English Premier League Predictions

Updated

Upcoming Games for November 29, 2024

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML		GoalsTotal
Goals		Best
O/U

Bet Value

We use three different graphics to describe Bet Value within a matchup.

More on Bet Value
More Details
Southampton
Brighton and Hove Albion 		11.3%
71.4%		17.3%
+608
-231
+595
-250
0.80
2.32		3.12
o3¼-106
u3½-134
o3½+120
u3½-135
Games for Nov 28, 2024
Games for Nov 30, 2024

Completed Games

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML		Final
Goals		Sportsbook
Log Loss		DRatings
Log Loss
Everton
Aston Villa		23.6%
52.5%		23.9%
+412
-124
+385
-130
1
2		-0.61323-0.62228-0.64403
Manchester City
West Ham United		70.1%
12.1%		17.8%
-260
+706
-280
+725
2
0		-0.35642-0.35277-0.35469
Brighton and Hove Albion
Manchester United		15.1%
63.8%		21.1%
+385
-127
+415
-135
2
1		-1.60271-1.66379-1.89346
Brentford
Leicester City		21.2%
55.5%		23.2%
+315
-111
+314
-110
2
2		-1.35487-1.35325-1.45891
Chelsea
Everton		55.4%
21.0%		23.6%
-175
+562
-190
+600
1
0		-0.47720-0.46112-0.59009
Nottingham Forest
Newcastle United		15.0%
63.5%		21.6%
+530
-150
+500
-170
0
2		-0.51465-0.50788-0.45476
Wolverhampton
Leeds United		30.3%
42.0%		27.7%
+210
+145
+210
+138
1
2		-0.92065-0.91185-0.86733
Southampton
Tottenham		9.0%
76.9%		14.1%
+800
-275
+760
-280
1
4		-0.34448-0.34981-0.26253
Aston Villa
Bournemouth		38.0%
34.2%		27.8%
+101
+300
+100
+280
0
2		-1.41898-1.37964-1.07242
Liverpool
Fulham		75.9%
8.6%		15.5%
-357
+998
-378
+1000
2
2		-1.92971-1.85976-1.86207
Arsenal
Crystal Palace		42.7%
29.6%		27.7%
-119
+363
-120
+340
2
0		-0.63915-0.65541-0.85156
Tottenham
Norwich City		63.3%
16.1%		20.7%
-280
+850
-310
+880
5
0		-0.33033-0.32534-0.45774
Aston Villa
Manchester City		6.7%
80.7%		12.6%
+1647
-576
+1600
-650
2
3		-0.18342-0.19236-0.21422
Wolverhampton
Liverpool		5.1%
83.1%		11.8%
+1889
-688
+1700
-720
1
3		-0.15882-0.16818-0.18478
Southampton
Leicester City		22.7%
54.5%		22.7%
+380
-140
+365
-140
1
4		-0.56345-0.57212-0.60669
Manchester United
Crystal Palace		49.4%
24.7%		25.9%
+164
+181
+153
+175
0
1		-1.04939-1.05524-1.39736
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Season Prediction Results

 GamesRecord (Pct)No Pick

Log Loss

Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model.

More on Log Loss
+/-
Sportsbooks00-0-0 (0.000)0 
Sportsbooks00-0-0 (0.000)0 
DRatings00-0-0 (0.000)0

Season Simulation

*Through all games played on or before 11/25/24
#TeamWLTPtsWin PLChamps LeagueEuropa LeagueRelegation
1Liverpool (10-1-1, 31 pts)24.66.27.181.161.2%99.2%0.6%0.0%
2Manchester City (7-3-2, 23 pts)23.37.37.477.229.0%96.5%2.5%0.0%
3Arsenal (6-2-4, 22 pts)20.07.710.270.37.1%84.2%8.4%0.0%
4Chelsea (6-2-4, 22 pts)17.89.211.064.51.8%47.9%20.2%0.0%
5Brighton and Hove Albion (6-2-4, 22 pts)16.610.211.261.00.4%24.2%20.0%0.0%
6Tottenham (6-5-1, 19 pts)17.612.48.060.80.2%27.0%17.8%0.0%
7Nottingham Forest (5-3-4, 19 pts)12.214.711.147.70.0%0.6%0.9%3.7%
8Aston Villa (5-3-4, 19 pts)15.011.811.356.20.2%8.2%9.5%0.2%
9Newcastle United (5-4-3, 18 pts)14.812.810.354.80.0%5.3%7.5%0.4%
10Fulham (5-4-3, 18 pts)13.414.510.150.30.0%1.8%2.6%1.6%
11Brentford (5-5-2, 17 pts)12.416.78.946.10.0%0.7%0.4%4.3%
12Manchester United (4-4-4, 16 pts)14.312.511.254.10.1%4.2%8.0%0.6%
13Bournemouth (4-5-3, 15 pts)11.716.110.245.30.0%0.1%0.6%7.4%
14West Ham United (4-5-3, 15 pts)11.616.110.345.20.0%0.0%0.7%8.9%
15Everton (2-5-5, 11 pts)9.616.412.040.70.0%0.1%0.2%24.9%
16Leicester City (2-6-4, 10 pts)9.117.911.038.30.0%0.0%0.0%38.9%
17Wolverhampton (2-7-3, 9 pts)9.718.210.139.20.0%0.0%0.1%32.4%
18Ipswich Town (1-5-6, 9 pts)7.218.112.734.20.0%0.0%0.0%66.6%
19Crystal Palace (1-6-5, 8 pts)9.116.912.139.20.0%0.0%0.0%30.6%
20Southampton (1-10-1, 4 pts)7.922.37.831.60.0%0.0%0.0%79.5%

Predictions Methodology

The English Premier League projections are based on our proprietary algorithm which we use to project out soccer matches. The EPL is a twenty team league which plays 38 games through out the season. Currently, the top four teams receive a draw to the Champions League and the fifth place team receives a draw to Europa League. Each year, the 18th through 20th placed team gets relegated to the English Championship division.