
+185
+150
2
0		-1.10963-1.09133-1.43944
Arsenal
Bournemouth		54.4%
21.4%		24.3%
-227
+685
-240
+660
3
0		-0.39662-0.39518-0.60958
Southampton
Leicester City		18.4%
60.8%		20.8%
+355
-119
+325
-127
2
1		-1.51923-1.49072-1.69331
Nottingham Forest
Everton		14.4%
64.9%		20.8%
+345
-110
+327
-112
1
1		-1.30689-1.32039-1.57253
Aston Villa
Crystal Palace		28.5%
44.8%		26.7%
+212
+150
+201
+148
1
3		-0.94410-0.95508-0.80227
Brentford
Fulham		32.3%
39.3%		28.4%
+185
+170
+175
+163
2
3		-1.01110-1.00428-0.93351
Wolverhampton
Tottenham		11.8%
70.2%		18.0%
+730
-225
+660
-231
0
1		-0.38446-0.39891-0.35404
Crystal Palace
Liverpool		5.1%
83.4%		11.5%
+1100
-350
+1300
-440
1
1		-1.82053-1.91108-2.15918
Tottenham
Chelsea		22.1%
54.6%		23.3%
+244
+119
+240
+120
2
2		-1.30571-1.27619-1.45607
West Ham United
Nottingham Forest		49.0%
24.8%		26.2%
-105
+306
-110
+305
0
1		-1.43313-1.44609-1.39332
Manchester United
Brentford		45.5%
28.2%		26.4%
-125
+393
-125
+360
0
4		-1.60684-1.55500-1.26759
Bournemouth
Manchester City		3.0%
89.1%		7.9%
+3637
-1253
+4000
-2000
0
4		-0.09508-0.09971-0.11537
Newcastle United
Brighton and Hove Albion		22.3%
52.4%		25.3%
+219
+147
+200
+143
0
0		-1.21507-1.24071-1.37267
Leeds United
Southampton		27.4%
47.5%		25.0%
+197
+146
+190
+140
2
2		-1.31375-1.30922-1.38521
Fulham
Wolverhampton		18.8%
56.8%		24.3%
+250
+130
+238
+125
0
0		-1.24452-1.23632-1.41321
Leicester City
Arsenal		16.8%
62.5%		20.7%
+522
-172
+510
-190
2
4		-0.47353-0.46335-0.47012
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Season Prediction Results

 GamesRecord (Pct)No Pick

Log Loss

Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model.

More on Log Loss
+/-
Sportsbooks00-0-0 (0.000)0 
Sportsbooks00-0-0 (0.000)0 
DRatings00-0-0 (0.000)0

Season Simulation

*Through all games played on or before 11/25/24
#TeamWLTPtsWin PLChamps LeagueEuropa LeagueRelegation
1Liverpool (10-1-1, 31 pts)24.66.27.181.161.2%99.2%0.6%0.0%
2Manchester City (7-3-2, 23 pts)23.37.37.477.229.0%96.5%2.5%0.0%
3Arsenal (6-2-4, 22 pts)20.07.710.270.37.1%84.2%8.4%0.0%
4Chelsea (6-2-4, 22 pts)17.89.211.064.51.8%47.9%20.2%0.0%
5Brighton and Hove Albion (6-2-4, 22 pts)16.610.211.261.00.4%24.2%20.0%0.0%
6Tottenham (6-5-1, 19 pts)17.612.48.060.80.2%27.0%17.8%0.0%
7Nottingham Forest (5-3-4, 19 pts)12.214.711.147.70.0%0.6%0.9%3.7%
8Aston Villa (5-3-4, 19 pts)15.011.811.356.20.2%8.2%9.5%0.2%
9Newcastle United (5-4-3, 18 pts)14.812.810.354.80.0%5.3%7.5%0.4%
10Fulham (5-4-3, 18 pts)13.414.510.150.30.0%1.8%2.6%1.6%
11Brentford (5-5-2, 17 pts)12.416.78.946.10.0%0.7%0.4%4.3%
12Manchester United (4-4-4, 16 pts)14.312.511.254.10.1%4.2%8.0%0.6%
13Bournemouth (4-5-3, 15 pts)11.716.110.245.30.0%0.1%0.6%7.4%
14West Ham United (4-5-3, 15 pts)11.616.110.345.20.0%0.0%0.7%8.9%
15Everton (2-5-5, 11 pts)9.616.412.040.70.0%0.1%0.2%24.9%
16Leicester City (2-6-4, 10 pts)9.117.911.038.30.0%0.0%0.0%38.9%
17Wolverhampton (2-7-3, 9 pts)9.718.210.139.20.0%0.0%0.1%32.4%
18Ipswich Town (1-5-6, 9 pts)7.218.112.734.20.0%0.0%0.0%66.6%
19Crystal Palace (1-6-5, 8 pts)9.116.912.139.20.0%0.0%0.0%30.6%
20Southampton (1-10-1, 4 pts)7.922.37.831.60.0%0.0%0.0%79.5%

Predictions Methodology

The English Premier League projections are based on our proprietary algorithm which we use to project out soccer matches. The EPL is a twenty team league which plays 38 games through out the season. Currently, the top four teams receive a draw to the Champions League and the fifth place team receives a draw to Europa League. Each year, the 18th through 20th placed team gets relegated to the English Championship division.