Chelsea at Brentford

Updated

Chelsea

53.2%24.7%22.0%
Chelsea WinDrawBrentford Win
1.63Projected Goals 0.95
2Final Score 2

Brentford

Last 5 Games

Chelsea
Money Line
T 1-1 at Manchester City+790
W 3-1 at Crystal Palace-140
L 4-2 vs Wolverhampton-185
L 1-4 at Liverpool+400
W 0-1 vs Fulham-170
Brentford
Money Line
L 2-4 at West Ham United+197
L 0-1 at Manchester City+1350
L 4-1 vs Liverpool+375
W 2-0 at Wolverhampton+235
L 3-1 vs Manchester City+750

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.7%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
4.1%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Chelsea+112+116+115+118+115+118+118+125.5
Brentford+228+224+215+225+229+225+229+236.2
Draw+280+271+275+273+277+273+277+285.9
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Chelsea+115-+114+110-105+110+114+125.5
Brentford+205-+217+200+190+220+220+236.2
Draw+290-+270+280+270+280+280+285.9

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Chelsea: 30.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Brentford: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Chelsea: 30.0%
Brentford: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Chelsea: 0.0%
Brentford: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Chelsea ML moved from +116 to +109
Brentford ML moved from +230 to +220

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Chelsea: 40.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Brentford: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Chelsea: 30.0%
Brentford: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Chelsea: 0.0%
Brentford: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Chelsea ML moved from +116 to +105
Brentford ML moved from +225 to +217

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
0.6%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
0.0%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo3-118o3+101o3+102o2¾-118o2¾-118o2¾-118o2¾-118o2¾-109
Underu3+100u3-119u3-122u2¾+102u2¾+102u2¾+102u3-119u2¾+109
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo3-115o3-115o3+103o3-115o3-110o3+105o3+105o2¾-109
Underu3-105u3-105u3-123u3-105u3-120u3-125u3-105u2¾+109

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 10.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 10.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 30.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 10.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 20.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
The Under moved from u3+100 to u3-125

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes49.4%
 
No50.6%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 07.56%
Exactly 225.21%
Exactly 414.01%
Exactly 63.11%
Exactly 80.37%
 
Exactly 119.52%
Exactly 321.70%
Exactly 57.23%
Exactly 71.15%
Exactly 90.11%
Exact Goals Scored - Chelsea
Exactly 019.61%
Exactly 131.94%
Exactly 226.02%
Exactly 314.13%
Exactly 45.76%
Exactly 51.88%
Exactly 60.51%
Exactly 70.12%
Exact Goals Scored - Brentford
Exactly 038.57%
Exactly 136.75%
Exactly 217.50%
Exactly 35.56%
Exactly 41.32%
Exactly 50.25%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 030.25%
Exactly 221.62%
Exactly 42.58%
Exactly 60.12%
 
Exactly 136.17%
Exactly 38.62%
Exactly 50.62%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Chelsea
Exactly 047.03%
Exactly 135.48%
Exactly 213.38%
Exactly 33.37%
Exactly 40.63%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Brentford
Exactly 064.33%
Exactly 128.38%
Exactly 26.26%
Exactly 30.92%
Exactly 40.10%

Alternate Props

Spread

Chelsea
Wins by 2+ goals28.50%
Wins by 3+ goals12.15%
Wins by 4+ goals4.22%
Wins by 5+ goals1.22%
Brentford
Wins by 2+ goals7.56%
Wins by 3+ goals1.97%
Wins by 4+ goals0.39%

Exact Winning Margin

Chelsea
Brentford
5
4
3
2
1
D
1
2
3
4
Chelsea
Wins by 1 goal24.70%
Wins by 2 goals16.35%
Wins by 3 goals7.93%
Wins by 4 goals3.01%
Wins by 5 goals0.93%
Brentford
Wins by 1 goal14.44%
Wins by 2 goals5.59%
Wins by 3 goals1.58%
Wins by 4 goals0.34%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.592.44%7.56%
1.572.91%27.09%
2.547.71%52.29%
3.526.01%73.99%
4.512.01%87.99%
5.54.77%95.23%
6.51.66%98.34%

Total Goals Chelsea Over/Under

OverUnder
0.580.39%19.61%
1.548.45%51.55%
2.522.43%77.57%
3.58.29%91.71%
4.52.53%97.47%

Total Goals Brentford Over/Under

OverUnder
0.561.43%38.57%
1.524.69%75.31%
2.57.18%92.82%
3.51.62%98.38%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.569.75%30.25%
1.533.58%66.42%
2.511.95%88.05%
3.53.34%96.66%

Score Props

Correct Score

Chelsea
Brentford
Score01234
0
7.56%
7.20%
3.43%
1.09%
0.26%
1
12.32%
11.74%
5.59%
1.78%
0.42%
2
10.04%
9.56%
4.56%
1.45%
0.34%
3
5.45%
5.19%
2.47%
0.79%
0.19%
4
2.22%
2.12%
1.01%
0.32%
0.08%
5
0.72%
0.69%
0.33%
0.10%
0.02%
Chelsea
1-012.32%
2-010.04%
2-19.56%
3-05.45%
3-15.19%
3-22.47%
4-02.22%
4-12.12%
4-21.01%
4-30.32%
5-00.72%
5-10.69%
5-20.33%
5-30.10%
Draw
0-07.56%
1-111.74%
2-24.56%
3-30.79%
Brentford
0-17.20%
0-23.43%
1-25.59%
0-31.09%
1-31.78%
2-31.45%
0-40.26%
1-40.42%
2-40.34%
3-40.19%

Correct Score - First Half

Chelsea
Brentford
Score0123
0
30.25%
13.35%
2.94%
0.43%
1
22.82%
10.07%
2.22%
0.33%
2
8.61%
3.80%
0.84%
0.12%
3
2.16%
0.95%
0.21%
0.03%
4
0.41%
0.18%
0.04%
0.01%
Chelsea
1-022.82%
2-08.61%
2-13.80%
3-02.16%
3-10.95%
3-20.21%
4-00.41%
4-10.18%
Draw
0-030.25%
1-110.07%
2-20.84%
Brentford
0-113.35%
0-22.94%
1-22.22%
0-30.43%
1-30.33%
2-30.12%